Monday, April 27, 2020

Typical Spring Pattern Ahead with Near Average Temperatures

Southern Manitoba is expecting a typical spring this week with seasonal temperatures and a chance for showers or thunderstorms to start the week. Read on to find out more !




Our weather this week will look fairly pleasant, with a couple waves of precipitation expected with Seasonal Temperatures likely. For the evening ahead expect mostly cloudy skies to occur in southern Manitoba , with some partly cloudy skies overnight . And Mostly cloudy skies in . Overnight lows will drop into the mid to high single digits some areas in the interlakes parklands, and Central Manitoba will see lows of 0 to 5C. Winds will be out of the west to NW in southern portions of the province. 

Tuesday may be a more interesting day for the province as a area of low pressure moves into Southern regions of the province while a area of arctic high pressure lingers in Northern regions of Manitoba. A area of low pressure moving into Southern Manitoba will contribute to a area of showers and or thunderstorms , depending on the-location localized amounts of 30mm or more may be possible. Most Convective Allowing high resolution Models are showing a area of showers and weak thunderstorms moving into Southern Manitoba by the mid to late afternoon . (Shown in 2 photos above ). There isn’t a lot of CAPE only below 1000J/Kg and weak shear will not really help storms organize that well . High temperatures will be in the 10 to 15C Range for Tuesday with a high temperature of 14C in Winnipeg , for Brandon 16C is expected . Elsewhere highs will be in the mid to high double digits (10 to 17C) .  

Winds will shift to the NW on Tuesday night with a cold northwesterly wind behind the cold front ) With lows in the mid single digits, below zero by the Lakes and on the lake shore. Low of 1C on Tuesday Night in Winnipeg and minus 1 in Brandon . 

The day on Wednesday should be much better weather wise ,, any leftover clouds on Tuesday night will clear and winds will shift to the South , under brisk 30-50kmh winds. Pleasant conditons are expected with a few clouds to partly cloudy skies , high temperatures will be in the mid to high double digits . High of 17C in Brandon and 15C in Winnipeg . 

The rest of the week should be beautiful under the influence of high pressure , with high temperatures in the mid to high teens, approaching twenty degrees in some areas closer to the USA border. There are signs as we get towards the Weekend that another area of low pressure will move in bringing a chance for rain or thunderstorms. 

Until then enjoy the beautiful weather . 








Friday, April 24, 2020

Unsettled weather for the weekend .

Southern Manitoba is Under the influence of a large ridge of high pressure which is stretching across the prairie provinces this weekend. Earlier this week we were awaiting a area of high pressure to slide gradually east across the prairie provinces. That is now centred over northern Manitoba which is allowing a west to south westerly wind into the province. That should be the main weather influence this weekend.

Warm weather expected on Saturday , despite some showers expected in the south east portion of the province . A large ridge of high pressure is moving east (isobars “lines” off to the right ) allowing warm temperatures into the province . For the weekend . 


The rest of the day today should be fairly pleasant there appears to be some fairly unstable air through the south west of the red river valley.Some pop up showers and thunderstorms have been occurring in the southwest corner of the province.  A weak area of low pressure will be in place this evening in the southwest regions of Manitoba that will aid in the possibility of further developing showers and thunderstorms in the southwest regions of the province . Your garden variety type thunderstorms however . Temperatures will be in the mid to high teens this evening , 15 in Brandon and 14 in Winnipeg. This evening as a area of low pressure moves east along the border area there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms to form, they will likely weaken by the time they reach the red river valley this evening.  Winds will be out of the east to northeast this evening .

As we head into the overnight hours , there will be off and on cloud cover as the area of weak low pressure skirts the USA border, overnight lows will drop into the mid to high single digits. 5 to 8C.

Heading into the day Saturday it will be a cloudier day as a area of low pressure gradually moves east into Northwestern Ontario. Showers and possibly a few rumbles of thunder might occur in the Red River Valley towards the southeastern portion of the province . Depending on strength of the rainfall we may get between 5 to 20mm of rain . More rain will fall in the Red River Valley than other portions of the province. As for the Red River Valley area There’s a possibility of 30mm in total if the rainfall does fall heavier than expected . I know you like sunny weather , the good news is that for those in the southwest portion of the province will be missing the showers and more under a mix of sun and cloud . .  Daytime high temperature will be in the 10 to 15 Degree range . For Winnipeg highs will be at 10-12C. For Brandon it will be a much nicer day for you as you’ll miss out on most of the rain, you’ll get a high temperature of 14C.

As we head into Saturday Night expect gradual clearing and clear skies overnight. Overnight lows will drop into the single digits . A low of Plus 5 in Winnipeg, and a low of plus 6 in Brandon. Elsewhere between Plus 7 in and near the border regions or rural areas. Closer to the lakes Lows will be near zero to minus 2. The lakes still have ice covered areas which will contribute to the lower temperatures. The winds overnight will be light out of the west.

