Saturday, October 31, 2020

Cool, unsettled Weekend Ahead.

Southern and central regions of Manitoba can expect a cooler than average weekend alongside unsettled weather and strong winds. The good news is that it will be short lived, find out more below. 



Friday Night: A occluded front will be moving into the region overnight into Saturday, bringing in increasing cloud cover, with cloudy skies. There will likely also be a chance for rain, in areas of central regions by the interlakes. Once the front goes by in the morning, winds will shift to the NW. Of note will be the chance for wind gusts over 60km/h along the Manitoba lakes. Overnight low temperatures will not drop much, in fact they will likely rise before dropping towards the day time. A majority of the region should see overnight lows in the mid single digits (3-5C) with temperatures below zero in the parklands region. Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers overnight, low plus 4C. Brandon: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers Low plus 2C. 

Saturday: A cold front will be moving through southern Manitoba, behind it mainly cloudy skies are expected with a chance for snow for the majority of the region however rain is expected in SE areas of Manitoba before switching over to snow. I’m not expecting it to accumulate much. Only about 2-5cm are expected. Also it will be a extremely windy, winds will be gusting out of the NW at 60km/h with gusts possibly up to 100km/h. Power outages are possible especially in rural regions of the province ,infrastructure especially older power lines with the high wind may result in power outages. Winnipeg has some older power grids which may contribute to possible outages within the city . Have a flashlight handy and canned food at the ready in case of a outage, with a emergency kit. High temperatures during the day time will also plummet, to the low to mid single digits (-1 to -4C), windchills will also drop into the low minus teens (-10 to -14C). Ouch!! Forecast: Winnipeg: Cloudy, snow mixed with rain beginning in the morning changing to snow in the afternoon. Winds 60km/h, gusting to 90 or 100km/h. High 1C falling to -3C in the afternoon. Windchill -12C. Brandon: Cloudy, 40% chance of light snow in the afternoon. Winds 60km/h gusting to 90 or 100km/h. High 0C temperature falling to -3C in the afternoon, windchill -12C.

Saturday Night: Overnight into Sunday , A attic airmass will swing into the region slightly modified making temperatures warmer than it would be in the middle of winter. Clear skies are expected with some cloudcover rolling into the region overnight into the morning hours. Winds will also quiet down shortly after midnight . Low temperatures will drop into the mid to high minus single digits (-5C to -10C). Windchills will drop into the mid minus teens, (-10 to -15C) some areas might see windchills as cold as -18C. Winnipeg: Clear, low -6C, windchill -16C. Brandon: Clear, becoming cloudy in the morning low -5C windchill -14C. 

Sunday: Transition into warmer weather! A warm front will push into the region, bringing a shift to southerly winds towards the evening. Cloudy to partly cloudy skies can be expected in the SE with sunshine in the southwest. This is good news as this will start melting some of the snow on the ground , and will bring back those much needed warmer temperatures. Fake spring ,on the way ??? High temperatures are expected to soar into the low part of the single digits (0 to 5C) in the southeast, and then just west of the red River valley the daytime temperatures into the SW in the mid to high single digits (5 to 8C). Winnipeg: Mainly cloudy, becoming partly cloudy in the evening high plus 3C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, high 5C. 

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy skies are expected with temperatures dropping below zero, overnight lows will be slightly milder then Saturday night. I’m expecting temperatures to drop to the low minus single digits or slightly above zero (0 to -3C) for the night. Winnipeg: Partly Cloudy low -2C, Brandon: Partly cloudy low -1C.  

The week ahead: A pacific flow will take over the pattern over the week, I’m not sure exactly how warm it will get however models have been consistent with temperatures warming into the mid teens, possibly near 20C. I’ll have a update on Monday! 

-Mike McGregor “the weather specialist”!

Monday, October 26, 2020

Gradual warmup for Southern Manitoba

 Southern Manitoba will continue to be under the influence of a cool NW flow before a more westerly flow takes place in the latter first half of the week, which will allow for a warmer temperature pattern to take hold. Some unsettled weather is also possible during this transition. Read on to find out how this will affect our weather. (Below a snapshot of the snow expected on Tuesday, freezing rain possible in the southwest during the afternoon). 





