Rain, freezing rain and snow begins transition to colder weather.

Southern portions of Manitoba have experienced a warmer than average period Of weather over the past few weeks, that looks to end abruptly as a low pressure system moves through the region over the next several hours.  This will impact our weather tonight into tomorrow, all hazards of  winter weather are expected find out what they are and the timing of precipitation. Also this blog will be a bit shorter compared to other blogs that I’ve done I am only going to be looking at tonight and tomorrow’s weather with a little glance for Friday. 

Now-Friday 

Southern sections of Manitoba will be on the Northside of a low pressure system, A warm front will be attached to the system which will impact our region and cause some winter weather over the next 24 hours. Precipitation has already started to fill into the regions of southern Manitoba, With rain falling in vast portion of the south. Snow is also falling in sections of Southeastern Manitoba and southwestern Manitoba but a few patches in the northern Interlakes regions. 

Timing and Precipitation Type, Location: Wednesday Night. (Photo above is at 12am local time). 

The system will begin to intensify over the next 3 to 6 hours, looking at some of the model Dad I recently it looks like the majority of the precipitation will fall as rain or freezing rain between Brandon into the red river valley and a small portion south east of Winnipeg. There is also a chance that some of this precipitation could mix with snow however that does not look likely in the latest model runs.  Freezing rain is more likely in areas of Southeastern Manitoba, as well as sections between Arborg and Gimli. Those interested where the snowfall it looks like there may be some snow mixed with freezing rain in areas of Southeastern Manitoba with just plain snow in regions of southwestern Manitoba between Brandon into Killarney, and pilot mound. The large amount of moisture and precipitation will exit southern regions, Shortly before dawn or after sunrise. As it moves into Minnesota and Ontario will be a chance for some rain mixed with snow in Winkler regions as well as sign back in to Sprague and Piney regions. 

Accumulations:

If this changes on future model runs I will let you guys know. Snow:As far as precipitation accumulation goes, areas of south western Manitoba including Brandon into Killarney can expect 1 to 3 cm. Snowfall accumulations in south eastern Manitoba will be between 1-5cm. Freezing Rain and mixed precipitation. : For sections of Southeastern Manitoba and patches in Interlakes region can expect a trace to 2 mm of freezing rain, there is also a risk for freezing rain in the accumulation of 1 mm in red River Valley and areas that will see rainfall. Rain: large portion from the red river valley into Southwestern Manitoba we’ll see between 1 to 8 mm of rain that is quite concerning as temperatures will likely drop below zero by the morning. The largest accumulations of will occur south of Winnipeg along highway 1 into the white shell. 

Temperatures: will drop between zero and -3°C by sunrise they will also gradually drop throughout the rest of the day. For the most part overnights sections of the Red River Valley and Southwestern Manitoba will remaining above zero (1 to 2C) overnight into Thursday. However the temperature will drop towards sunrise their actual overnight low temperatures dropping between -1 and -4°C around 6am. This is a concern for a large portion of the region which well experience rain and freezing rain throughout the overnight. This will potentially cause accidents and travel difficulties because of the ice buildup from the rainfall of forecasted 1 to 8mm which will freeze possibly overnight into the morning hours.  You have your salt and ice melter. 

Forecast: Winnipeg: Mainly Rain or snow mixed with freezing rain at times, late this evening and after midnight. Rain ending before morning then snow. Rainfall accumulation, 3-5mm. Snowfall amounts Trace to 1cm. Low +3C falling to -2 by 6 a.m. 

Brandon:  Periods of Rain or snow, risk of freezing rain 30% chance. Snowfall amounts: 1 to 3 cm, rainfall amounts trace to 1mm. Low temperature: 3C falling 2 to -4 Celsius by morning.

Thursday and Friday: On Thursday there looks to be a risk for freezing drizzle or freezing rain in the early afternoon hours. Then cloudy skies should be the dominating feature on Thursday and Friday, as well both days look to be cooler than average our temperatures will likely drop into the mid minus single digits (-5 to -9C) for daytime high temperatures and overnight lows in the high minus single digits to low minus teens (-6 to -12C).

Stay safe and stay tuned Manitoba weather centre for updates on this evolving situation.

Falls Last Hurrah, before gradual pattern change .

