Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Cold weather continues

 Much of southern Manitoba continues to sit in a trough of low pressure, the good news is that this pattern looks to shift in the next few days to slightly warmer weather.


 

Wednesday: Will end up being one of the colder days of the week, high pressure will drift off to our east in the high plains and the Midwest of the USA by the morning hours moving into Ontario by afternoon. It will still make an impact on our weather and will allow for a southerly flow to take place. Sunny skies should be in place for much of the region during the afternoon. Temperatures will soar into the mid to high single digits (5 to 9C), with the warmest weather expected in the western half of Manitoba.  Winnipeg: Partly cloudy in the morning then Sunny, high 6C. Brandon: Sunny high 7C. Dauphin: Sunny High 8C. 

Wednesday Night: Clear skies are forecast for a large part of our region , there’s a chance for some cloudy skies to develop by morning in the red river valley region. Overnight low temperatures will drop well into the mid to high minus single digits (-3 to -8C). Unfortunately it’ll end up being a cold Thursday morning. Winnipeg: Clear, becoming cloudy by morning low -5C. Brandon: Clear low -5C. Dauphin: Clear, low -2C. 

Thursday: The sun will be shining on Thursday for a good portion of southern Manitoba, temperatures are likely to soar into the mid to high single digits (5 to 9C) for the region with the possibility of some areas in southwestern Manitoba getting up to 10C. Winnipeg: Sunny high 6C. Brandon: Sunny, high 8C. Dauphin: Sunny high 9C. 

Thursday Night: Will end up being one of the warmer nights of the week, increasing cloudcover is likely ahead of a warm front approaching the region. Temperatures for a majority of the region will stay above zero in the low single digits ( 0 to 3C),  the exception being areas of the interlakes, western Manitoba along highway 1 up to portage la prairie and just west of Lake Manitoba, as well as eastern Manitoba. Areas in those regions will drop into the low minus single digits (-1 to -3C). The odd exception being the red River valley and Winnipeg where temperatures will drop to a degree or 2 below zero (-1 to -3C) then warm up above zero (0 to 2C)  after midnight with cloud rolling in. Winnipeg: Clear, then increasing clouds temperature -2C rising to 2C by morning. Brandon: Clear then increasing clouds before morning, low -2C. Dauphin, clear then increasing clouds before morning. Low 2C. 

Friday: Mostly cloudy skies are expected during the day as a low pressure system moves through the region, there will be a chance for showers in the afternoon as a cold front moves through. Any showers that form won’t last long and should move out of the region by the evening hours. Unfortunately because of model data differing it could either end up being in the low to mid teens for most or the mid to high single digits. For now I’m going with the Current NAM model guidance, it  shows areas in the southwest will have a chance at getting close to 10C. High temperatures will soar into the high single digits in the southwest (5 to 10C). Highs in the southeast and the interlakes and the west central part of Manitoba will only rise into the low to mid single digits, (2 to 5C). Regardless wear a jacket if you all can. Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon . High 5C. Brandon: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon High 9C. Dauphin: Cloudy with 30% chance of showers. High 9C. 

Friday Night: Cloudy skies should linger as an area of low pressure gradually exits the region, some residual showers should be hanging around in the Red River Valley and eastern Manitoba. Some clearing can be expected in extreme southwestern Manitoba, through the overnight period. Temperatures won’t dip much and will likely only drop into the low to mid single digits (2 to 7C), southwestern Manitoba will be on the colder side of things where lows may drop closer to 0C. Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the evening low 6C. Brandon: 30% chance of showers in the early evening then cloudy. Low 3C. Dauphin: Cloudy with 30% chance of showers in the early evening. Low 6C.

The weekend: A slight ridge will build into the region and it will allow for temperatures to soar into the high single digits and low to mid teens on Saturday and Sunday, calm weather is also likely . Overnight lows will end up being the same with lows in the low to high single digits. 

Have a good rest of your week! Another blog will be written on Friday late morning. 

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