Warmer Weather Is Here, Deep Freeze is Done. Rain Possible on the weekend.

 Good evening everybody I have a weather update for all of you and this is one that I have not done in a month so I'm just catching up on all the current weather forecast trends and it looks like much of our region is going to be taking a reprieve from the significant cold that we have experienced over the last For two to four weeks. This forecast is going to be quite simple and uncomplicated. Justin has already had some of it covered but I also have my own view of this upcoming pattern. I'll try and make it fun. 

Tonight: For all of you at night owls who are still up our temperatures tonight are gonna be weirdly rising, and I say normally this time of year our temperatures drop as we go through the overnight however because we now are on the east side of an area of high pressure winds are coming out of the South and allowing for a southerly flow to develop over a region. It'll bring in a warmer air mass as we approach the morning hours our temperatures will rise into the mid minus single digits now that's something I can handle however please don't be complaining that we're still in the minuses at this point we've been worse back in 2013 we were locked in extensive cold well into the month of April. 

Saturday: Saturday should be a gorgeous afternoon with temperatures rising into the minus single digits, There is also a good possibility of some increasing cloudiness towards the late afternoon hours in the southwest, however during the afternoon and early evening I expect some spots of sun to persist with a mix of sun and cloud mainly in the southeast. During the night on Saturday a low pressure system will be approaching from the West in southeastern Saskatchewan ahead of it very warm air will be moving into our region which will keep our temperatures within the minus single digits during the overnight time frame there will be some warming areas in the southwest which may see values closer to the minus 1 or - 2 marked by the morning hours. Is some inconsistencies on the current setup for the precipitation which is expected during the day on Sunday if anyone in the southwest during Saturday night sees precipitation it will likely fall as snow.

Sunday: This is when the weather gets mighty interesting on the day Sunday much of southern Manitoba will be basking in a unusually warm air mass and our temperatures will rise into the low to mid plus single digits we will be in the warm sector of a low pressure system. During the early afternoon a area of rain will develop and mostly move across the West Bend and Brandon Regions moving into southeastern Manitoba towards the late afternoon and early evening. The latest H Triple R Model Run is suggesting that areas of central West Manitoba will be seeing some heavy snow there will be a brief. For freezing rain and also this freezing rain threat will persist pardon me present itself over the Red River Valley as well depending on where the freezing levels set up during the afternoon.

Sunday night: Much of the region will continue seeing temperatures within above seasonal values and this is actually welcoming considering how cold it has been our overnight low temperatures will be sitting in the low minus single digits and right around zero degrees for a majority of the region. Any precipitation during Sunday evening will move out of the region by shortly after 9:00 PM I'm expecting that there is a risk for some ice accumulation of any rain that builds up as a result of the freezing rain or rain that falls with temperatures dropping below zero overnight there is a risk of either highway closures or increased risk for road safety problems.

It looks like this warm weather will persist into the beginning of the week, I do see a couple of more Clipper systems moving in on Monday and Tuesday in Saskatchewan they may impact our region at some point within the week it's too far ahead to tell at this point if you are looking for the warmth and maybe even get out there and put on some shorts with considering how warm it will likely be this weekend just don't go and tell others that it was us that said that you could do that.

Clipper System To Usher In Warmer Weather Over Southern Manitoba

 Hey everyone, I have an update for all of you on our upcoming clipper system. It’s likely to impact our region tonight and tomorrow as well as aHey everyone, I have an update for all of you on our upcoming clipper system. It’s likely to impact our region tonight and tomorrow bringing in warmer conditions for the weekend, as well as a update on our weekend weather conditions there’ll be a brief and very non-technical weather blog for all of you if you’re wanting to keep up-to-date, you can follow the Weather Center, Manitoba as well. Let’s get into the details.

Tonight: A clipper system will be on the prowl and will enter our region by this evening into the overnight timeframe with impacts being felt in the Assessippi provincial park regions by the 9pm-10pm timeframe this snow will traverse south and east through the evening with areas from Melita to lake Manitoba and up to Hecla being affected by this system during the overnight timeframe west to the Manitoba and Saskatchewan border. Temperatures tonight will warm from the low minus teens to the mid minus single digits by morning for areas that see snow clear out, warmer further west cooler east. So a low of minus 12C for Winnipeg and -6C for Brandon. 

Friday:Most of the snow will likely move through the red river valley by the late morning and early afternoon hours. With Temperatures rising into the high minus single digits by afternoon with most of the region experiencing snow and flurries as the area of low pressure system stalls over the area. Snow and flurries including blowing snow will end during the early evening hours.

