Friday, January 25, 2013

Warmup on The Way For The Weekend, Though It Won't Stay Long!

After a cold week we will be given a chance to warmup and get a break from the deepfreeze in southern Manitoba.  

Temperatures forecast for Sunday January 27th, 2013 at 5am, much warmer throughout the day with temperatures reaching the -5C mark or cooler.

The warmer temperatures are heralded by the alberta clipper that passed by our region yesterday, chopping up the Northwest flow and created a zonal (west to east flow) which will enter the region the day on sunday. The warm pacific air will be moving across Alberta and Sakatchewan today entering into Manitoba on Sunday, giving a chance for our temperatures to rise into the high minus teens to low single digits (-17 to -6C), compared to the -30C and cooler overnight lows with the windchills colder than -40C during this past week, including the biting cold daytime highs.

Friday will feature biting cold temperatures still as we remain in an arctic airmass with daytime highs in the low minus teens to high minus teens, and mainly clear skies throughout the night and day.

Saturday things will gradually warmup as we get into the pacific airmass with daytime high temperatures approaching the very high minus teens mark (-13C in the East to -8C in the West).
Sunday will be even warmer as we get into the mild pacific airmass with daytime highs in the low minus single digits (-8C in the East to -4C in the West). There also will be a fairly high chance for snow flurries overnight as another shortwave approaches from the West, cloudcover will also be in place if there are no flurries around as a moist mild pacific airmass is in place ahead of the system.

Outlook For Next Week
Forecast Temps at 2m Above Ground
Level by the GFS on
The (Coldest day) Friday.
I hate to say it folk's colder weather and likely for the last time will return next week as arctic air drives south again. Starting off on Monday an area of low pressure will be trekking across the region bringing a possible 5 to 10cm of snow during the morning in the Western Half of Manitoba to Late Afternoon in the Western Red River Valley, and Red River Valley by early evening. It will eventually drift into Eastman by the late evening hours. Cloudcover will remain during the night behind the system as residual moisture. The system will also bump our temperatures up to near -4C in the West and -2C in the East during the day before the snow arrives (warmest day of our warm spell overall by the looks of it). Things will get much colder next week as an arctic airmass dives south again, thank's to the cold air return from the NW by the low pressure system on the day Tuesday. The main coldsnap could arrive on Friday where daytime highs will be in the -25C to -30C range and maybe windchills near -40C on Friday & on the weekend.

In the long long range the Good thing about this expected coldspell is that it won't last long in terms of days.... by the 11th of February things will get much warmer and will be dealing with less snowfall. The cold arctic air will likely be unable to reach further South as the doors close to the arctic air, by the second week of February. Head over to Another Eastern Cold Shot For February by Brett Anderson Accuweather for more indepth ideas.

Another post will be on the way Monday detailing our snowfall forecast, until then enjoy your weekend folk's and when you have a chance enjoy the warm weather, cheers!

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