Friday, November 9, 2012

Major Winter Storm System Takes Aim At Southern Manitoba (Thank You to Rob's Blog For The Information On The Storm System!)

The well advertised winter storm that we have been following the past week is now in the province, snow started this afternoon in Western Manitoba and will be continuing to spread eastwards into the rest of Southern Manitoba through this evening and overnight, with very heavy snow expected over the weekend. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for much of southern Manitoba including Dauphin, Brandon, Winnipeg and the RRV. This means there will likely be general snowfall amounts of 2 to 35cm across the area by Sunday Evening, with 40cm+ snowfall over portions of Western Manitoba and some places in the Red River Valley maybe even in Winnipeg. Further eastwards the storm will likely bring a band of freezing rain or ice pellets to the Ontario/Manitoba border overnight and Saturday, before changing to all snow Saturday night into Sunday.
 
In Winnipeg, light snow will develop this evening, becoming steadier and heavier after midnight with 5cm possible by Saturday Morning. Snow will be in place all day Saturday with 10 to 20cm likely by evening along with northeast winds gusting to 50 km/h at times. Additional snow is expected Saturday night into Sunday Evening before the storm gradually moves out Sunday night with snowfall totals of 25 to 35cm or higher across the Red River Valley, including Winnipeg.


Snowfall totals for Southern Manitoba based on GFS
Model Red is 40 to 50cm of snow, orange 30 to 40cm. 
Snowfall totals for Southern Manitoba based on NAM
Model. Orange is 30 to 40cm.

 
 
Regardless of the total snowfall we get, residents should be prepared for a long lasting period of snowy weather over southern MB beginning tonight, lasting through Saturday and Saturday into Sunday morning and tapering off later Sunday. Road conditions will crumple as the storm progresses, especially Saturday and Saturday night when the bulk of the snow is expected across southern MB. Be prepared for much slower travel times and possible road closures. I wouldn't be surprised if highway 75 to the USA and highway 1 TransCanada to Saskatchewan were to be closed tomorrow. Northerly winds of 30 to 50 km/h will accompany the storm with reduced visibilities at times in snow and blowing snow. Improving conditions are expected later Sunday as the storm moves off. Please note that this storm will also be affecting North Dakota, NW Minnesota and NW Ontario, keep in mind if you have travel plans in those places this weekend. For Manitoba Road Reports, Conditions, and Closures visit..... TheWeatherNetwork Interactive Road Conditions Map and Manitoba Government Road Condition Reports and Maps

WunderMap Interactive Radar
Intellicast Interactive Radar (Ignore
Writing if you can)
Track The Storm! Track the storm using Intellicast Interactive Weather Radar (Weather Active Map) using up to the minute radar data, zoomable clickable map, along with some great options for overlays. Try out KTIV Interactive Radar, Wundermap, and TheWeatherNetwork Radar as well. They are all great maps and I suggest these ones based on my personal findings over the timeframe I have used them.

4 comments:

  1. Update: Potential exists for 15 to 25cm of snow in the Red River Valley and parts of Southern Manitoba. Although there will be higher amounts possible in the Western portions of Manitoba and in the interlakes. There could be more snow in the Red River Valley if the current forecast for ice in the area changes to snow. Freezing rain is possible in Southeast Manitoba througout Saturday. More updates on the way! Questions are welcome, feel free to send me some.

    ReplyDelete
  2. As for snow timing the snow will begin falling in Southwest Manitoba within the next hour in areas such as Melita, Killarney, Pilot Mound and Roblin areas. That will gradually pull east as the night goes on reaching Winnipeg by about 2am at the latest. That will last throughout Saturday with the possibility of a few places seeing freezing rain tomorrow. I will have a look at things around 11am tomorrow and update information.

    Have a great Night everyone!

    ReplyDelete
  3. No Problem! Glad you enjoyed the post, It is a lot of work but it pays off.

    ReplyDelete

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