Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Unsettled weather pulling in cooler than average temperatures to end the week.

 Southern Manitoba will be entering a cooler than average temperature pattern over the coming days, as a northwesterly flow takes over the region . This pattern will be the dominant feature into the weekend. Fall is here . 


There will be a Chance of showers and weak thunderstorms ahead for Wednesday, as winds stream out of the NW along a cold front swinging south. No severe weather is expected , but this will bring a well needed rain for areas in desperate need of moisture. 

Wednesday: A cold front will be moving south gradually through the day, bringing in a increasing amount of cloud cover. Along with partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies.  There will also be a chance for showers or thunderstorms, with about CAPE of 500-800J/Kg. The greatest chance of showers and thunderstorms, will be in Central regions through the inter lakes into southeastern Manitoba with more rainfall occurring there as the front is centered over that region northwest into the inter lakes and central Manitoba . Temperatures for the day are expected to be in the low teens (10-15C), with areas near the American border in the mid teens. Winnipeg: Mostly to partly Cloudy, 60% chance of showers, and risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. High 14C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, 60 % chance of showers. High 11C. 

Wednesday Night: The cold front will continue to slide south as it moves into North Dakota, a chance for lake effect showers will continue into the overnight hours for a majority of southern Manitoba. Especially out by the lakes region. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies are expected overnight into the morning with overnight lows  in the low single digits (0 to 5C) with a few areas a couple of degrees warmer. Winnipeg: Partly cloudy 30% chance of showers, low 3C. Brandon: Partly cloudy Low 3C. 

Thursday: Will be the transition into quieter days for the rest of the week, thanks to a area of high pressure that will be moving into Manitoba. Cloudy skies are expected for the day Thursday, this will not help in terms of temperature improvement from Wednesday night. Frustratingly enough it will only warm up into the mid to high single digits (5 to 10C), if some sun can peak through the thick cloud cover it’s entirely possible high temperatures will warm into the low teens (10 to 12C). That’s a part of changing seasons in Manitoba for you. Winnipeg: Mostly cloudy High: 7C. Brandon: Mostly cloudy,  High: 9C. 

Thursday Night: Will be another cold night over regions of southern Manitoba, no precipitation or rain is expected. The good news however is that cloud cover that will be in place on Thursday night will act as a blanket keeping the warm temperatures at ground level in. Overnight lows on Thursday night will drop into the low to mid single digits (0 to 5C) with some areas in the inter lakes, dropping close to or slightly below zero. If skies were to clear temperatures could possibly drop below freezing , that doesn’t look as likely. Winnipeg: cloudy low 2C, Brandon: Overcast low 4C.

Friday: Expect another cloudy day with northerly winds , will feel a lot like fall. There may be some peaks of sun here and there. High temperatures on the day Friday will only manage to reach the high single digits (5 to 10C). Areas in extreme southwest Manitoba may see temperatures between 10 and 12C. Winnipeg: Mostly cloudy high 8C, Brandon: Mostly cloudy high 8C.

Friday Night: Will have clear skies and winds light out of the north, it will also be one of the coldest nights of the week temperatures will drop to near the freezing mark and will sit in the low single digits (0 to 5C) for much of the southern regions. However for sections of the parklands into the inter lakes and shores of lake Winnipeg , and lake Manitoba there is a likelihood of temperatures dropping below the freezing mark. (-5C to 0C). As a result of the below freezing temperatures overnight a risk of Jack “frost” is possible in those regions. Winnipeg: Mainly clear low 2C, Brandon Low -1C, risk of Jack “Frost”.

The weekend: Looks like there will be pleasant conditions heading into the weekend .with a return to seasonal temperatures. It also looks like we may see a possibility of near 20C temperatures once again ! Fall isn’t leaving any time soon! 

Saturday, September 26, 2020

Seasonable condition with a chance of showers and thunderstorms

 Southern regions of Manitoba will be getting into a unseasonably cool pattern as we head into the end of the weekend. 







 (Above: Showers and thunderstorms look to affect southern Manitoba late on Saturday afternoon and evening, there is a chance for some to become severe. However that risk is only a 20% chance).

