Friday, May 7, 2021

Cooler than Average weather continues

 Southern Manitoba and much of the region can expect a cooler than average weekend,, a persistent and stubborn arctic high pressure system will continue to draw in a northerly to northwesterly flow. Normally this time of the year we should be seeing a much warmer pattern. Is there any hope on the horizon, we’ll have a look and see if this temperature trend has any chance of ending anytime soon. 






An area of high pressure will move off into Ontario by Sunday evening. Should help to finally bring in a southerly flow. 

Friday: Much of southern Manitoba will be in the presence of sunny skies on Friday; a northwesterly flow aloft will inhibit temperatures from soaring to our normal day time high temperatures. All of southern sections of Manitoba will see highs in the low teens (10 to 14C), with temperatures over the lakes seeing low to mid single digits (3 to 7C). Heading into Friday night, a calm night is expected some light cloud is expected in areas of southwestern Manitoba however. Temperatures will drop into the low minus single digits (-1 to -3C) in areas of southwestern Manitoba with areas in the southeast staying at the 0C mark. Friday,, Winnipeg: Sunny high 12C. Brandon: Sunny High 12C. Dauphin: Sunny high 11C. Friday Night: Winnipeg: Clear . Low 1C. Brandon: Partly cloudy. Low 0C. Dauphin: Clear low -1C. 

Saturday: During the day Saturday a system with rain and snow will cross from south central Saskatchewan into North Dakota no rain will fall however, there appears that there might be some broken to partly cloudy skies for areas of extreme southwestern Manitoba. The extent of it should only travel as Far East as portage la prairie. Temperatures for the afternoon will rise into the low teens once again (10 to 14C) with the exception of the parklands where highs will stay in the high single digits (7 to 9C). Saturday Night much of the cloudcover that which was in the southwest will clear out and once again I’m honestly not a huge fan of these overnight lows they will drop below zero (-1 to -4C) for areas of the inter lakes and southwestern Manitoba, with the southeast staying above zero, (1 to 3C). Saturday. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy. High 11C. Brandon: Cloudy in the early afternoon, becoming partly cloudy late in the afternoon. High 11C. Dauphin: Sunny high 9C. Saturday Night: Winnipeg: Clear, low 1C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, low 0C. Dauphin: Clear, low -1C. 

Sunday: Much of southern Manitoba will likely see similar conditions to Saturday, the area of high pressure that will be off in northern Manitoba will start moving south and east this will ultimately allow a northerly flow to take place. Im expecting some off and on clouds throughout the day. Temperatures for some areas of the inter lakes , eastern, and parklands regions of Manitoba will only sit around 10C (9-10C).  Elsewhere for the rest of the south expect high temperatures to rise into the low teens (10 to 12C). Heading into Sunday night I’m finally expecting that pesky high pressure system off in the north that’s been keeping our temperatures cool to finally move over our region into Monday morning. I expect clear skies overnight with partly cloudy skies by morning in the interlakes. Our overnight lows will drop below zero for the Manitoba lakes into the red river valley. (0 to -3C). Elsewhere overnight lows will drop from (1 to 2C). Sunday: Winnipeg: Sunny, high 10C. Brandon: Partly cloudy in the morning then Sunny. High 11C. Dauphin: Sunny high 9C. Sunday night: Winnipeg, clear low 0C. Brandon: Clear, low -1C. Dauphin. Clear low 0C. 

Heading into next week it appears that the area of high pressure that was causing our cooler than normal temperatures will move east into Ontario and the north eastern United States, this will ultimately give us a southerly flow with temperatures returning to seasonal values highs in the high teens to low 20’s, and overnight lows in the mid to high single digits. This would bring along a possibility of us seeing more low pressure systems with a chance that will bring us much-needed precipitation. It’s still a ways out but model trends need to start being a bit more consistent with this, in order for us to have more confidence. Hoping and praying we get that well needed moisture. 

