Happy Halloween! The seasonal weather continues

The Seasonal weather continues for many, as temperatures climb into the low to mid single digits, with some to little amounts of precipitation anticipated from now into the weekend. The sun may also peak out for a couple of hours per day or more, take advantage of it we may end up getting snow soon.


Not much clearing will take place for the trick or treaters this evening, or even later on overnight. Stubborn
cloudcover continues to filter in from inbetween the interlakes with the NW flow from the high
pressure system in Saskatchewan. There might be the odd chance for a few
showers or possibly flurries as it cools off overnight.

 
 Well Happy Halloween everyone! It is going to be such an amazing night for lots of people heading out trick or treating, or going out for a fun time. I hate to be the bear of bad news though, the night ahead isn't looking so great for trick or treaters. There will be off and on drizzle/showers with flurries occurring later on, however the cloudcover will stay put making for a spooky and gloomy night. I wouldn't be surprised if there were a few peeks of sun or clear sky in western Manitoba as the escarpment chops up the NW flow aloft. Temperatures however will be cool for the treaters, likely sitting in the low single digits in the RedRiverValley and east Manitoba. There might be a few locales in western Manitoba that could dip near the freezing mark. Temperatures mentioned above will cool into the night, though it won't get any colder than -6C in any location. Make sure you dress for the weather tonight, to prevent any minor frostbite.

Tomorrow's weather will be a different story than compared to today's we won't be dealing with much in the way of rain, however cloudcover will continue to stick around limiting our temperatures to near zero or slightly above the freezing mark into the low single digits. A northwest wind will be in place through the period also helping limit daytime highs. High temperatures will be below or near the normal.

Friday's weather will be a completley different story as high temperatures remain in the minus single digits, only getting as warm as near zero in places. The sun will be out though, that will be a highlight of the day, only the fact that it will be accompanied by a cool northwest wind. Temperatures should remain below the normal through the day Friday.

Here is the better news for all, things start warming up as we head through the weekend and into the start of the week. It might be another blast of pacific air coming in during this time frame, likely giving temperatures a boost to near 10+C for the first time in weeks. I am not sure how things will pan out in the long run, but my gut feeling is that we may end up seeing snow fly before the end of November. We will end up getting it eventually, that is why I am keeping an eye on models for any sort of storm system.

Until then enjoy the fall weather! And Happy Halloween!


 

Great week of slightly above weather in store, though chilly for halloween night!

We'll see warm temperatures for the rest of the first half of the week, perhaps we may even see some above normal temperatures.

Some light rain showers might make an appearence over the day Tuesday as a weak frontal wave passes through. I wouldn't rule out a chance for snow in the morning tomorrow for some places, especially in the interlake.

While sandy affects the eastern coast the weather in all of southern manitoba will be very calm and  typical for October standards. Today temperatures reached into the mid to high single digits which is close to or slightly above the normal for this time of year. Precipitation also was seen in a few places today, especially along the USA border near Emerson where light snow was detected on radar at 8am. Tonight there will be the potential for a few places in Western Manitoba to recieve rain and possible freezing rain, nothing significant though. Tomorrow will be pretty much the same story as temperatures are once again expected to climb into the mid to high single digits, there might also be the potential for some scattered showers throughout the day as another small frontal wave passes through the region.

As for halloween Wednesday, it will be a chilly day as cool northwesterly winds flow out of a surface ridge in areas of Saskatchewan. Temperatures throughout the day will be slightly above zero , however they will drop near to or slightly below zero for the trick or treating hours. So make sure your kids bundle up to make sure they stay warm, while they are outside.

Conditions through late week will remain seasonable for this time of year, with daytime highs hovering in the low to mid single digits or slightly above or below 5C. No major shifts in our weather pattern is expected for the next couple of weeks.

Crazy Week of Weather Ahead!

Another period of active weather is in store for our week ahead, as several systems cascade through our region bringing multiple chances for precipitation. The question remains will it be rain or snow? 