Monday: Will be a cool day a northwesterly flow will be in place. The majority of the region on the day Monday will see sunny to partly cloudy skies, with more cloud in the evening. A few areas will see flurries especially in areas just south of the Manitoba lakes. For the day expect high temperatures to reach the low minus single digits (-1 to -5C). Areas in the interlakes will see temperatures slightly above zero. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, high -1C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy high -2C. 

Monday Night: A trough of low pressure will move through southern regions of the province overnight bringing increasing cloudcover into Tuesday morning,  behind it a large area of cloud cover will move in ahead of a approaching warm front as noted by the Weather prediction centre frontal map from the NWS. As a result of the clear skies overnight temperatures will drop into the mid to high minus single digits (-5 to -9C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy becoming cloudy by morning, low -6C. Brandon: Clear, becoming cloudy by morning low -9C.

Tuesday: A warm Front will move through southern Manitoba during the day on Tuesday also an area of snow will be accompanied by it in the late afternoon and evening hours. Also will be a risk of freezing rain and mixed precipitation in extreme south western Manitoba during the mid afternoon hours. There is a possibility for some blowing snow to occur in areas of southern regions of the province while snowfalls I’m not expecting much accumulations, generally 5 to 10 cm can be expected for majority of the region. The temperatures for the early day on Tuesday will be in the low minus single digits (0 to -5C) a few areas may gets closer to 0°C depending on how strong the northwest wind is. Once the Snow clears temperatures will warm towards the latter half of the day where temperatures will be in the mid single digits for daytime max temperatures. Winnipeg: Expect snow amounting to 5cm and a temperature of -1°C warming to 2° by evening. Brandon: Expect cloudy skies, snow amounting to 1-5cm, temperature of -1 warming to 3C by evening. 

Tuesday Night: Snow should clear the province by evening to midnight hours, expect cloudy skies with a chance for off and on flurries throughout the overnight. Overnight lows for southern Manitoba will drop into the single digits (0 to 5C). Winnipeg: Cloudy low +1C, Brandon: Cloudy +1C. 

Wednesday: Will be one of the warmer days of the week with cloudy skies and high temperatures in the low to mid single digits (0 to 7C) with some areas in the Red River Valley seeing the warmest temperatures. Winnipeg: Cloudy, high 5C. Brandon: Cloudy high plus 3C. 

Second Half of the week: Pleasant conditions are expected for the second half of the week, with temperatures continuing in the mid single digits (0 to 8C) as warm pacific air filters in from the west. 

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Cold and snowy rest of the week ahead!!

 Southern Manitoba has entered a cooler than average weather pattern for the foreseeable future . There will also be chances for snow as several areas of low pressure move through the northern plains. Let’s have a look at the weather over the next few days . 



Tuesday: Will start off cloudy and cooler than normal in the Southwest, should be fairly sunny in the southeast before clouds move into the region by noon.  Snow will move into southern regions of the province and inundate the Southwest region by early afternoon. Accumulations will only reach the 2-5cm mark. Temperatures will only manage to reach the mid minus single digits in the Southwest (-5 to -2C), and the low single digits in the southeast (0-5C). A high of 3C can be expected for Winnipeg with snow expected, for Brandon a high of -2C can be expected with snow expected as well. 

Tuesday Night: Snow will taper off around or shortly after midnight, flurries will continue into the early morning. Cloudy skies are expected with a northwest wind, overnight lows for a majority of the southern half of Manitoba will drop into the mid minus single digits (-3 to -8C). For Winnipeg cloudy skies are expected with a low of -4C with snow tapering to flurries. Brandon: Cloudy with a Chance of flurries with a low of -5C.

Wednesday: Will be one of the nicer and calmer days of the week, a northwesterly flow aloft may allow for some flurries to form off of the lakes. Other than that cloudy skies are expected with overall temperatures remaining well below normal in the mid single digits, (0 to 5C). Brandon: Cloudy skies are expected with a high temperature of 2C, Winnipeg: Cloudy skies are also expected with a high temperature, of 4C. 

