Thursday, June 19, 2014

Rainfall Storm Summary; Severe Weather Ahead

What a rainfall we had this weekend, it was the first major rainfall seen in Manitoba since may of 2010 and we sure did pick up a lot areas in the red river valley were hardest hit along with areas just east of Winnipeg. Beausejour picked up a whopping 90mm of rain while Lockport got in at 120mm of rain thanks to a training area of thunderstorms, in comparison areas of Silver Heights in my region of Winnipeg picked up 87mm of rain. Southwest Manitoba was quite lucky where they only picked up at most 15mm of rain. As this Colorado  system came in it was the wettest seen on June 15th since 1928 when we only picked up 15mm of rain here in Winnipeg. Most amount of rainfall I have seen in my lifetime living in my neighburhood. Those Mosquito's  are definitely going to be out on a rampage in the next few weeks after the rain we recieved and what is still to come.

Below is a list of the rainfall recieved at each location: Via @WeatherInThePeg



Storms on The Way

After our weekend of rainfall and nice weather that we had to start the week our weather will begin to become unsettled as we work our way into the next few days as a few weather systems will march across our region giving the chance for showers and thunderstorms, the trough that is currently in place in southern manitoba could contribute to the development of showers and thunderstorms this evening in areas of southern manitoba, lifting eastwards as the night progresses.  As a result expect heavy rainfall in southern manitoba with as much as 70mm possible in Brandon and the parklands.

By about midnight all shower activity should end, however another system looks like it will come in the day tomorrow as a result there will be the chances for showers and possibly thundershowers as the storm system slides south from the interlakes. Our temperatures should remain on the cool side at around the mid 20's, it will get much nicer come the overnight hours in the south. 

How is the weekend looking?

At the moment there appears to be a system arriving into Manitoba from Saskatchewan that will either setup further west or further to the east on Saturday, there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms come late afternoon or evening depending on where it sets up and cloudcover. There could be severe weather in the province either west or east of Winnipeg  Different story if this system encounters cooler air and cloud, there would be a likelihood of mainly showers for the majority. 
High's will be in the high 20's and humidex levels near 30C, though cooler if we get under cloudcover. 

Regardless, Models are having a tough time resolving the strength and location of this system so as it changes feel free to follow the updates in the comments section below.      

Sunday overall looks like it could be a much better day weatherwise with high temperatures soaring into the high 20's along with lots of sunshine, once our system clears out. Improving weather come next week, here in Southern areas of the province. Good to hear after how horrible and gloomy has been.  

Feel Free to take a look and see what is ahead at my forecast page, enjoy the rest of your week and the weekend ahead!

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Another Weekend Rainfall and Cool start to the week

Our weekend has already been a rainy one with thunderstorms off and on already 20 to 30mm has fallen with this system in Southern Manitoba, areas already soaked by rainfall will also experience another round as another wave of rainfall spreads north into Southern Manitoba from North Dakota. 
Rainfall amounts through the end of the weekend

We have already seen one round of showers move through the Winnipeg area ahead of the next batch of showers and storms the next round are the ones that could be quite heavy at times amounting to nearly 30mm. Rain will persist as this system moves through tonight and tomorrow, there will be a chance of storms in the day tomorrow along with rainshowers likelihood of picking up another 10mm for the majority of the south. Temperatures will stay near or slightly above 15C for highs. 

This system will not only slide out of the province by evening but it will leave behind cloudy conditions to start your Monday. Monday will start off Cloudy but conditions look like they will clear out by late morning leaving behind sunny condition's and based off the GFS we should be dealing with high's from 20 to 25C along the USA border and 15 to 20C a little further north of the TransCanada Highway. 


As we head into Tuesday there will be a chance for showers with little instability in place they shouldn't last long, however we still manage to reach the high teens. Wednesday should be a bit warmer with highs in the mid 20's with lots of sunshine still, chances of precipitation from showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday late in the day (instability levels in the picture on the right side).



Long Range
Models are hinting at more seasonable temperatures for late week into the weekend, closer to or above the 25C mark. But I'll keep you posted on any changes as this is a far ways off yet. Also Severe Weather season is also around the corner so it wont be long until we see the type of weather us storm lovers enjoy.

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