Monday, May 3, 2021

Below Seasonal week ahead

 Southern Manitoba will once again be in a fairly seasonal pattern with a northwesterly flow in place, fortunately high pressure will also be in place allowing for calm conditions. This area of high pressure will be fairly stationary and will not move much over the coming week. Read on to find out how this will impact our temperature pattern, below.



Monday: Much of southern sections of Manitoba can expect calm conditions on the day Monday, mostly  cloudy to partly cloudy skies are expected with some areas south of lake Manitoba seeing some sun mixing in during the afternoon hours. Temperatures will only rise into the mid to high single digits (4 to 9C) on Monday with sections of the interlakes only rising into the mid single digits. (3 to 5C).  Heading into the overnight into Tuesday temperatures will take a nosedive as persistent northwesterly winds kick in, overnight. Clear skies will allow for overnight lows to drop into the low minus single digits (-1 to -3C). With some places even dropping into the mid minus single digits , with lows in the low single digits (0 to 3C)in western Manitoba around by Brandon east southeast into the pilot mound areas as well as Dauphin. 

Monday: Winnipeg: Mainly cloudy. High: 9C. Brandon: Mainly Cloudy: High 8C. Dauphin: Mainly cloudy. High 8C. Monday Night: Winnipeg: Clear, low 0C. Brandon: Clear, low 1C. Dauphin: Clear, low 1C. 

Tuesday: High pressure looks to be in place for the day on Tuesday with a consistent northwesterly flow in place some areas of cloudcover, in the interlakes region and into some sections of the south.Temperatures will rise into the mid to high single digits (5 to 9C) with areas in southern sections reaching the low teens (5 to 10C). Heading into Tuesday night not much in the way will change with the weather, clear skies along with a cool northwest wind will once again allow temperatures to drop below zero (-1 to -4C) with some patchy sections in the southeast and southwest staying above zero. 

Tuesday: Winnipeg: Partly cloudy. High 9C. Brandon: A mix of sun and cloud, high 10C. Dauphin: Partly cloudy. High 9C. Tuesday Night: Winnipeg: Clear 0C. Brandon: Mainly clear, low 1C. Dauphin: Mainly Clear low 1C. 

Wednesday: A large area of high pressure will sit over the prairie provinces on Wednesday which will eventually dive south over Manitoba into North Dakota by Wednesday evening. A low pressure system will bring an area of snow to areas of northern North Dakota however the consistent northwesterly flow will keep most of it south the border. Mainly sunny skies are expected however for the day on Wednesday with the possibility of some cloudy periods, as some areas of heavier clouds filter in from the northwest. There could be some thicker clouds in the southeast in the inter lakes, and southeastern Manitoba. Temperatures will rise into the high single digits in southeastern Manitoba and in eastern portions, with a few small localities in western Manitoba (5 to 9C). Areas further west into the southwestern and western half of Manitoba can expect high temperatures in the low teens (10 to 12C). Heading into Wednesday Night, that area of high pressure I mentioned will be south of us in North Dakota, clear skies are expected for the night on Wednesday with an area of heavier cloud expected to move into areas from just west of Brandon east into Winnipeg. Showers are possible for Brandon into the portage la prairie area. Overnight low temperatures will drop a couple of degrees above zero for most. (1 to 6C). 

Wednesday: Winnipeg : Mainly sunny. High 9C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy High 11C. Dauphin: Mainly sunny High 11C. Wednesday Night: Winnipeg: Clear, increasing clouds by morning. Low 3C. Brandon:  Clear, becoming cloudy before morning with 60% chance of showers. Low 4C.  Dauphin: Clear becoming cloudy overnight with 30% chance of showers. Low 3C.

Second half of the week: Calm weather conditions look to continue with high pressure off in the northern prairies. As for the second half of the week, temperatures will rebound with highs reaching the low to mid teens. And overnight lows will sit in the mid to high single digits. 



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