A look at snowfall amounts in (inches) with the projected StormSystem that could affect the great lakes
on Thursday and Friday. Phew! Not us though I'm hoping. Picture Via Joe Renken‏@TriStatesWx. 

The weather for our week will be fair with temperatures cooling to the low single digits for the night ahead, though a few places could reach the freezing mark. A low pressure system (cyclone) will affect the region tonight and through the day tomorrow, bringing rain to the region within the next few hours persisting through the day tomorrow. There could be a few embedded thunderstorms (a rarity in October) tomorrow afternoon/evening within the rain as moisture is drawn up from the south ahead of the system. The main threat region for thunderstorms will be in the Red River Valley along a line from Warren through Winnipeg south to Altona towards the Ontario Border, and north to Victoria Beach and Powerview. Pretty much all of Eastern Manitoba and half of the Red River Valley, including Winnipeg up into the interlakes. If thunderstorms don't occur there will likely be showers at times that could be heavy. As for temperatures on Tuesday with the rain and thunderstorms they will be fairly similar to the day we had today likely sitting in the high single digits to low teens. Once everything clears out we will recieve rainfall amounts up to the 5 and 15mm range with higher amounts in thunderstorms, which always is a given. 

As our weather system departs on the day Wednesday we will be left with cooler weather as cold air sweeps in from the West making for a chilly start to our second half of the week. Temperatures for Wednesday will be stuck in the mid single digits with a gusty westerly wind.


There has been a lot of chatter over Twitter and the web about our weather this week. Some weather models have been suggesting that portions of Southern Manitoba could be impacted by a colorado low pressure system on Thursday and Friday. However other models have come to the conlclusion of little nothing in terms of precipitation during Thursday and Friday. Conclusions? It remains unlikely that Southern Manitoba will be recieving a major blizzard at the end of the week. Most models show a moderate strength (fairly deep) low pressure system sliding past us through Minnesota and Northwest Ontario heading into Illinois and Michigan. Overall we may see flurries or some rainshowers but we won't be seeing a full fledged winter storm, it will be too far away for us to recieve it's main impacts.

At this time it appears we won't be seeing a significant amount of snow, though always expect the unexpected in mother nature. You may never know what comes out of the box.

Another Rainy Past Couple Of Days For Many, Though Some Improving Weather For the Weekend Ahead

A fairly strong low pressure system over Northern Minnesota brought a soaking rain over Southern Manitoba Wednesday into today , with amounts of 15 to 40mm recorded over the past 36 hours. Amounts were the heaviest over the Western Red River Valley with amounts of 24mm to 37mm recorded from Woodlands west to Portage north to St.Rose Du Lac and southeast through Morden and Winkler including regions of Manitou and Pilot Mound. Lesser amounts fell in western Manitoba with only 15 to 20mm of rain, and 15mm in Winnipeg.

A look at precipitation amounts for Manitoba from the day today (October 18, 2012)
Data from Manitoba Conservation

The rain we experienced brought us some much needed moisture to southern Manitoba, after such a dry September where Winnipeg only experienced 4mm all month. Rainfall data for CYWG (Winnipeg) from Rob's Blog quotes that "Rainfall this month is now up to 36 mm at the airport as of this morning, and 50 mm at the Forks". This month is now the first month since May where we recieved above normal precipitation, October average is 36mm for Winnipeg. More showers or drizzle will be affecting southern Manitoba throughout the night tonight, along with northerly winds gusting at times to about 80 km/h. Showers or drizzle should end by tomorrow morning as moisture transport starts moving out of the area, however cloudcover will continue to stick around for the day Friday. There could be a few places in Western Manitoba that could see the sun peaking out, as cloudcover may not be as extensive there as in the Red River Valley.

Nicer weather conditions will return for the weekend as things become drier, however long range forecast models and discussions from various sources are hinting at a potential for a potent storm system moving across North Dakota and affecting Southern Manitoba, by Wednesday into the end of the week next week. Rain or Thunderstorms could be possible with the start of the system, however rain and snow would likely become a factor as it moves East. Thunderstorms would only be possible if we get into the warm sector of the system, it would be unlikely if it bypasses the region leaving us with rain and snow.  Overall expect a wet and unsettled second half of the week next week. Make sure you stay tuned to updates on the upcoming storm system, to find out how it evolves over the time period.

