Well we all know that 2011 hosted an entire range of wacky weather here in Manitoba,from the record cold snowy winter, to our spring flooding and a not so skeeter summer. 2011 will be a year to remember.
So if you are the tiniest bit curious about what 2012 will hold, well you have come to the right place. Here are some of my honest predictions about the coming year, taking into account our current weather patterns.
As we look at the coming months we will to continue to be affected by a Moderate Strength La Nina, (which is the cooling of the Ocean waters) although it's affects are being diminished by the AO (Arctic Oscillation) being positive. So in turn we can expect warmer than Normal Temperatures, and Below Normal Precipitation for the Prairies into February, as all of the cold Air is being bottled up north by the westerly Pacific winds. If we see any sort of low pressure systems go through our province we will likely get a brief push of arctic air, but are temperatures will always manage to rebound and stay above normal. So it will feel more like an El Nino Winter than La Nina. If we see the AO shift over to Negative the pattern will likely change and we will feel the affects of our La Nina, we will likely then see colder than normal temperatures and more snow than usual. So in a matter of weeks our pattern could change.
Looking ahead to our Spring EC is predicting wetter than normal weather with warmer than normal temperatures with La Nina still staying strong. And our Summer could be yet another disappointment for storm chasers, as La Nina summers are drier and warmer than usual. We still yet have to find out, Stay Tuned. Best Wishes in 2012!
Hey Mike
ReplyDeleteIt looks good and look forward to viewing your site. I've put you in my favorites and look forward to the conversation
6 C for a forecast high on Thursday. Break out the sunscreen!
ReplyDeleteMike are you on facebook also??
Hey guys, I am glad you all like my blog it will be a great way to keep in touch about our weather in the province. I am so looking forward to the summer months when things get crazy again. Answering your question you asked earlier, I apparently am not on facebook quite yet as I still am a novice weather hobbiest. I hope to sometime have an account set up, probably within a few years or so. You can still follow me on my blog. Thank's for the support all!
ReplyDelete6C sounds a little warm for this time of year, I'm gonna have a look at the 850 mb temperatures and see what it says.
ReplyDeleteLooks like EC is right about thursday, 850 mb Temps should be right in and around 4 to 6C. Well, there goes our snow.
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