Possible Rainy End To The Weekend

3km HRRR Radar Image (6am Sunday)

After a rainy start to the weekend will be seeing much of the same for the rest of the weekend only if an area of high pressure doesn't interfere with the push of this low pressure system we are currently experiencing. Throughout the rest of the night tonight expect any rain to clear out with the possibility of more showers & thunderstorms entering southern parts of the province overnight into tomorrow morning. The question is how far North will this rain move? Current indications are that the area of high pressure will keep the rains out of the province, and only let it slide a little north of the border likely affecting areas along a line from Sprague to Pilot Mound mainly south of the TransCanada. Leaving sunny skies for our day tomorrow in the rest of the South Though if that area of high pressure weakens we could be left dealing with a potentially rainy and stormy Sunday because the low itself is much stronger. I have seen a lot forecasts online that quote rains and storms for the day Sunday, we'll have to find out I guess. As we go into Sunday night things will either be clear or we could be dealing with rainshowers as the area of low pressure or high pressure sits near the region. Monday is when we could be seeing more rainfall and or thunderstorms or just plain sunny skies, but if we do get rainfall on Monday things will likely clear out in the evening.

Then we are into much sunnier condition's before another potential of showers and storms comes at the end of the week given latest model runs. So there you have it there is a lot of uncertainity in the latest model runs so I will update in the comments section if needed. Follow the HRRR for latest data and radar simulation's.


In the Long Range an enhanced risk for above normal temperatures and precipitation returns for the region, means that there there will be a higher chance for severe weather/thunderstorms in the coming weeks. That might get me posting more often, we'll see how it turns out!

Arctic Air Set To Invade Southern Manitoba

After a taste of summer like weather over the past couple days, we will now be invaded by stubborn arctic air that doesn't seem to want to stay away. It won't last long though as it looks like we will only be experiencing the brunt of it through the day Saturday. Today looks like it will be very pleasant as temperatures rise into the low to mid teens once again with most likely hitting or surpassing the 15C mark. Clouds will increase tonight ahead of another system for the day tomorrow temperatures will cool to at or just below zero for the night ahead. Tomorrow an area of rain & embedded rumbles of thunder will travel from the parkland's through the interlakes to the southeast during the day, reaching southern parts of the province by mid afternoon, maybe giving us a shot at some well needed rainfall. Once is said and done we could be looking at 5 to 10mm of rainfall as high temperatures rise into the mid teens. A cool down will be on the way Saturday, the coldest of the weekend (high single digits to low double digits) before a moderating trend into week as high's rebound into the high teens, to mid 20's.

Cold Temperatures To Start Off The Week, Then A Little Warmer!

After a cold and snowy weekend we will be stuck with below normal temperatures once again, but some hope is on the horizon for the end of the week. (5 Day Forecast below)

Last night was exceptionally cold with most places recieving overnight lows in the minus teens and in fact a few spots reached overnight lows close to -20C including Winnipeg where temperatures tied the old record set back in 1997 at -20.1C (coincidence much?), the latest cold temperature to occur in the season.

Despite our cold spell at the start of the week, we will now only have one more day of temperatures in the minuses and that is today as we switch into a somewhat milder but below sesonal temperature pattern for the rest of the week. This warmup will be thank's to a switch to a zonal flow aloft which is a good sign for this time of year, as a result expect temperatures to warm into the low plus single digits allowing for a more consistent melt, once we get rid of all of the snow temperatures will be able to rise past 10C and allow for more seasonable spring temperatures. However that is a long way's off and I am still unable to find out how warm it will get at the end of this week, I will post a few comment's on how warm it will get at the end of this week in the comment's section.

As for precipitation not much is in the forecast for the week but a system is set to affect Southern Manitoba bringing a possible wintry mix on the weekend. Detail's will be posted on Friday! Have a good week...

Updated! Here We Are Again! Another Significant Storm To Affect Southern Manitoba Today Through Monday

After a long period of calm and tranquil weather, we will now be experiencing another winter storm that will be testing the patience of all Manitoban's. Our winter storm will be thank's to an area of low pressure that will be moving through Montana into Minnesota Today through Monday, bringing another wave of snow through Southern Manitoba. Snow has already spread into Southwestern Manitoba as of this morning and is expected to spread eastwards as the day goes on, reaching the Red River Valley this afternoon through evening and regions of Eastern Manitoba tonight. 

