Monday, August 20, 2012

The Summer Heat Returns!

We will be welcoming back the heat of summer In Southern Manitoba for the coming 2 weeks, after a period cool and wet weather that has been in place.

The NAM indicates we could have some 30C+ Temperatures in some places during the day Tuesday. Tip: add 13C to the temperature you see on the map using the temperature legend.
As predicted, a ridge of high pressure will build over the province this week allowing for the warmest weather conditions to develop that we have seen this August in the province. So how are our temperatures shaping up province wide? Well for the Rest of the day today we can expect to temperatures rise into the mid twenties, although cooler as you head north. Lots of sunshine will be in place allowing for UV Levels to approach the 7 to 8 mark (which is the high values). The real heat comes on Tuesday when most places could record their first 30 degree reading of the month, as we see warm air ride in from the Pacific. In addition to the hot weather there could be some places that surpass 30, especially along the American border.

Unfortunately, the ridge will begin breaking down on both Wednesday and Thursday as a series of Shortwaves move in from the Pacific Coast. These shortwaves will have one or more low pressure systems associated with them, they will create some unsettled weather over the Southern Part of the province during the second half of the week. Current information from Spotwx indicates that an Easterly to Southeasterly flow will likely develop over most regions of Southern Manitoba out ahead of our first approaching low pressure system of the month. We may or may not reach 30C on Wednesday depending on air flow and position of fronts. It is still a possibility that we could see temperatures in the high 20's, though I am not certain if it will get warmer.

Thursday looks interesting for stormchasers as there appears to be a risk for thunderstorms in Southern Manitoba as a strong southerly flow brings more humid air up from the Gulf Of Mexico, out ahead of a low pressure system. This will be the first risk for thunderstorms we have seen in a while. Might also mean a threat for more severe weather if we have the right ingredients come together. Hopefully Capping isn't an issue, cause capping always prevents storm development.

As the weekend approaches NOAA Weather Models indicate an arrival of a series of low pressure systems through our portion of the province.  If the systems continue developing it will mean a warm and wet last weekend of August.

Get out there and enjoy the nice Weather! Head to the beach or go for a nice walk....

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