Update: The Weather for part of the weekend is not looking like it will be as nice as first thought, the night Saturday through Sunday is looking unsettled as an area of low pressure moves through the region from Saskatchewan. Though Saturday is looking very warm and dry with temperatures in the teens. The area of low pressure for the night Saturday and for the day Sunday will likely produce an area of showers and or rain for most in Southern Manitoba, accumulations will likely be in the low range and likely be from 5mm in Virden to 6mm in Whitemouth. However there could be a larger variation in amounts due to different weather in different regions, likely from the 5 to 10mm range. This system will be less powerful compared to next week's system which could bring us the first significant precipitation in quite a while. Thing's should clear up for the start of the week before thing's change drastically for the second half of the week. Stay Tuned for more information on Saturday Night's and Sunday's system.

Last Day Of Nice Weather Before A Changeover To Wetter And Cooler Conditions

You will have one last chance to enjoy the nice weather on Tuesday as Normal to above normal temperatures return to southern Manitoba, before a dreaded changeover to clouds and some fairly heavy rains for Wednesday as a powerful low pressure system slides through our region.

A look at this powerful low pressure system that will travel through our area and bring rain,clouds along with cooler weather

behind it.

Lets have a look at the lighter side of things "warmer weather"! Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week with most temperatures rising into the mid to high teens and possibly some places could hit 20C since mid September. This will allow us to get quite above the normal, and allow us to enjoy some beautiful fall weather.

That will change however as clouds increase tomorrow tonight ahead of showers and rain which will be ongoing tomorrow night as the cold front passes through. The rest of the low pressure system will slide out of our region on Wednesday pulling winds out of the West and Northwest limiting our daytime highs to the high single digits or near the ten degree mark.

You will also notice a difference in our temperatures on Thursday as the full impacts of the low pressure system from Tuesday & Wednesday start taking shape. We will be left with temperatures only in the mid single digits if not cooler in some places in Dauphin as temperatures there struggle to hit 5C. Overall Expect temperatures in the low to mid single digits throughout Thursday.

As for the weekend conditions may be unsettled as some other possible low pressure systems travel through our area, I'm not sure how much we will be impacted during this timeframe as models are having a hard time agreeing.

Till Then, get out there and enjoy the nice weather!

 

 



Warmer Weather For The Next Several Days Ahead ( Also Happy 100th Post!)

The Weather Will look a lot like this
for the weekend, beautiful!

After an extended period of below normal temperatures and cloudy conditions, the weather has made a change for the better. Temperatures will finally be warming into the teens (double digits) after being stuck in a single digit rampage since early October in Southern Manitoba and (October 3rd in Winnipeg according to Rob). The changeover to milder weather was and will continue to be signalled by the strong winds pushing in from the south, at 60 to 70 km/h with associated gusts. The winds will settle down as we head towards the late evening hours for those wondering.

Things will become much milder for the weekend, as temperatures climb into the low to mid teens along with lighter winds and fair weather. Normal highs this time of year should be in the mid to low teens and near 10C, with overnight lows generally near 0C or below the freezing mark. Near to above normal temperatures are expected through the first half of next week, before a changeover to colder weather from the middle to second half of next week.

Get Out There and enjoy this nice weather, because it might be the last warmspell of the season.

(By the way this post is a celebration of the 100th update on this blog's history. Happy 100th!)

New Features Added To The Blog

Over The past couple of weeks there have been some upgrades and modifications to the blog giving users the access to more information throughout. I have added a new twitter gadget that allows you view photos, video and media that I may attach to my tweets, it also gives you the chance to load more of of my tweets (up to a max of 30 at the most). The new twitter gadget is in sharp contrast to the old one, where you were only able to view 4 tweets at a time and it did not have the features that the new one now has. That always made it a hassle for those who had to click on every link that came with my tweets, oh the way twitter has changed over the years.

