Tuesday, June 2, 2020

An update on my health; Showers and thunderstorms to give way to pleasant conditions for the end of the week.

Well I’m back after being in hospital and is recovering at home from pneumonia, I was planning on creating some blog posts over the past two weeks because of my severe illness I haven’t been able been able to up date since May 15. There has been some active weather between the period of May 15 and June 3 we had a couple rounds of thunderstorms and a couple waves of heat . I experience one of the thunderstorms while I was sick at home and in the hospital just so you guys know I am doing a little bit better still recovering I am not in full pneumonia at the moment. I should be 100% in the next couple of weeks.

Let’s get ahead on the weather for the next few days and have a look at our weekends weather situation.

Southern Manitoba is now in a summer pattern ,were expecting beautiful temperatures to continue as a result of the polar jetstream being far north as Nunavut and Hudson Bay. Manitoba and the prairie provinces will be under the influence of a zonal jetstream over the next couple of  days which will allow for a westerly or southwesterly flow to be in place throughout the rest of the week.

The day ahead for Wednesday be a hot one , The day should start fairly sunny temperatures will boost Ahead into the mid to high twenties for some regions along the southerly flow with the trough that will move through the region.  Other Areas in Central and southern regions can expect highs to reach into the low to mid twenties . I’m expecting a high temperature of 27 Celsius in Brandon and 28 Celsius in Winnipeg.  Winds will kick  out of the south ahead of an area of low pressure , that will be the main focus for the day on Wednesday. This system will be the focus  for thunderstorm development in the south west portion of the province into the red river valley for the mid afternoon into the evening hours. There will be a narrow band of between 500 to 1000 CAPE, With dew points in 10 to 15° range it should be enough to provide for thunderstorm development, I’d be more concerned if the dew points were in the 5 to 10° range which would indicate a lack of moisture, However that isn’t the case so there should be sufficient mid level moisture. With the conditions it looks to provide heavy rainfall, small hail and gusty winds when thunderstorms occur. Although non-severe thunderstorms will be prevalent there’s a slight risk that a couple of them may become slightly severe.

For the night on Wednesday expect any thunderstorms and showers to clear the province by mid evening temperatures will drop into the 10 to 15° range, for much of central and southern Manitoba, Overnight with winds light out of the west. Except mainly clear skies, Leading to some areas in rural regions of the province being a little cooler than normal for overnight lows closer to eight or nine degrees if your out in the open.

The day on Thursday It’s going to be one of those nicer days with clear and partly cloudy skies, An area of low pressure will be in the central portion of the province allowing for a southerly  to southwesterly flow and temperatures rising into the 20 to 25° range for much of the southern portion of province. Although Swan River and by Lake Winnipeggosis might be a bit cooler around 10 to 15 Celcius. I would expect a high temperature of 23 Celsius for Winnipeg,  And a high temperature of 21 Celsius for the city of Brandon.

Thursday night . The Low pressure that sat over the province will start departing the Province in the early morning  . As a result maybe a little bit cooler than average for some temperatures are expected to drop in the 5 to 10°C range in the south western portion in the province and 10 to 15°C in the south eastern portion of the province.

Friday will be a little bit cooler than this past week as the area of low pressure that we had sitting over the province will move into northern Ontario by mid afternoon Friday . Although not much in the difference of a temperature shift,  temperatures instead of being in the 20 to 25° range will be in the 15 to 20 Celsius range for much of the forecast areas , if you’re in Interlakes temperatures will only be in the 10-15°C range . Along the American border may be closer to the 21-23 Celsius range . For Winnipeg I expect a high temperature of 19°C,  for Brandon I expect a high temperature of 18C.

Friday night will be a cooler than average night there may be a risk for frost as a northerly flow takes place, Justin and I will keep you updated on the overnight lows in the river valley towards the MB escarpment and central western portion to the province may drop between 0 to 5 Celsius overnight. If you’re in eastern portion of the province  including the white shell  and extreme southern portion of the province you will not be at much risk of frost as temperatures are expected to be between five and 10 Celsius overnight. For Winnipeg expected low temperature of +3 Celsius with the risk of frost for Brandon I expect a low temperature of +2 Celsius with the risk of frost and areas further north towards Dauphin may be at a lower temperature around zero Celsius. Areas north of Winnipeg and  the interlakes may in fact experience frost overnight.

We in Manitoba weather centre and my Twitter page SouthMBWeather will keep you updated on this potential risk of frost towards the end of the week.

Over the weekend expect gradual warming and temperatures in the mid to high 20s, With pleasant conditions expected through Saturday and Sunday no precipitation is expected until the beginning of the week next week. As another Potent low pressure system looks to set itself up over the southern central prairie provinces chances of showers or thunderstorms may occur towards the beginning of the week next week.

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