****BE ADVISED Highway Travel isnt suggested during the heavy snowfall and winds will also drive near blizzard conditions at times as well. If you have to travel then I would suggest taking your time and increase your following distance and if there is warnings issued we do not recommend highway travel. However be safe out there when you are on the roads. 

Friday night: Much of southern Manitoba will be in the influence of a incoming cold front which will drop our temperatures into the mid minus teens and there is a possibility as a result of this system driving south that wind chill values may reach the minus twenties again with scattered flurries persisting overnight. Temperatures during the overnight timeframe will drop into the minus teens. 

The Weekend: Much calmer weather conditions will persist through the rest of the week and with temperatures likely sitting well into the minus single digits with overnight lows the exception on Saturday night in the minus teens before moderating temperatures on Sunday in the minus single digits with temperatures in the minus single digits likely for overnight lows on Sunday Night. 

Warmer weather is likely ahead into the next week with Pacific flow resulting in this weather pattern. 

Happy New Year, Significant Winds Likely with Blizzard Conditions this weekend. Cooler weather arriving next week.

 Everyone welcome back to a new year in the weather scene hello everyone mike mcgregor here returning for the first post of 2025 and we've got some really concerning weather news on the horizon for southern sections in Manitoba looks like we're in for a bumpy 24 to 48 hours so fastening your seatbelts and get ready for an action packed blog with information on a blizzard which is poised to impact our region and I'll have comprehensive details on the upcoming major cold that is expected to impact our region this weekend into next week. I know it's winter folks but we'll get through this together again i'm got some interesting news about this weather blog and where it's headed at the end of this post.

Tonight: Southern sections of Manitoba will be in the warm sector of a low pressure system which will be impacting us tomorrow afternoon, Temperatures tonight will be warming for some sections with areas of southern Manitoba from southwest parts of the province into the Red River Valley and some sections of the Manitoba escarpments seeing warming temps by morning between minus three to zero degrees.

Tomorrow: Tomorrow morning specifically speaking Friday morning significant blizzard conditions will develop over the Red River valley including Winnipeg with forecast winds from 60 to 80 kilometers an hour with gusts possibly up to A100, there looks like there will be some light to moderate snowfall during the hours of 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM and then this time frame visibility will be drastically reduced or near impossible for those within warned regions for blizzard conditions. I have already spoke to Justin and there is no doubt in my mind that highway travel including city travel will be hazardous so do not be surprised if they have school bus cancellations within and outside of city limits in rural areas. The winds will be out of the N which will be ushering in a significantly colder air mass as we head into our weekend. The good thing is that these strong winds will likely abate by be late afternoon to early evening hours given the fact that the snowpack within the city limits is not fresh and in fact melted and frozen there may be less problems with visibility and more problems with loose objects or items getting tossed in the wind. Make sure to tie down loose items if possible. Temperatures in the afternoon will drop into the mid to upper minus teens with wind chills in the minus 20s and upper minus teens. Friday night: Calmer weather conditions will come in place as high pressure moves in however because this Arctic air mass will be settling in overnight lows will be in the minus 20s with the possibility of wind chills in the minus 30s frostbite is possible with exposed skin.

The Weekend: Calm weather conditions will persist into the weekend with temperatures over our region unfortunately reaching the mid to upper minus 20s with wind chill values in the mid to upper minus 30s areas that are in central Manitoba especially near dauphin up to the interleakes may see wind chills in the minus forties. This weather pattern will persist and Sunday night will be the coldest with windchill values in the minus 40's for much of our region. 

Next Week: I have some unfortunate news folks if you're looking for the milder weather conditions that we have been experiencing that's not gonna happen there is a higher likelihood that during the first half of the week into the middle part of the week where we will see our temperatures remain in the mid minus 20s in some areas maybe fortunate enough to see temperatures in the mid minus teens however wind chill values will be persistently stuck in the minus 30s and minus 40s this coming week during the overnight time frame that is when the colder temperatures will occur. There is a change in the pattern by Wednesday when we may be seeing some milder Pacific air filtering into our province just be glad we're not stuck in a full-on strong La Nina if we were we would be consistently experiencing these very cold temperatures.

Happy Holidays, warmth persists and above normal temperatures persisting.