The day on Sunday expect increasing clouds winds will shift the south ahead of an area of low pressure that will move into the province in the afternoon hours, showers and off and on rain may Occur as we go into the late afternoon hours. Behind that there will be a chance for heavy showers or weak thunderstorms, before clearing occurs in the evening . When the expected trough moves east into Ontario winds will shift to the west. High temperatures will reach the 10 to 20C degree range . For Winnipeg a high temperature of 16C is expected and Brandon will get a high temperature of 18C.

For Sunday night low temperatures will be much cooler , the bad news is that some areas may experience overnight lows below zero . Especially near the lakes and in southwestern Manitoba . Cloud cover in the southeastern region of the province will hinder temperatures from cooling much . Clear skies may be more likely in the western region of the province, with winds across the southern portion of the province blowing from the west temperatures for the most part will be above zero.  a low of plus 4 for Brandon and a low of 4-7C in Winnipeg.

As we move into the week ahead , expect high temperatures to remain in the mid to high teens (10 to 20C). On Monday beautiful weather expected and sunny skies a high of 18 to 19C for Winnipeg. The beginning of the week looks to remain stable and calm , there may be a low pressure system coming into the province for Tuesday bringing a chance for showers and/or thunderstorms. For the long range looks like the temperatures we started with the middle of the week look to stay . There should be a improvement in temperatures after the day Tuesday with beautiful weather and highs remaining in the mid to high double digits !! Enjoy!





Monday, April 20, 2020

Spring temperatures slowly arriving, this week.

Southern Manitoba has been locked in a persistent cooler than normal pattern for the past couple weeks. That looks to change this week. Read on to find out more !


An area of low pressure centred in Central Saskatchewan will bring a swath of snow into southern and central portions of Manitoba on Tuesday morning and afternoon. A max of 5cm expected as it moves through . Warmer weather will arrive on Wednesday. 


The day on Monday southern Manitoba will be in the wake of a area of low pressure , the day should start cloudy with a chance of flurries in western regions and then throughout the day you should see some clouds blend in with sun .Much of the day winds will be from the NW and model consensus has been showing a area of flurries or showers will develop in the interlakes and move SE there’s potential for some convective (lightning) activity in the cells to develop.  Most of the snow should melt on contact. Expect the flurries to taper off into the late evening hours. Temperatures on Monday will be from 1 to 7C for most .. High in Brandon plus 5C, high in Winnipeg 3C. 

Monday night expect clearing skies and winds out of the north west at 10-20 km an hour.  Monday Night -5C in Winnipeg , 
-3C in Brandon. 

The day on Tuesday will likely bring overcast skies. A warm front looks across the province with an area of snow moving it into the central region and parts of the southern portion of the province especially from the Riding Mountains into the Red River Valley eastwards . The good news is that winds will be out of the south so there will not be any brutally cold wind gusts associated with the snowfall . There may be some accumulations depending if snow melts on contact . High temperatures will be anywhere between 2 and 12 Celsius. Forecast 12C in Brandon , 3C in Winnipeg.

The winds in the evening will shift to the West allowing for the temperatures to moderate overnight, they will likely shift to the north overnights into the early morning hours on Wednesday. Expect mostly cloudy skies from the riding mountains into the red river valley and clear skies in the south west portion of the province. Cloud cover will increase in the morning hours. Overnight lows are expected to be between 0° and -5 Celsius.  0C in Brandon,  -3 in Winnipeg for overnight temperatures on Tuesday  . 


The middle to end of the week should be fairly pleasant , all as a ridge of high pressure builds into the Prairie provinces. As winds shift to the south, temperatures will rise into the low to mid double digits. Spring has Sprung !! Looks like the Ground hog was wrong , We didn’t have a early spring . ðŸ¤£ðŸ¤£






Saturday, April 18, 2020

Spring temperatures finally arrive!!

Southern Manitoba was Locked in a persistent cold pattern over the past couple of weeks. Southern Manitoba finally was able to experience the wind shifts at the end of the week. Temperatures look to remain near seasonal for the next few days, as a westerly flow to northwesterly flow remains in place .

Sunday will be the warmest day of the week, with temperatures exceeding the 10 Degree mark in some regions of the province. Warm weather continues into the week . 

 Saturday For southern Manitoba: There will be a chance for showers in the afternoon and evening behind a area of low pressure that moves into Northwestern Ontario on Saturday . The chance for showers will persist until 8 PM to 10 PM in the evening. There will be off and on cloudy skies in the afternoon depending where showers occur. There will be gradual clearing in the evening towards midnight. Winds will be out of the north so temperatures will not budge much. High temperatures on the day Saturday will be anywhere from 2° to 7 Celsius.


 As we switch to the overnight on Saturday winds will shift to the north overnight,  lows will drop into the low minus single digits minus 1 to minus 4.  There will be a slight chance for flurries and showers overnights. There should be some clearing as we head into the morning hours on Sunday.

Sunday should See a mix of sun and cloud with cloudier skies expected throughout the day. As a area of low pressure crosses the central portion of the province. depending on where you are there may be some sunny breaks. Winds will be out of the south west throughout the day which should aid in increasing temperatures to the high single digits to the low double digits (8 to 12C) . Yes that is on the plus side so that is the kind of weather we been looking for for a long time.

