Friday, November 5, 2021

Exceptionally Warm Weekend on the Way

 Good evening everyone, looks like it could possibly end up being an exceptionally warm weekend for much of southern Manitoba and the forecast areas. My forecast for Friday ended up turning out on the warmer side of things with highs around 8-12C across the south. As for the pattern An upper ridge of high pressure will be setting up over the northern plains with a strong southwesterly flow in place. There is a possibility that this weather could end up breaking records. Find out how long it will last and how hot it will get . 

Saturday: Will end up being a day with partly cloudy skies and a small chance for showers. Winds will end up being out of the south to southwest, ahead of an area of low pressure off in the NW United States. Temperatures will soar and possibly into record values, the chance exists for highs in the low to mid teens (10 to 15C). If your over by the Manitoba lakes, highs may struggle to reach 10C as the lake water has cooled a fair bit since the summer. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy with 30% chance of showers in the afternoon, High 14C. Brandon: Partly cloudy, High 13C. Dauphin: Partly cloudy, high 12C. 

Saturday Night: A weak occluded front off of a low pressure system will move through the region on Saturday Night, bringing in heavier cloud and chance of showers. Though light rain should be expected, a majority of the showers should be in eastern sections of Manitoba by the morning hours. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid single digits (2 to 5C).  overnight with areas just along the MB/SK border dropping below 0C to about -2C.

Sunday: A trough of low pressure will be moving into the western half of Manitoba by the afternoon into the evening. Ahead of it mostly cloudy skies can be expected in the morning hours with clearing and sunnier skies by the afternoon in the south central and southeastern half of the region. The exception being the western half of Manitoba seeing cloudy skies by the afternoon hours. Temperatures will soar once again into the low to mid teens in much of the region (10 to 15C), the only exception will be the interlakes where highs will only reach the high single digits (8 to 10C). Winnipeg: Cloudy, then becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 11C. Brandon: Mainly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy in the afternoon high 10C. Dauphin: Mainly cloudy then becoming a mix of sun and cloud High 10C. 

Sunday Night: A cold front will be moving through the southern half of Manitoba overnight into Monday. behind this cooler air will filter in gradually. Unfortunately this will likely end the warm weather streak we have had. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid minus single digits (0 to -4C) to overnight into the morning. With areas in extreme southeastern Manitoba escaping the cold only seeing lows in the low single digits (0 to 4C). Winnipeg: Clearing, low 0C. Brandon: Clear. Low -3C. Dauphin: Clear low -1C. 

Sneak peak at The Week ahead: It appears a area of high pressure will move its way eastwards along with it some seasonal to slightly above seasonal temperatures are expected with highs in the upper single digits (5 to 10C) and lows in the lower single digits (2 to 5C) to the low minus single digits (-4C to 0C). There also is a chance for a storm system to impact the region on Tuesday/Wednesday with a chance at rain or snow. We will keep you updated on that as new model data comes in. 

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