Wednesday Night: A low pressure system will be sliding to the south of the USA border, with snow expected in North Dakota the system looks like it’ll be slamming into a drier airmass north of the border. Which will result in Manitoba missing the bulk of the snowfall, as a result expect mostly cloudy skies for the night. Low temperatures will drop into the the mid minus single digits (-1 to -6C), some areas might stay near the zero degree mark . For Winnipeg: Mainly cloudy skies are expected, with a low of -2C and Brandon cloudy skies with a low of -4C. 

Second half of the week: Brings more cloudy conditions, temperatures will only be in the low minus single digits (-1 to -5C), with overnight lows in the high minus single digits (-5 to -10C). A few chances for flurries are also possible. Stay warm 

— Mike McGregor

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Mild weather continues, with a chance for thunderstorms on Sunday +Thanksgiving forecast 🦃🦃🦃🦃

Southern regions of Manitoba can expect a pleasent weekend as a southerly flow takes over behind a area of high pressure and a low pressure system. 






Saturday: Beautiful weather is expected and I’m not expecting much in the way of significant weather either, the only caveat to this is that the ridge which brought the warm weather on Friday will be in Ontario. So a bit of a northwesterly flow aloft will prevent temperatures from warming significantly.  Regardless sunny skies along with a mix of sun and cloud can be expected in the south. High temperatures are expected to be in the high single digits (7-10C) in the southeast to the mid teens (10-15C) in the southwest. Winnipeg: A mix of sun and cloud, high 13C. Brandon: Sunny, high 14C. Dauphin: Sunny, high 12C. 

Saturday Night: A occluded front will move toward the Manitoba border overnight into Sunday morning, ahead of it partly cloudy skies are expected overnight into Sunday. One thing to note: if the system travel speed slows down which would make this system come in later, clearer skies would be expected overnight. In general overnight low temperatures will drop into the high single digits (5 to 10C), with some areas by the escarpment  dropping into the mid single digits (4 to 7C). Winnipeg: Clear, low 9C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, low 8C. Dauphin: Clear, low 8C. 

Sunday: Things get a tiny little more complicated, model data is suggesting a frontal system moving through Manitoba during the early day time and indications are that it will bring a wide swath of showers along with it. Alongside the potential for showers and thunderstorms in the southeast , some of them may become severe. I know it’s weird and we’re in the middle of October a season that should be transitioning into winter, but we’re seeing a thunderstorm threat instead. That’s 2020 for you! One thing that we will have to confirm future model data, because if this changes there will be a potential for the thunderstorm threat to move into North Dakota and portions of southern Manitoba, particularly the red river valley. I doubt that the Southwest will get any convection as models are consistent with the southeast. As a result I’m expecting a general threat for showers and thunderstorms, with a very slight risk of severe thunderstorms. The threat will be more so south of the border. High temperatures for the day on Sunday will be above normal , with a majority of the region seeing temperatures in the mid to high teens (14-17C). Areas in the southeast will only manage to reach the low teens (10-12C) mark. Winnipeg: Partly Cloudy to mostly cloudy. Showers, or thunderstorms in the late afternoon, some thunderstorms may be severe. High 15C. Brandon: Mostly Cloudy, 60% chance of showers risk of a thunderstorm . High 15C. Dauphin: Partly cloudy, 60% chance of showers, High 17C. 

Sunday Night: A majority of the showers and thunderstorms will exit the province by mid to late evening. Lingering cloudcover along with a west wind and clearing skies, will make things a lot cooler than the day on Sunday. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid single digits (4-9C) the cooler areas will likely be in areas north of Dauphin and around the escarpment regions. Winnipeg: Cloudy low 8C. Brandon: Cloudy, low 6C. Dauphin: Cloudy, low 5C. 