 Sunday night an area of low pressure will move into the province of Manitoba with a mixture of flurries and showers expected as it crosses the province , it will likely affect the western portion of the province overnight into the morning. Overnight lows on Sunday night will drop to 0°C or a couple degrees past the freezing mark. (-2 to -4C).

The area of low pressure that I talked about will be crossing the province for the rest of the day Monday. It will affect areas just south west of the red river valley, with a slight chance of flurries in the afternoon and evening on Monday.
Monday should be a partly to mostly cloudy. With temperatures anywhere between +2 and +8 Celsius.

For the remaining of the week it looks like a large upper ridge will build into the province of Manitoba and the Eastern and praries.  Will monitor future weather models to see if this verifies if it, does we will likely see temperatures in the double digits in much of southern Manitoba.

Monday, April 13, 2020

Winter Refuses to leave, Light at the end of the tunnel?


Long Wave Trough centered over Manitoba stretching from Alberta to Ontario. This will be the culprit of our cooler than Normal Weather for the next few days. 

Southern Manitoba will continue to be locked in a continued cold pattern with temperatures well below normal, behind a large upper trough with a persistent northerly flow in place. This trough will stretch from as far East as eastern Canada in Quebec and west towards Alberta. This feature will be a big influencer on our weather this week.

The day Monday will start fairly to partly cloudy for some sections of the southern portion of the province, a few areas may have some left over flurries from early
Monday Morning. Cloud cover will increase in the afternoon, with scattered flurries occurring from the Manitoba lakes and in some localized regions. There may be some snow squalls  near or off the lakes in the afternoon and evening. Temperatures won't budge much for the day with high temperatures only reaching -3 to -5C. Central regions of the province will be in the minus 10 to 12 degree Celsius for the day .

Monday Night
 Winds should be light out of the North, scattered cloud cover will affect many regions of the southern portion of the province. Overnight lows will drop into the minus 10 to minus 13 Celsius range. Windchills expected to be from minus 15 to minus 19. There will be some pop up flurries in some localized regions overnight into Tuesday.

Tuesday...
The day should start sunny, clouds will increase throughout the day. Some sunny breaks may occur at times in the afternoon. There will be a small  chance of flurries for some areas. High temperatures will be from minus 2 to minus 5 across the region. Winds will be light from the NW.

Tuesday Night
As we head into the night Tuesday, skies will be clear with a few to scattered clouds expected. Overnight lows will drop into the minus 7 to minus 13
Celsius range , winds will be out of the NW overnight.

Wednesday: Will be a transition day,  winds will finally switch to the west with some areas experiencing SW winds closer to the American border. As a result temperatures will rise into the low to mid single digits (1 to 4C). The reverse will be the case for central and northern regions of Manitoba as the warm air will only retreat into the interlakes (-5 to 9C). Cloud cover will be minimal with mostly sunny skies.

Good news as we get into the end of the week there is a chance of warmer weather shifting into our region with more spring like temperatures occurring into the weekend and the following week.  Highs will likely be in the mid to high single digits to low double digits. (3 to 12C).

We will keep you updated!

As well even with COVID 19 going on , regular updates will continue with Me (Mike) and Justin. Some days will get missed if I get busier than Normal with my routine. Remember to stay updated on COVID 19 at www.gov.mb.ca Stay Safe!!!

Monday, April 6, 2020

Average Spring Weather to start the week .

Southern Manitoba has been stuck in a persistent cold pattern a temperature shift is expected in the coming days . 

Warmest day of the week ,Temperatures from 5 to 12C Possible on Monday. Courtesy of a westerly flow taking over and preventing Arctic air from flooding South. Get out there and enjoy this! 



A westerly flow looks to take place this week aiding in the increase in temperatures aiding in  a gradual snow melt. Hopefully this is the start of spring weather. 


As for Weather this week looks pretty uneventful for the weather on Monday, high temperatures are expected to be from 5-11C winds will be out of the west at 10 km an hour or more. 


Expect sunny skies Increasing clouds on Monday Evening . A low pressure system will swing through on Monday night with a chance of showers,  Mostly in the Interlake and Red River Valley with 2-4mm of rain or flurries <1cm expected on Monday night.  The low will be in the 1 to 2°C mark in the east and in the minus single digits in the west. 

For Tuesday expect clearing , high temperatures are expected be from 3 to 9C. A few areas specifically in the central region of the province will experience temperatures in and around 0C especially over the Lakes. 


Tuesday night another area of low pressure will swing through the central portion of the province allowing winds to shift out of the NW.  Overnight temperatures will reach the freezing mark or slightly below zero. A few localities may remain above zero overnight especially near the American border.


The day Wednesday possibly will be mainly cloudy,  cooler than average but our daytime highs should be in the 0 to 8C range. 

Signs are that as we get towards the end of the week winds will shift out of the North. Temperatures look to be cooler than average for daytime highs. Expect lows in and around 0°C or a couple degrees above the freezing mark. . This will be the result of multiple low pressure systems moving through the area allowing for temperatures to rise and drop. There may be some rebound on the weekend but it looks like for the most part we could be seeing a couple of days slightly or a couple of degrees above zero for daytime highs. 

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