After what has been a difficult past three months our weather will finally be taking a turn for the better but not before we undergo stormy condition's for the end of Victoria Day Weekend in what seems like a normal tradition for the province. An area of low pressure from the west coast of the united states will make it's way into southern Manitoba by
late Sunday through Tuesday, pumping rich moisture from the united states out ahead of it allowing for shower and thunderstorm chances on Sunday in the west and Monday as well Tuesday for the eastern part of the south. CAPE and LI's will be high enough for storms to be non severe with a slight chance of a few becoming severe on Monday/Tuesday, however tornadoes DO NOT look likely. Now most of the rainfall we get will be driven convectively so there could be higher amounts in places of the Red River Valley up where we could see 15mm. Rain should clear out of the province by late Tuesday, leaving behind cooler temperatures but not too bad, we should recover to near and above seasonal values as we get closer to the mid to late week time frame. Long term data continues to show a chance where we could get to and stay above seasonal values into June meaning mid to high 20C temps, but it remains to be seen after such a bad year we experienced for six months with our horrible winter. Let's hope it gets better, we need it too!
Hope you enjoy your holiday weekend everyone!
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Hey Mike,
ReplyDeleteLooking at your twitter profile, it says your in gradae 12. I don't blame you if you don't have time to blog that much due to lots of homework and school related stuff. I'm kind of in the same situation – I want to have more time to do my own stuff, but i don't becuase of school. I'm also in grade 12.
Also Mike,
ReplyDeleteHey JJC…
With the early week rain (and fairly wet soil already) combined with a decent warmup (going from 12 to 25+ by the weekend) are we looking at conditions for 2014's first thunderstorm? I know other people have mentioned this topic of t-storms next week, but I would like to here your expert forecast.
Thanks for the feedback,
Tyler