Monday: The weather is expected to be pleasant for thanksgiving, some sunny to mostly cloudy skies are expected for the majority of our region. It will also transition period into cooler weather is expected for thanksgiving, with temperatures not budging warmer than (6-10C) north of the transcanada and northeast of Winnipeg where more cloud is expected. Whereas areas where the sun will be out in the south, high temperatures will soar into the low to mid teens (10-14C). Winnipeg: Sunny to partly cloudy high 11C, Brandon: Sunny high 11C. Dauphin: Sunny high 10C. 

Monday Night: Cold and clear conditions will filter in overnight as a trough of pressure moves through , cold north winds will assist in making it a unpleasantly cold night. Low temperatures will drop into the low to mid single digits, for the majority of the south . Winnipeg: Clear, low 3C. Brandon: Clear low 1C, Dauphin: Clear, low 4C. 

The rest of the week: Looks like the pattern will support fairly pleasant conditions are expected. There may be chances at showers or snow through the week.  the arrival of cooler than average day time highs in the high single digits, lows in the low single digits to below zero. 

Monday, October 5, 2020

Warm weather with a chance for unsettled weather

Southern Manitoba will be experiencing a warmer than average week this week,  as a ridge of high-pressure starts building over the American Midwest and portions of the American plains. A few areas of low pressure will also go through the province of Manitoba bringing the chance for unsettled weather. Read on to find out how our weather be for this week ahead !


Showers and thunderstorms possible on Tuesday afternoon and evening. 



Monday Night: A area of low pressure will be moving into the southern and central portions of Manitoba, should be in the Red River Valley by morning . As a result increasing amounts of cloud cover is expected overnight into the morning hours. There will be a chance for showers from 12am-8am in southern regions of Manitoba. Overnight lows are expected to drop in the mid single digits to low teens (7-10C) for a majority of the southern half of the region, areas that will drop below 10C look to be in the western portions of Manitoba and the southeast. Winnipeg: Clear then increasing clouds with, cloudy skies overnight. 30% Chance of showers. Low 10C. Brandon: Increasing clouds then Cloudy, 60% chance of showers after midnight. Low 8C. 

Tuesday: Any showers from the morning hours will clear and leave behind sunny skies. It’ll also be more of the unsettled days, of the week. An area of low pressure will move into Ontario during the day behind it a WNW flow will take over , behind it allowing for showers and isolated thunderstorms to form along the boundary between cold air to the north and warm air to the south. Any storms that form will be non severe and will only produce small hail and brief periods of heavy rain . The best chance for thunderstorms appear to be in the inter lakes, Red River valley and eastern portion of Manitoba. I’m not expecting much in the way of accumulations. High temperatures for a majority of the region will reach the mid to high teens (13-19C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, 60% chance of showers , risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening. High 18C. Brandon: Partly cloudy: 30% chance of showers in the afternoon with risk of thunderstorms. High 17C. 

Tuesday Night: Expect clear skies and calm conditions for a majority of the south, cloudy skies are expected from the interlakes into southeastern Manitoba. It’ll also be one of the cooler nights of the week with overnight lows dropping into the low to mid single digits mark (4-7C), areas in the southeast into the inter lakes part of Manitoba will be lucky enough to stay in the high single digits around (7-10C.) Winnipeg: Clear, scattered clouds low 5C. Brandon: Clear Low 4C.

Wednesday: Will be a pleasant and sunny day, a large dome of high pressure will be centred over the northern plains with the northern periphery extending over southern portions of Manitoba. Temperatures will soar into the mid to high teens with some locations surpassing the 20C mark. Winds will be light out of the NW and W through the day. Winnipeg: Sunny, high 18C. Brandon: Sunny, high 16C. 

Wednesday night: Will bring a increasing amount of cloud cover with partly cloudy skies in the southwest ahead of a warm front in Saskatchewan, mostly clear skies are expected in the southeast. There will be light winds out of the south overnight as well. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the mid single digits (3 to 5C) , with some regions in the Nopiming park area dropping into the zero to slightly below freezing mark. Winnipeg : Clear, low 5C. Brandon: Partly cloudy, low 5C. 

Second half of the week: Brings partly cloudy to sunny skies and warm temperatures in the mid to high teens , with overnight lows in the mid single digits. I’ll have another blog for Thursday or Friday!

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