Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Unsettled weather makes a return.

 Much of southern Manitoba has been experiencing average temperatures and calm weather over the past week and a half, that trend looks to continue. The only thing is that we can expect some slightly unsettled weather and possibly a tad colder weather. Read on to Find out what we can expect weather wise and how cold things will get. 



(Above: Rain is expected for the day on Wednesday into Thursday. Amounts will vary, it won’t be a wash out but in general I’m only expecting 5-10mm maybe even 15mm in sections of the white shell)

Wednesday: Will end up being a cool and cloudy to start off, an approaching area of low pressure and trough off in southwestern Manitoba in the morning will move into the red river valley and eastern sections of the province by afternoon. Ahead of it a southerly flow will bring in showers for the afternoon and some of them may end up being heavier in some regions of the southeast. On average amounts are expected to be between 5-10mm, with 15mm possible in some localities. Temperatures will only rise into the mid to high single digits (5 to 10C). The exception being southwestern Manitoba , where the sun might be able to come out with those places seeing highs in the high single digits to the low teens (10 to 15C). 

Wednesday Night: Showers are expected to continue for the evening hours in the red river valley and the southeast, with the exception of the southwestern half of Manitoba seeing clear skies. Cloudy skies are expected to stick around in the east overnight into the morning hours. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid single digits overnight (2 to 5C), some places may even get as cold as the low minus single digits (-1 to -3C) especially just west of lake Manitoba.

Thursday: A northwesterly flow will take over and as a result cloudy skies are expected in the southeastern half of Manitoba during the day, the good news is that this will clear by the late afternoon hours. Sunny skies are expected in western Manitoba including the pembina valley just west of the red river valley. Temperatures will suffer however and won’t rise much in areas with heavier cloud, high single digits and low to mid teens are likely in the southwest part of Manitoba (8 to 14C). Areas in the southeast, interlakes and eastern sections can only expect to see highs in the mid to high single digits (5 to 9C). Dress Warm!! 

Thursday Night: Clear skies are likely for a majority of southern Manitoba, the exception being southeastern sections where fog is possible. It’s hard to tell on the cloud cover forecast model. Regardless, I’m expecting temperatures to drop into the low to mid minus single digits overnight. (-1 to -4C) The exception will be areas of parts of the parklands, and the Manitoba lakes where lows will stay above freezing in the low single digits (1 to 4C).

Friday: The forecast gets a bit more tricky on Friday an area of low pressure will be moving into the region not only bringing increasing clouds on the north side of it with a chance of showers for some sections, but also helping boost temperatures for parts of the south. Larger areas of showers will develop in the second half of the day towards the late afternoon in the interlakes and western and eastern central Manitoba. Temperatures on the day Friday will soar into the low to mid teens with areas as far north as Dauphin seeing those temperatures as Far East as Winnipeg and just east of the Red River Valley. The exception being the interlakes and parts of eastern Manitoba where highs will only reach the high single digits (7 to 9C). 

A peak at Friday Night and the weekend: Rainy conditions are expected with a majority of that happening on Friday night, on the backside of that system on the weekend cloudy to partly cloudy skies are likely. Maybe even a chance for flurries on Sunday. Temperatures will once again sit in the low to mid single digits for daytime highs and overnight lows a couple degrees below or above zero during the overnight. Sunday will of course be the coldest of the weekend. We’ll talk about the snow more on Friday’s blog more in detail though. 

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