Friday, January 27, 2023

Extreme Cold Weather Arrives, Polar Vortex will likely influence our weather over the next few weeks.

 Hello Everyone Unfortunately, I have decided to take a hiatus on the blog (meaning weekly blog updates from now on) as not a lot of weather other than the extreme cold will be happening. Until the weather gets more active and if there is a change up in the pattern there probably won't be much in the way of weather updates. I'll still be sharing daily updates in the comments section, something that I havent done since 2014. 



Unfortunately it looks like a polar vortex will likely influence our weather over the next week heading into February. I'm seeing a very cold airmass sitting over much of the region. This same weather features sat over Russia and asia for the last few weeks. It doesn't look like any snowfall or significant weather will occur this weekend into next week. Temperatures will likely only sit in the low to mid minus 20's for day time high temperatures on Saturday this weekend with a likelihood of temperatures overnight into the low to mid minus 30's on the night Saturday. Theres a high chance that windchill values could drop even lower with a majority of the windchills this weekend. I'm seeing windchill values in the low to mid minus 30's during the day on Saturday and Saturday night likely even seeing the low's drop into the mid to high minus 30's. During Sunday similar values in the low -30's are expected.


There is a concern that the windchill values on Sunday night could exceed minus 40C and that will be a high risk for areas of southwestern Manitoba. (Above). 


That photo above is the polar vortex sitting right over southern Manitoba on Friday next week, that will likely end up being the coldest period of weather this year so far. Sunny skies and partly cloudy skies are likely during this period. Heading into the week and next week I see a concern for this cold persisting well into the end of the week. The only breif reprieve I see is during the day on Monday when a clipper will likely pass through the region, with our daytime high values rising into the high minus teens with windchill values in the low minus 30's. The cold weather returns next week with a vengeance, overall daytime high temperatures will fluctuate between the high minus 20's and high minus teens.


(Left): Overnight low's will likely persist in the low minus 30's to the high minus 30's with windchills at a risk of dropping well into the minus 40's. Wednesday looks like it will end up being the coldest period of weather during the morning where windchills could exceed minus 40C. 


(Above): There is a glimmer of hope however, a break in this cold weather is possible by next weekend. I see temperatures returning to the high minus teens, you can thank the return of some low pressure systems drawing in some warmer pacific air. How long this pattern will last is uncertain. In the mean time stay warm, maybe even sip on some hot chocolate. 

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