 For Those running with your iphones, ipads, notebooks and blackberries on the go, you now can recieve blog updates via email and have the capability to view my webpage on mobile internet. For Email updates all you have to do is type in your email address in the box below follow by email, you are then prompted to type in a cachephrase afterwards and then tada your done and ready to pick up updates. For accessing my website via mobile its the same thing you would do when you go online using a PC, Mac or Laptop.

As featured in my last post, there will be blog posts that will contain a photo gallery after each storm event in the province. They will be offered throughout the year and they will come from various sources online. As for future galleries, I might be able to get my hands on a great blogger template that will be compatable for photo galleries making for a more professional look overall.

Overall there are so many great features that are available on my blog including all weather widgets, archives, etc. and there will be many more to come as blogger expands its horizons for web based widgets. I might start using RSS feeds in several years with weather maps and radars to allow for frequently updated content, such as what major companies have been using on their webpages all along.

Go ahead, take a look and see what great features my blog has to offer including the neverending weather links!

Picture Gallery: Early Season Snowstorm Slams Southeastern Manitoba Head On



Tree Damage in Vita, Manitoba due to heavy snowfall and
wind. I honestly feel bad for this guy, must be a wack
of money for him/her to pay off the damage.

Snowy Roads Along Hwy 1 East, Just Near
falcon lake




 Manitoba Hydro Crews Working to

Get Power BackUp with

downed power lines along

Hwy 12 North Just South

Of Highway 44 near Beausejour.

Trees Bent Over from the weight of the snow
said to be shot somewhere in SouthEast
Manitoba. Look at how 
some trees could not withstand the
weight of the snow.

Tree Damage in Falcon Lake,
as a result from
the heavy snow and strong winds. 

 

Snow Weighing Down Trees After Storm
In Bissett, Manitoba

 Look at all of that snow! 30cm of the white stuff after the storm
in Southeast Manitoba.

I Feel Bad for that persons deck, and swimming pool
bet they won't be using it for a while. Picture taken
North Of Ste.Anne, where 10cm of snow fell.

 

More Needed Rain On The Way Tonight Through Thanksgiving Monday

 An Alberta clipper system now over Northern Saskatchewan will track southwards into Southern Manitoba overnight and through Monday bringing another round of much needed moisture over the region. 

Rain from this system will spread into parts of Western Manitoba this evening and it should reach the Red River Valley and Eastern Manitoba overnight, the systems speed will slow tomorrow leaving us with rainy conditions through Monday. Rain will change over to snow over higher elevations of West MB Monday with some amounts likely over the Duck Mountain Provincial Park and Riding Mountain National Park regions. Rainfall amounts of 10 to about 20mm will be possible through much of Southern Manitoba for those needing significant rain it will be an influence through from Western Manitoba as far East as Winnipeg and the Red River Valley. By Monday Night colder reinforcing air coming in from behind the system will allow a change over from rain to wet snow, even in regions of the Red River Valley with a coating of wet snow possible by the morning hours on Tuesday. Below Normal Temperatures in the single digits will join along this week, before warmer (moderating temperatures) next week.     

Early Season Snowstorm Slams Southeastern Manitoba Head On

Some of the roads in Southeast Manitoba were virtually
unpassable due to slushy snow covered roads, leaving
crews with the only choice left, close the roads. Including
this highway in the RM of Stuartburn on Thursday. All
highways are now open due to improvements in
conditions.
 

