Warm Week Continues, Cold or Snow For The Weekend! Information provided by A Weather Moment

It will continue to be a warm week this week as mild air from the pacific continues filtering in, before we arrive in another coldsnap to start the weekend into next week. Highs getting 3 to 6C above average before the coldsnap arrives. As tough as the weather may sound it will not be a long coldsnap at all.

For the night ahead expect clear skies as a cold front slumps southwards with winds blowing from the north. Overnight lows expected at and slightly below minus ten for most people in the south.

Thursday will be a bit cooler with a weak ridge of high pressure moving in behind the cold front that passed through on Wednesday night, high temperatures around and slightly below minus five expected through the day on Thursday. A high of minus six can be expected in Winnipeg on
Thursday. There is a chance of flurries during the day but expect that to clear out by the evening timeframe for the region.

Friday will be the warmest day of the week as temperatures soar with the Jetstream sitting off to the North

Friday will be the warmest day of the week as an area of low pressure enters the central Manitoba region bumping our high temperatures as light westerly winds take hold. High temperatures expected around the freezing mark in the southeastern half of the province including the red river valley, but getting slightly above freezing for the Westman and Dauphin regions up towards the Swan River and Saskatchewan border. A cold front will slump southwards during the evenin bringing a chance for flurries and snowfall, winds will shift to the north around 30km/h. Temperatures will unfortunately dip down to near the minus ten mark overnight.

Long Range: Potentially Cold and Unsettled

Looking ahead in the long range various models have differing ideas on the way a low pressure system may track. Temperatures may stay cool and the weather may be clear if the system stays south, or it may possibly travel through the area, bringing with it seasonable temperatures and some snow. It all depends on how the system travels. At this moment though based on what I'm seeing from the NAM model (the most accurate short range model) it looks like the system will travel through our area and give us snowfall. That would favour warm temperatures for us but I will keep you all updated on this on Twitter.



Warmth returns March 2nd, 850MB Temps show that on this ECMWF model run.

Potentially Above Seasonal For The Start Of The Week

Looking ahead to next week if we see a cooldown and the system does not go through our area our temperatures will quickly switch from below seasonal to near and above average based on the latest ECWF run. It also agrees on Brett Anderson's weather outlook with mild to above average temperatures. Keep in mind our average daytime high is about -6C so if we see above average temperatures we will probably be around zero to even above zero at times. Our weather may end up being variable though if this ridge that is out west doesn't move east, and we remain in a northwestern flow providing periods of warmth and cold with numerous low pressure systems sliding through. I do agree more on a above seasonal temperature trend though. Spring is definitely on the way!



 

 

Information provided by A Weather Moment, Brett Anderson of AccuWeather and Environment Canada Weather