 Southern Manitoba has been in a unusually warm pattern over the past couple weeks, this trend looks to continue as a southerly flow kicks inas a area of high pressure moves off to the east. The warmth will be notable as a attendant warm front sits over parts of Manitoba and Ontario. Read on to find out how this will be the feature of our weather this week. 

Monday: Itll be one of those typical fall days, I’m expecting cloudy to partly cloudy skies were majority of southern Manitoba. Areas in the southeast sections will be under cloudy skies They’re also will be a chance for some flurries and mixed precipitation in the southeast during the morning and early afternoon, and the areas south west section of Manitoba will have partly cloudy skies. Temperatures for the day on Monday will be in the low to mid minus single digits in the southeast (-1 to -6C), and in the low single digits in the southwest portion of Manitoba (1 to 3C) as the west winds move in behind the warm front. Winnipeg: Cloudy high temperature 3°C, Brandon: Partly cloudy high temperature 5C. 

Monday night: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies are expected for the region, Overnight lows for majority of southern Manitoba will be sticking in the mid minus single digits, (-7 to 0°C). The warm front should be in Northwestern Ontario by morning, which will help boost our temperatures. Winnipeg: Cloudy periods, Low -4°C, Brandon: Cloudy, Low -3C. 

Tuesday: This will be one of the couple of the last days above zero!!! Partly cloudy skies are expected for the region, some periods of sun may occur. A Majority of southern Manitoba will be seeing temperatures well above zero. Temperatures will range from 1C to 9C. This warmth will stretch all the way up into northern Manitoba where the temperatures will rise into the low single digits zero to 2C. (not in extreme northern regions however). Winnipeg: Cloudy, high temperature 4C, Brandon: Cloudy, high 5C. 

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy to clear skies are expected overnight a westerly wind for temperatures not to drop that much. A Majority of the Interlakes and southern regions of Manitoba will see temperatures in the high minus single digits (-5 to -9C). There will be a likelihood of windchills between (-11 to -13C), especially over lake Winnipeg and south of lake Winnipeg. Winnipeg: Partly Cloudy, low minus 7C windchill -11C. Brandon: Cloudy, low -6C. 

Wednesday: A clipper system will approach southwestern Manitoba during the afternoon hours, no precipitation will occur with this however large amount of cloud cover are expected. Once again our daytime high temperatures will soar into the low to mid single-digits in southwest, red river valley, southeast portions. (0 to 7C). The northern inter lakes, Manitoba lakes , and areas east of lake Winnipeg will see below zero temperatures. Winnipeg: Cloudy, high 3°C .Brandon: Cloudy, high plus 4°C. 

Second half of the week: A arctic cold front looks too slide south into southern sections of Manitoba which will drop our temperatures slightly below normal. This means instead of seeing temperatures in the plus range we will see temperatures likely slide into the mid minus single-digits for day time high temperatures (-1C to -9C) and high minus single digits or low minus teens for overnight lows (-9 to -15C).

Warm spell to continue

Southern Manitoba over the past 7-10 days or so has had exceptionally warmer than average temperatures, with a majority of day time high temperatures reaching a few degrees above zero and in the low to mid minus single digits for daytime highs. A ridge of high pressure looks to establish itself over the northwestern part of the unites states over the coming days and we will be on the northern end of it. This should have a significant effect on our weather, read on to find out how that will affect us below. 

Wednesday: Southern Manitoba will be on The edge of an area of High pressure, as we are on the northern end of it warm air should filter in once again on Wednesday. Some cloud cover from the overnight hours will clear out of the province in the early afternoon hours. Not much in the way of weather is expected, temperatures for parts of southern Manitoba will soar above 0°C and it may be slightly cooler or below zero in the interlakes region. For those wondering I’m expecting temperatures between -3°C in the southeast where the cooler temperatures will be and areas for the rest of the part of the southern half of the province will see temperatures between 3C and -2°C. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy and mostly sunny with a few clouds high temperature +3°C .Brandon: Sunny with a few clouds high temperature +2°C. 