 Snow is expected to intensify tonight with snowfall amounts of 10+cm likely in the Winnipeg region by Monday Morning, with 15 to 30cm possible through the regions of Southwest Manitoba and the interlake regions where snowfall warnings are in place. Numerous watches and warnings are in place for all Southern Manitoba including a snowfall warning and a blizzard warning. As the system moves out strong northerly winds of 60 to 70 km/h will develop on the backside of this system combining with freshly fallen snow and blowing snow will create blizzard conditions for much of the Red River Valley, Monday Morning. Blizzard conditions will be less likely in the rest of Southern Manitoba Monday morning. The storm will make travel quite difficult throughout regions of Southern Manitoba as a result motorists are advised to make alternate plans or travel slowly to get to your destination especially outside of towns and cities on highways.

Consider Consulting the Manitoba Highways Website and also The Weather Network Road Conditions. 

Colder and Drier Weather will develop once the system moves out leaving us with hopefully the last cold blast of the season. Make sure to stay tuned for updates in the comment section.

New Blog Update In The Morning!

A significant storm system is expected to move into the region tomorrow with another potential heavy snowfall in store, weather models are having some difficulty pinpointing exact amounts and placement on the location of heaviest snowfall bands. Details will be better known by the morning hours tomorrow, that is when a post will be provided. My Guess is around 8am. See you then!

Snowstorm To Affect Southern Manitoba Until Tuesday Morning

A look at warnings

A slow moving low pressure system now over southeast Saskatchewan is spreading an extensive area of snow across all of the southern Prairies from the Rockies into Southwest Manitoba. The area of snow will be spreading across the Red River valley this evening and after midnight. Snow will become heavy at times overnight and through Monday with 10 to 15cm possible by Monday morning in Winnipeg and higher amounts South and West of Winnipeg. That would include a possible 15 to 25cm of snow in those areas. Snow will continue Monday across Southern Manitoba before tapering off Monday Night into Tuesday. Snowfall warnings are in effect for much of the Southwest corner of Manitoba east through Steinbach but not including Winnipeg this is where amounts could reach a good 25cm of snow. 

Snowfall Amounts Forecast

For the Winnipeg region snow is expected to move in by midnight and start to intensify overnight. About 2 to 5cm of snow is possible by morning, so give yourself time to drive slowly and carefully during the morning commute. Snow will continue moderate to heavy throughout the day with another 10cm likely by the evening commute, so expect a slow drive home as well. Snow will completely clear out Monday Night through early Tuesday with another 5cm possible when it ends. 10 to 15cm of snow is likely in the Winnipeg region from Midnight through Tuesday Morning, with a potential for higher amounts if we get some stronger bands set up over us. Snowfall warnings could be expanded to include the Interlakes, Winnipeg, Whiteshell and Sprague regions if the storm moves further North than first forecast.

951pm CST Radar View

Track the snow using KTIV Interactive Radar to monitor where the snow is and how heavy it is, other neat features are included on the page as well. Enjoy!

Seasonal Weather Expected To Continue Through The Weekend

Saturday's Forecast Temperatures

After a very warm and seasonable week we will be welcomed with much of the same for our weekend as another batch of pacific air slides into Southern Manitoba, giving us the chance to experience a wonderful start to March.  Thanks to the pacific air temperatures through the weekend will be very seasonable with daytime highs from minus ten to about zero degrees. There will be very little in the way of precipitation with a chance for flurries & light snow in various parts of Southern Manitoba through the day Saturday with amounts of 5cm forecast in the Red River Valley. Nicer weather is forecast for the day on Sunday with sunny skies as the snow moves into North Dakota. 

As for the long range the weather bears watching we might get clipped by an Alberta Clipper on the day Monday, although models are having a difficult time agreeing on the scenario. I will post Sunday Night if needed for a look onto Monday's storm.