 Hey everyone Mike McGregor here I hope you all are having a blessed and relaxing holiday season I am looking forwards to the new year I have a brief update on the extremely warmer than average temperatures we’re seeing , we are seeing temperature anomalies in the teens to twenty degrees above average . By the way . I’ll be back in the new year with a more extensive weather update based on latest model data we might be in for an interesting new year with a potential winter storm in the mean time I’ll be covering what’s ahead for the rest of the Christmas holidays . Much of southern parts of Manitoba will be experiencing above average temperatures and and overall a strong southerly flow will be present with a ridge of high pressure in eastern Canada allowing for this warmer than average temperature trend. 

(Above:) CFSV2 Temperature anomalies showing above average temperatures persisting over the next 7 days . 

Thursday: Temperatures on the day Thursday will be in the low minus single digits, areas of southeastern Manitoba will be the warmest with high values sitting in the zero to minus one degree range. Areas of southwestern Manitoba will be sitting in the mid minus single digits. Mostly cloudy skies are likely.

Thursday Night: Temperatures are also expected to remain warm for the night and I’m surprised to say this that areas of southeastern Manitoba will remain warm with values in the low minus single digits around zero however areas of the southwest will be likely be more in the lower minus teens. 

Friday: A warm and mostly cloudy day is likely on the day, there will be a disturbance moving through during the afternoon and evening with a chance of rain and freezing rain in areas of south central Manitoba. Small accumulations are likely with only 1 to 2mm. Temperatures on Friday are expected to soar into the low single digits in the southeast with areas of the southwest near the freezing mark. 

Friday Night: We will still be enveloped by this warm airmass, rain or snow is likely in the southeast part of Manitoba during the overnight. After that a slightly cooler airmass moves in with overnight lows in the minus single digits the chance of temperatures in the region of -4 to -7C is likely.

Saturday and Sunday: Warm weather conditions will persist with calmer and much sunnier conditions, although a little cooler overall we will still be be above average. Temperatures for this period will be in the low minus single digits, for day time highs and mid to high minus single digits near and below -10C during the overnights. 

For reference (low minus single digits are (-1 to -5C). 

Mid minus single digits are -5C to -10C, and the minus teens is -10 to -20C. 

Have a merry Christmas!!! 

Winter Storm Set To Impact Southern Manitoba during the day on Sunday

 Hey everyone it's Mike here writing a brief update on a significant winter storm that is likely to impact will be impacting southern Manitoba this weekend I'm a bit late to the party as I'm just getting over a really bad cold it's going around apparently some other people I know have it. What what I've got from other people over the last six to 12 hours is that there is some pretty hefty amounts of snowfall forecast over southern Manitoba this weekend and this system will be moving into the southern sections of the province by the early morning hours so if you're looking for details this is your place for that. If you're interested I also have something to say about this on the weather comedy report however I had no idea that we were gonna be getting a winter storm models showing next to nothing for Southern Manitoba over this weekend and now we're about to get something really interesting. 

Sunday: An area of low pressure will be moving into southern sections of the province during the morning hours ahead of the main stationary occluded front a large area of snow mixed with freezing rain will likely be impacting areas from the Saskatchewan Manitoba border all the way to the Portage La Prairie and Winkler regions. The heaviest snowfall starting at 6:00 AM in Western Manitoba and then 10am in the Red River valley areas. The thing is the heavy snow will likely be persisting in areas of Western Manitoba during the afternoon before tapering during the late afternoon whereas areas in the Red River valley will likely see snow persist well into the evening and possibly overnight time frame into Monday. I have some concerns that heavier snowfall bands visibility will be reduced to well below zero visibility if you have travel plans please consider leaving during the morning hours and not during the afternoon, also highways may likely be also closed. this system is gonna be feeding off some moisture from the Pacific as a Pacific flow will likely transition into a polar northerly flow behind this as cold air wraps in behind it.

The good thing about this is that I do not have to write nearly as long of a write-up the previous storm system we had had multiple types of precipitation however I'm going to get to the snowfall totals right now. Areas in western Manitoba will bear the brunt of the system with a general 10 to 20 centimeters of snow possible of the areas in the Red River valley and points south including the Interlakes all the way to the American border can expect a general 10 to 15 centimeters or so with possibility of areas receiving more than fifteen centimeters by the end of tomorrow night. The snow will be a heavy wet snow during the afternoon hours and Justin had mentioned that it will be a dryer snowfall during the overnight time frame into Monday regardless this is the first accumulating significant snowfall for areas of the eastern half of Manitoba. I have attached some photos below of the forecast snowfall and the forecast storm.

