Friday, May 10, 2024

Showers and Thunderstorms Possible On Saturday, calmer weather to follow

Hello Manitobans This is another weather blog update for your weekend weather, We may have an interesting weekend ahead for weather southern sections of our province will be experiencing a many heat wave as a result of an incoming area of low pressure. This will make for the first of what is likely many days of summer weather ahead, There is a possibility of seeing our first decent chance of seeing scattered showers and thunderstorms find out more in this weekend's weather blog. 


Southern sections Manitoba will likely  see high temperatures on Saturday rising well into the 20s there is a possibility that areas specifically at the Red River Valley and southeastern Manitoba may see values between 25 and 30 degrees celsius this is dependent though on how much of a southerly flow we can draw in ahead of the low pressure system in the warm sector. The low pressure system that is impacting southern sections of Manitoba will move through during the late afternoon hours a general 500 to 800 joules per kilogram of Cape looks to be in place, initiation may take place depending on the timing of the fronts either in southeastern Manitoba or over the Manitoba Lakes. Some model runs had thunderstorms developing over the southern part of Lake Manitoba and moving through the Red River Valley newer model runs now are suggesting thunderstorms developing just to the east of Winnipeg. However Environment Canada still has a 60% chance of seeing showers with the risk of thunderstorms for areas of the Red River valley there is a possibility that areas further west in western Manitoba may also see thunderstorms developed during the afternoon instability along the fronts remains to be quite low however there will be a good chance regardless for some rural parts of the province to see scattered showers or thunderstorms mainly non severe nature. Environment Canada did mention that there is a possibility for a rogue severe wind gust or two however that does not look like it will be a significant concern for the afternoon with thunderstorms that develop.

Saturday night mainly with clear skies are forecast and a awesome overall temperature trend will likely continue with our overnight lows dropping into the low teens for areas of southeastern and south central Manitoba, a little bit further to the west areas in western Manitoba including the parklands maybe a bit cooler with overnight lows in the upper single digits.

Sunday: Beautiful sunny skies are forecast for a majority of our region and a little bit cooler though that is good because we had a little bit of a heat burst forecast on Saturday, General Lee high temperatures are forecast to be in the upper teens and low 20s. Generally areas north of highway one will only see high temperatures in the mid to high teens areas further north maybe closer to about 15 degrees. 

Sunday Night: Much of southern Manitoba is going to be experiencing a colder air mass on Sunday night with a majority of our lows actually dropping closer to the normal temperatures we see in April or March with lows between two to five or six degrees. The good news is that mainly clear skies are forecast during the overnight. 


Moran settled weather conditions are possible during the first half of the week with high temperatures continuing to remain seasonal mainly in the high teens and low 20s and overnight lows in the upper single digits and low teens, there is a possibility for more shower thunderstorm activity during Tuesday into Wednesday we will know more by the beginning of the week.





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