Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Another day of warm weather leads to cooler conditions for the remainder of the week

Today will be our last day of warm conditions as a cold front slides south into southern Manitoba, from northern Manitoba. Temperatures will drop dramatically behind this cold front. So enjoy the warmth well it stays.


As the cold front drives through late this afternoon and early evening there may be a few showers and thundershowers that could develop along and ahead of the front. Most should weaken around midnight. Light and breezy north winds will develop behind this front, making our low temperatures drop to slightly above zero with areas in the northern interlakes and westman getting below zero. Winnipeg will be around 3 degrees overnight.

The rest of the week will be cooler than average. High temperatures will be in the high single digits for eastman and the Red River Valley, whereas there will be mid double digits out west. Little in the way of cloudcover and light north winds for the day Thursday, overnight lows will be slightly below zero and even colder up north where lows can be expected in the mid minus single digits. Winnipeg will be near 10C and have a low of -2C. Brandon will be near about 13C and a low of minus two celcius.

Friday looks like an interesting day weatherwise, a frontal boundary will move across southern Manitoba bringing a chance of showers and weak thunderstorms. Although under a mix of sun and cloudy skies. High temperatures will be in the mid to high single digits out in the Red River Valley and eastman, with warmer temperatures out west experiencing high temperatures in the low double digits. Brandon should have a high temperature of 11C on Friday, with Winnipeg at about 8C. Lows again just shy above zero at 2C in Winnipeg and 5C in Brandon.



Long Range:

GEFS Ensemble showing warmth returning on the 28th of April, warm weather looks to setup beyond that timeframe as a zonal flow of air from the pacific kicks in. Watch the loop here.... http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallmref.html

NAEFS showing above normal temperatures returning April 28th through the 5th of May, possibly beyond that timeframe.

The weekend looks like a cool/seasonable but sunny weekend, our temperatures return to seasonal values for the start of next week through the week. Signs though of a warming trend are starting up by the 28th of April as a more zonal flow looks to setup. This may be the start of a more sustained warmup.

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