Wednesday Night: The mild and calm weather conditions continue , mainly clear skies are expected with a few to scattered clouds around. A westerly flow aloft will continue to provide mild temperatures. A Majority of southern Manitoba will experience temperatures between -6C and -12°C. Areas in southeastern Manitoba will be on the cooler side. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, low temperature -7°C. Brandon: Mainly clear, low temperature -6°C. 

Thursday: Will be one of the warmer days of the latter half of the week. The sun will be out and it will definitely not feel like December in fact we may see a large portion of southern Manitoba, with temperatures above zero (0 to 5C) especially towards the parklands into south western Manitoba. Areas from the red river valley, interlakes and into southeastern portions will be slightly above zero to a degree or 2 below zero (3 to -4C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, high temperature +3°C. Brandon: Sunny high temperature +3°C. 

Thursday Night: Cloudy skies are expected in increasing amounts for the region, a arctic cold front will drive south throughout the overnight hours. Behind it a weak high pressure system that will move into northern Ontario will allow for cooler air to filter in overnight. Low temperatures for the region will drop into the high minus single digits -5°C to -12°C. Areas in the red river valley may experience cooler temperatures. Winnipeg: Cloudy, low temperature -10°C windchill -14°C. Brandon: Cloudy, low temperature -8°C. 

Friday: Cloudy skies and seasonal temperatures are expected on Friday, extreme south western portions of Manitoba may experience temperatures a couple of degrees above zero (0 to 2C). The rest of the region parklands, interlakes , southeast Manitoba during the day will see temperatures a few degrees below zero, (-2 to -5C). Winnipeg: Cloudy, high temperature -3C. Brandon: Partly to mostly cloudy high temperature 0°C. 

The weekend: There could be a chance for freezing rain on Saturday in the interlakes and red river valley area, otherwise calm weather is expected. Above average temperatures will continue the majority of our temperatures will be in the mid minus single digits just slightly above zero (4 to -5C) for daytime highs and overnight lows in the low minus single digits to low minus double digits (-5 to -14C).  

Calm weekend with near seasonal temperatures, some good news as well.

 Southern Manitoba has been in a below normal, to near normal temperature pattern as forecasted earlier this week, that looks to continue into the weekend I also have some good news find out read on more to find out what that is. 

Cold to start the week with warmer temperatures arriving

Everyone I’m back from a short break a well needed one as I have been working on blog posts for the majority of the summer and fall . Post will be sporadic but they will still be posted in the event that we have any major changes in weather. In regards to this week Southern Manitoba can expect a cooler than average start to the week as a large area of high-pressure will be establishing himself over the Canadian provinces, that will be the weather maker for the week ahead. 

Above Tuesday will be the last cooler than average day of the week before it warms up on Wednesday.

Monday: Area of high-pressure will be moving towards the province of Manitoba throughout the day on Monday. The day ahead on Monday will start off mostly cloudy for a majority of regions in the southern half of the province, some partly cloudy skies may be around in the interlakes. Sunshine expected in the afternoon for the majority of the southern half of the province. Northerly winds can be expected throughout the day ahead of the area of high-pressure, temperatures will not budge much for the day I’m only expecting High temperatures to rise into the mid to  high minus single digits, in general anywhere from -6°C to -10°C. Forecast; Winnipeg: Cloudy in the morning then sunny, high -6C. Brandon: Cloudy , then becoming sunny in the afternoon high -3C. 

Monday Night: Partly cloudy skies then cloudy skies are expected for the night on Monday, around the morning hours cloudy skies are expected for majority of the region. As cloudy skies are expected to be in place temperatures won’t drop much. Low temperatures in southern Manitoba will drop into the high minus single digits and Low minus double digit temperatures,  especially in areas that are in the red river valley and lakes region. This means that The red river valley will see low temperatures between -10°C and -14°C with the windchill is getting closer to -20°C. Overnight low temperatures for the rest of southern Manitoba will be between -7°C and -10°C. Forecast, Winnipeg: cloudy, low -12°C windchill -18°C. Brandon: cloudy Low-10°C.  

Tuesday: As mentioned above the area of high-pressure will be moving through southern Manitoba on Tuesday as it moves through the province Palm conditions are expected with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies. Majority of the region will see temperatures in the mid single digits with some regions seeing temperatures in the low minus single digits (-1 to -7C). Winnipeg: partly cloudy high -3°C. Brandon: Partly cloudy high temperature -4°C. 