Temperatures for tonight's Will drop into the low minus single digits tomorrow afternoon a majority of Southern Manitoba will be basking in mild temperatures between minus one and minus 2 degrees Celsius for most. Areas along the American border however will likely see temperatures a degree or two above freezing or around the zero degree mark.

The Week Ahead:. Temperatures will be on a declining mark with the majority of southern sections in Manitoba likely seeing temperatures dipping into the minus single digits to the low minus teens towards the beginning and middle of next week.

Winter Storm Likely This Week, risk for ice buildup and power outages.

 Hey everyone Mike McGregor here I haven't written a weather blog update here in a while, but Southern sections of Manitoba will be in crosshairs of a significant low pressure system, It developed in the Great Plains of the United States ahead of it a large area of moisture will be streaming North from the Gulf of Mexico however this moisture is not as pronounced as the summer months with dew points mainly well below the 40 degrees Fahrenheit Mark. Moisture content in the atmosphere however will be quite substantial for this area of low pressure. This is a potentially concerning event for the next 24 to 48 hours with the likelihood of seeing everything from rain to freezing rain and snow with heavy snow and blowing snow. Areas in western Manitoba will be bearing the brunt of this system whereas areas in eastern Manitoba will be experiencing a potential ice storm not in freezing rain but in rain that freezes after it falls.

Tuesday: Southern Manitoba get ready!! Roll up the curtains you are going to be experiencing a brutal wake-up call to winter, and I am sorry that we have to bring this news to you. Anyway during the morning on Tuesday just to the south of the border a broad swath of rain will likely begin to envelop the red river valley and the eastern half of Manitoba. Colder air will be wrapping around the western half of Manitoba by the early afternoon hours, snow and a mix of freezing rain will begin during the morning in the extreme southwestern half of the province. As the low itself Begins to move into the province a large area of snow will begin to move into western sections in Manitoba which will bring Intervals of heavy snow mixed with moderate to lighter snowfall. This is going to be the region to watch for the heaviest accumulations into the day Wednesday. There is a likelihood that areas of Western Manitoba experience whiteout conditions with heavy wet snow, the good thing about this is that heavy-wet snow has a less of a wind profile, so there will be less risk of blowing snow and white-out visibility unless you're in a very heavy band of snow. If you are heading out on the highways I would suggest that you avoid highway travel during the afternoon and early evening hours into the overnight into Wednesday. The weather on Tuesday will be fairly meager compared to with the night on Tuesday with the regards to the winds. 

 Attention then turns to southeastern Manitoba during the later half of the day when a fairly heavy amount of rain will have fallen, what concerns me is that models is suggesting a fairly rapid transition over to below normal or below zero temperatures which will then put the risk for a either flash freeze or a gradual freeze process. Rainfall totals in the Red River valley including eastern Manitoba may be upwards between 15 to twenty-five millimeters of rain with the possibility of 30 millimeters by the end of the day. Now given the fact that temperatures will possibly drop below zero during the overnight especially according to the high resolution rapid refresh model this could put Winnipeg and all of southeastern Manitoba at risk for ice accretion and ice build up which will put strain on the power grid. On top of that wet snow will occur during the overnight time frame into Wednesday morning in the eastern part of Manitoba which will add more strain to the power lines if things begin to freeze by morning. Other weather models are suggesting that the transition over to a below zero temperatures will not occur until morning regardless I am still concerned about rain freezing on surfaces so if you're out in the highways on Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning please drive slowly. The reason I'm not calling this an ice storm is because the rain will not be freezing on contact. Attention then turns to southwestern Manitoba on the day Wednesday. Temperatures during the day on Tuesday will be in the lower single digits with areas in southwestern Manitoba on the cooler side between 1 and 2 degrees Celsius whereas areas of southeastern Manitoba will be seeing high temperatures between 3 and 6 degrees Celsius. Temperatures during the overnight time frame generally will be in the minus one to minus three degrees Celsius mark in areas of western Manitoba just to the west of Winnipeg and then areas from about just west of Winnipeg to the Ontario border will see overnight low temperatures between 0C and 3 degrees Celsius with the possibility of these locations seeing values closer to the zero or freezing mark by the morning hours.

