Spring Arrives, slightly below normal temperatures continue. Melting likely Regardless.

As spring arrives today much of the weather that we have had will remain the same, looking ahead at a quiet week of weather our province will likely see temperatures remaining near or slightly below normal. Regardless melting will continue because the spring sun is now high enough even on cold days to allow for melting to occur. The real melt may be further off. Find out when the next batch of warmer or more normal spring like weather can be hopefully expected.

Look at Temperatures on the day Thursday (above). Cooler than average weather continues.

The day on Wednesday should be sunny and bright there will be periods of cloud cover, a system that moved into NW Ontario will on the backside bring in a northwesterly flow. Temperatures for the day today will sit in the low to mid minus single digits, with a slight chance for flurries. 

Tonight much of the same can be expected, with lows in the mid to high minus single digits. Areas further north into the inter lakes can expect lows in the low minus teens, nothing any colder than -12C. 

Thursday: A southerly flow will begin to establish itself over southern sections of Manitoba, fog patches are possible during the morning hours, however little in the way of any weather is likely. Temperatures will continue to see some moderation however they continue to be below our average with highs only able to reach the low to mid minus single digits for Thursday. 

Thursday night: Cloudy weather is likely as overnight lows will drop likely into the mid to high minus single digits, this is likely a transition into warmer overnight lows for a brief period. 

Friday will likely still have values not as cold as in recent times, with high temperatures in the low minus single digits. There will be periods of cloudier weather. 

Friday night a cold front will begin to approach our area but it won’t affect our temperatures much, there will be widespread chance at flurries on Friday night as the front swings through with cloudy skies. Temperatures will likely drop into the low to mid minus single digits to around -10C especially colder in the southwest. 

 

The weekend: That cold front as I discussed will begin to dig south through our area on Saturday above…  leaving behind it a weekend of temperatures well below our average highs. Our temperatures will likely take a swing downwards in the south but that spring sun should help keep our temperatures from diving too significantly. Nothing major weather wise expected but high temperatures for highs on Saturday likely to see the low minus single digits with overnight lows on Saturday night dropping into the mid to high minus teens, near -20C for some in the south. Again on Sunday and Sunday night highs in the mid to high minus single digits. Colder further west you go. Sunday night overnight lows will drop well into the mid to high minus teens and low minus 20’s, or warmer meaning not -20C but near it as the GFS tends to be biased. 

Next week: There are hopes for some change for the colder than average weather to end I see a few days above zero which would be the first of the spring season. We’ll see if that trend continues when I write the next blog on Monday. 

-Mike McGregor