Saturday, December 23, 2023

Warm Christmas and Fog with snow and freezing rain possible. Happy Early Merry Christmas!!!!!

 Much of southern Manitoba has been in a persistent period of warmer than average weather, the last 3 days much of our region has been enveloped in fog, and freezing drizzle. There also has been persistent southerly flow which has increased the development of low level moisture over the cold snowpack. 


Freezing Rain and snow expected during the morning hours, the highest risk is likely in areas of southeastern Manitoba for freezing rain. Snow is possible elsewhere. All the details below.

Tonight: there will be a batch of freezing rain and drizzle over southern sections of Manitoba, areas from the Pembina valley east into the red river valley. Temperatures overnight will be in the low minus single digits in the southwest and right around freezing in the southeast part of Manitoba. There will be a sharp temperature contrast by morning.

Sunday: A batch of Precipitation will move into southern Manitoba as part of a developing storm system In Nebraska, a area of freezing rain will move into areas just southeast of Winnipeg, if not the city itself. A risk of freezing rain will occur for areas of the red river valley during the morning before snow moves into the rest of the region by late morning, early afternoon. A general 3-5cm can be expected across the region by the evening hours. Areas east of Brandon and Carberry to winnipeg have the highest chances for picking up more than 2cm. High temperatures will drop below zero into the low minus single digits for the day on Sunday. 

Sunday Night: A clearer and calmer airmass will move into our region, temperatures will likely drop into the low minus teens in the southwest and areas of the southeast will see lows in high minus single digits around minus 3 to minus 7C. Windchills will drop into the minus teens.

The Week Ahead: A strong storm system will likely impact the northern plains as far south as Nebraska and into southern North Dakota. There will be a need to watch this system as it develops, but most models hint at it moving into the Superior region by Tuesday. If this system misses us, a majority of the weather here will remain calm temperatures in southwest Manitoba will be on the cooler side during the week with highs in the mid minus single digits and  lows in the minus mid teens,  areas in the southeast will see highs in the mid to high minus single digits, around zero and overnight lows in the mid to high minus single digits.


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