Wednesday: OK, so Wednesday is one of those going to be one of those days that a lot of people wish didn't come until December however we are still going to be experiencing a burst of winter weather with all of our region forecast region seeing snowfall continue. Winds will likely gust from 60 to 70 kilometers an hour with extreme wind gusts up to 80KILOMETERS an hour in some locales in western parts of the province. The areas of western Manitoba I'm concerned about, accumulations by the end of the day may reach the 40 to 50 centimeter mark especially in areas by moose mountain Manitoba and the Riding Mountain National Park. Areas of Portage La Prairie into the Winkler regions will likely see upwards of 30 to 35 centimeters of snow areas to the east will drop significantly between 10 and 30 centimeters to as low as 5 centimeters. If you are in any of these regions please refer to the forecast maps which I have posted above this paragraph I have shared the RDPS the NAM and the H Triple R Model run. Unfortunately areas of eastern Manitoba will miss out on the heavy snowfall with accumulation between 5 and 10 centimeters with the possibility of more falling by the end of the day. There is going to be a sharp temperature contrast on the day Wednesday if you put a marker on the map from Thompson Manitoba yes in the north draw it SE through the middle of the interlakes, down to Areas just north of Winnipeg and then again curve SW you're looking at a good split where the western half of Manitoba is below zero during the day Wednesday and areas of Lake Winnipeg including Winnipeg City and the rest of eastern Manitoba seeing high temperatures either around zero or slightly above zero regardless it is going to be a cold and brutal reality check for temperatures on the day Wednesday. 

Wednesday night into Thursday the storm itself will start beginning to wind down with scattered flurries likely over Western Manitoba and mostly cloudy skies likely in areas of eastern Manitoba if you're looking for that break in the unsettled weather the second half of the week is looking like your go to for outside activity. Temperatures on Wednesday night into Thursday will more than likely drop and this is not surprising considering a burst of Arctic air will be moving into the region which will basically put our temperatures for daytime highs on Thursday anywhere between minus one and minus three, in areas that do not receive any snowfall you will likely sit a degree or two above zero which is normal for this time year.

Synopsis Western Manitoba including Brandon/Dauphin/Portage La Prairie: Rain and freezing rain possible during the overnight time frame, snow beginning during the morning snow at times heavy with near zero visibility as possible in white out conditions. Areas of the Manitoba Parklands May see enhanced snowfall rates due to the Manitoba Escarpment. Snow will persist well into Wednesday evening. Winds will also gust from sixty to eighty kilometers an hour at times. Expect the storm to wind down during the overnight time frame into Thursday. 

Synopsis Eastern Manitoba including Areas from Portage La Prairie east to the Manitoba Border: Snow at times heavy will begin in far western regions of this forecast zone during Tuesday morning. Rain will begin during the morning on Tuesday In regions east of Portage, rain will persist into the evening on Tuesday before transitioning to snow around at 9:00 PM to 12:00 AM. Temperatures will likely drop below freezing for some which will put a an increased risk on power lines and increase the possibility of power outages. If heavy wet snow falls on top of the already layer already added layer of ice roads will become treacharous and power utilities may be impacted. Snow will continue into the night on Wednesday before tapering early Thursday morning.

Wind Threat returns to Manitoba, calmer and seasonal weather will continue for the week ahead.

 Hello everyone welcome back to another addition of Southern Manitoba’s weather updates got some interesting weather along the way, including a significant wind event happening on the day Saturday as well as some information about some incredibly warm weather coming in for the latter half of the week next week. We’ll have some details on that. Our current upper pattern is driven by a strong, westerly flow and a component of occasional southerly flow.

This blog will be brief but informative southern sections of Manitoba on the day Saturday can expect to see a very mild air mass, temperatures are looking to soar into the low to mid teens, there will be a increased risk for wind gusts up to 100 kilometers an hour in southwestern Manitoba including areas of the escarpments into dauphin regions. The strong area of low pressure will likely develop over the prairies and it has already caused chaos in Western prairie provinces with extreme wind gusts. This area of low pressure will bring a swath of showers into southern sections in Manitoba during the afternoon and evening. Justin is already given details on where the strongest wins will happen however I encourage everyone to tie up their loose items and trampolines if you live in southeastern Manitoba the wind threat will not be as significant as in Western Manitoba with gusts up to 70km/h. A wind warning criteria has been met in western Manitoba so expect wind gusts over 90 kilometers an hour in that region. Winds will likely calm down during the overnight hours temperatures are likely to drop again into the single digits which is considered normal for this time of year. 

A warmer temperature pattern will persist this weekend, with temperatures in the teens and the lower single digits for lows. Sunny skies will persist into the week as well. Temperatures are likely to rebound by mid week into the end of the week with highs in the teens to low 20's. Overall a good week ahead with minimal precipitation.