A potent early season snowfall slammed into parts of Southern Manitoba during the day Thursday Oct. 4th bringing with it significant and unexpected snowfall to southeastern regions of our province. Precipitation from this system started falling as rain through Wednesday Night into Thursday morning before it switched over to snow and continued throughout the day, with snowfall accumulations of 10 to 30 cm reported in the Sprague, Steinbach, Whiteshell, and Bissett regions. However conditions were more sufficient for a rain/snow mix further west in the Red River Valley with a slushy coating of snow in downtown and Eastern Parts of Winnipeg by afternoon, though things were worse off in Portage La Prairie where near zero visibility was reported at times as a result from the lake effect snow coming off Lake Manitoba. Strong winds out of the North gusting from 60 to 70 km/h came along with the storm, which combined with the heavy wet snow resulted in tree damage along with some power outages in Eastern Manitoba, with numerous hydro poles downed.  During the storm road conditions were poor with travel not advised for many from the American Border in the Southeast to The Ontario Border near the Whiteshell. (Pictures from the Storm are available in one of my latest posts Picture Gallery: Early Season Snowstorm Slams Southeastern Manitoba Head On)

Snowfall Totals From The Storm (via Rob's Blog)

A great example of where all the snow
fell during the storm including places
south of the lakes where the lake
effect snows took place.

 Sandilands ............. 30 cm (trees down)
 Hadashville ............ 30 cm (see photo)
 Woodridge ............. 30 cm (see photo)
 La Broquerie .......... 27 cm
 Falcon Lake............ 25-30 cm (est) 
 Vita ........................ 25 cm
 Pinawa ................... 20-30 cm
 Bissett .................... 20 cm
 South Junction ........ 20-30 cm  /nr Sprague/
 Steinbach ...............  8 cm

The early snowfall, even though it was an inconvience it brought some very much needed moisture to our region that has been very dry over the past several weeks. The snowfall brought relief to all firefighting efforts, including the one windswept wildfire in the vita area that forced residents to evacuate two days earlier. In Winnipeg 8mm of rain and wet snow was recorded at the CYWG (City of Winnipeg) airport by evening. Across the city 10 to 20 mm of rain was reported, (19mm at the forks) and a good 10 to 12 mm at my place by Bruce Ave in St.James.

 

A great analysis of past early snowfalls in Winnipeg and in Southern Manitoba can be found at... Rob's Blog

Storm System Set to Bring Significant Rain and The Seasons First Snowfall to The Red River Valley And Parts Of South Eastern Manitoba Tonight Through Until Thursday Night

The Storm System at 12Z (7am)
Tomorrow Morning
showing rainfall/snowfall rates.

A major storm system has developed this afternoon over the eastern Dakotas and is forecasted to track across regions of Northern Minnesota tonight into areas of NW Ontario Tomorrow. This system is ready to bring the most significant precipitation to the Red River Valley and SE Manitoba in several weeks, and the moisture will be extremely helpful for all who has suffered from this dry weather. Rob from Rob's Blog is mentioning anywhere from 10 to 50 mm of precipitation with this system, from now through until Thursday Night. There will be one problem with this storm system and that is the fact that some of the moisture may fall as (frozen water droplets) in the form of "snow" and it could be significant over portions of the Red River Valley and SE MB as well as places in NorthEast North Dakota, Northern MN, and NW Ontario. Rain has already made an appearence in parts of Southern Manitoba this evening, and it will continue to spread into the rest of the region tonight likely persisting until early morning before switching over to rain and/or snow for the morning through the day Thursday making things fairly slushy. If precipitation mainly in the form of snow falls tomorrow chances for significant snowfall will likely increase, a north wind will also be present during the timeframe as the low tracks towards Lake Of The Woods. Snowfall amounts will range sharply from 2cm in the Northern Red River Valley to 30+ cm in the SE portion of the province. That means places such as Winnipeg will be left with 5cm at the most. Strong Northerly winds will also be a factor over the timeframe creating hazardous driving conditions. Things are expected to clear out for the day Friday leaving behind sunny skies and cooler than normal temperatures.

Additional Information: Environment Canada issued a Winter Storm Warning Earlier this afternoon for Southeast Manitoba highlighting the potential for significant winter weather and hazardous driving conditions in places over the next 24 hours. The expected heavy wet snow with this system may create stress on powerlines and tree branches possibly resulting in localized power outages in some regions. Take Precautions when out on the roads during the expected storm duration. Feel Free to track the Storm as it progresses at the KTIV Interactive Radar Weather Website.