Tuesday Night: There will also be cloudy skies on Tuesday night and into Wednesday. Temperatures on Tuesday night will warm as the area of high-pressure moves out to the east this will allow our temperatures to rise gradually overnight. This means that mid minus single digits in the evening will rise to the low minus single digits overnight. This will mean that temperatures will drop between -5°C and -1°C in extreme south western portions of Manitoba. Winnipeg:  cloudy Low -2°C, Brandon: cloudy low -4°C.

 Wednesday: Mainly cloudy skies are expected in the morning with Sunny skies for the afternoon with a mix of sun and cloud expected. An approaching low-pressure system will be drawing in a southerly airmass for the day on Wednesday, as a result a majority of southern Manitoba will be experiencing above normal temperatures for the day on Wednesday. Temperatures will be in the range of 4°C to 10°C with the warmer temperatures expected towards the American border. Winnipeg: Sunny and high temperature 8°C, Brandon: sunny high temperature 5°C.

The second half of the week looks to have an area of low pressure move through the province of Manitoba which will drop our temperatures for the latter half of the week, it is really difficult at this point in time to figure out if we will be getting any precipitation as the frontal system goes through we will monitor this for further updates. 

Slightly cold weekend followed by a winter storm!!

 The province of Manitoba has experienced an exceptionally warmer than average period Of weather over the the past week, however that won’t last much longer as a Colorado low is developing in the states. That is expected to impact Manitoba towards the latter half of the weekend. Read on ,, to find out how that will affect us. 

Heat Wave coming to southern Manitoba.

 This week will be the beginning of a well above average temperature trend, you can thank that to an area of high pressure and a building ridge over the west coast. Find out how this will impact our weather this week. Read on to find out...

 A look at the warmer than average temperatures expected for the day on Tuesday!! Enjoy it well you can . 

Monday Night: Will be a calm night, light winds are expected out of the W to SW. Clear skies are expected not really anything huge in terms of weather conditions, overnight low temperatures will drop from slightly below zero into the mid single digits (-1 to 5C). Winnipeg: Clear, low 0C. Brandon: Clear low 0C. Dauphin: Clear to partly cloudy low , 5C. 

Tuesday: Will be one of the warmest days of the week, a majority of southern regions of the province can expect a southerly wind along with sunny skies . ushering in temperatures in the mid to high double digits (12-18C). Winnipeg: Sunny high 13C. Brandon: Sunny, high 14C. Dauphin: Sunny high 16C. 

Tuesday Night: Clear skies are expected with a majority of the region still remaining under the ridge. Some light cloud will filter into the southwest part of Manitoba into the morning hours. Overnight lows will drop into slightly below (0C to 6C). Winnipeg: Clear, low 1C, Brandon: Clear, then partly cloudy low 0C. Dauphin: Partly cloudy, low 5C.

Wednesday: A small low pressure system will move through during the early morning hours, this will bring in some light cloudcover but the sun should still manage to peak out.  Winds will shift to the NW during the afternoon then to the W, temperatures will soar into the low to mid double digits (10 to 16C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, high 12C. Brandon: Sunny, high 14C. Dauphin: Sunny high 10C.

Wednesday Night: A cold front will likely move southeast during the evening hours, behind it increasing amounts of cloud cover will filter in and this is crucial as there will be some prevention of overnight lows dropping well below zero. A large majority of southern Manitoba will see lows between (-2 to 5C). Areas that will probably be below zero will be along and south of the Manitoba lakes and along highway 1. Winnipeg: Clear increasing clouds by morning then cloudy, low zero. Brandon: Clear then partlycloudy, becoming cloudy by morning low 0C, Dauphin: Cloudy, low 1C.

Second half of the week: Above normal temperatures continue , before a possible storm could come in by the weekend.  Long range models are hinting at a low pressure system bringing in the threat for a snow storm/winter storm impacting a large portion of the southeastern Canadian prairie provinces. The data is still quite off with some models moving the storm into SW MB as far North as Thompson and Churchill with amounts over 100cm, while others are hinting at it impacting far southwest Manitoba into the central portions of the province with less snowfall . None are showing it for the southern half so far . We will update you . 

-Mike McGregor