Saturday: will start off partly to mostly cloudy, with sunny skies by afternoon ,along with a southerly wind. However increasing amounts of instability is expected ahead of an area of low pressure that will move into the southwest part of Manitoba, as a result there is a possible of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening hours. There is a possibility some of the storms might get close to severe limits. If they do expect penny size hail and strong wind gusts. Heavy rainfall is possible as well, however I’m leaning more towards non severe storms . As for high temperatures a majority of the region will see highs in the high teens to low 20’s (17-24C), the warmer weather will be in the southeast areas by the lakes will see the cooler temperatures. Brandon: 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, High 21C. Winnipeg: 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms High 24C.

Saturday Night: The backside of the low will move into southern Manitoba bringing with it a chance for showers , and mainly cloudy skies . Winds will also shift out of the west. Overnight lows will drop into the high single digits to low teens (7-14C). Brandon: Cloudy , 40% chance of showers low 12C. Winnipeg: Cloudy, low 12C. 

Sunday : I’m expecting mainly cloudy skies  to dominate the day for Sunday. Expect winds to shift to the NW as the area of low pressure moves east into Ontario. The good news is that there won’t be any more rain as the low moves east, the only thing is that temperatures will not warm much due to higher amounts of cloud cover. So high temperatures on Sunday will hit the high teens then drop into the mid teens by  afternoon as a cold front drops south. Winnipeg: Cloudy high 16C dropping to 14C by evening. Brandon: Cloudy , high 14C dropping to 12C by evening. 

Sunday Night: There will be a chance for showers off the lakes as cold air moves in from the north. Brandon: Cloudy low 3C. Winnipeg: Cloudy low 7C. 

The beginning of the week: Brings a chance for showers on Monday and sunny skies the rest of the first half of the week , high temperatures in the low to mid teens with overnight lows in the single digits.

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Unseasonably Cool Weather with frost likely.

A cool and unseasonably below temperature pattern is expected to impact a large majority of southern Manitoba, over the coming days as a large area of high pressure sinks south into the region . Read on to find out how cold it will get. 

Large area of high pressure will impact southern Manitoba over the coming days. Bringing in the likelihood of frost and cooler than average temperatures before it slides east on Friday evening.


Wednesday Night: A large area of temperatures in the mid to low single digits are expected tonight as area of high pressure builds into the region . This will give a major risk for frost, overnight. Expect partly cloudy to clear skies and some clouds to travel south from the parklands into the morning hours . Winnipeg: Clear skies frost likely, low 3C. Brandon: Partly cloudy frost likely. Low 2C. Winds will be light out of the NW. 

Thursday: Will be a cool day as well, expect partly cloudy skies in the morning with mostly sunny skies in the afternoon only in the southeast and cloud in the southeast. I’m expecting a northwesterly wind, which will hinder temperatures from warming too much. As a result temperatures may not surpass the 20C mark , instead they will only reach the low to mid teens (11-15C).  Winnipeg: Partly Cloudy in the morning with mainly sunny skies in the afternoon high 14C, Brandon: Cloudy, high 10C.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy skies are expected for the night with winds out of the northwest. As a area of high pressure sits over the province a likelihood of frost will once again happen. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the low to mid single digits (2 to 5C). Make sure to cover up those plants!! Winnipeg: Clear, low 2C. Brandon: Clear low 4C.

Friday: Will be one of the warmer days of the week before a transition occurs into the weekend. Partly cloudy skies are expected for the day. High temperatures will soar into the mid to high teens (11-20C) . A few areas may surpass 20C. Winds will also be out of the NW. Winnipeg: Sunny, high 16C. Brandon : Sunny, high 19C.

Friday Night: Mainly clear skies are expected, there will be a chance for fog to develop in the Red River Valley. Frost will be less likely. Low temperatures are expected to drop into the mid to high single digits. Winnipeg: Clear, low 7C. Brandon: Clear, low 5C.

Saturday: Expect Sunny skies and winds to shift to the southwest. High temperatures will soar into the low 20’s, if smoke doesn’t filter in. Of note will be the potential for forest fire smoke from California and the southwestern states to filter in the province at upper levels. If this happens temperatures will only reach the mid to high teens. Winnipeg: 18-22C, Sunny or Hazy Skies Brandon: 17-23C. Sunny or hazy skies.

For the remainder of the weekend: There will be a low pressure system or 2 moving through the region with a chance of showers and or thunderstorms. High temperatures will be dependent on the smoke filtering in at upper levels if that happens there won’t be much allowance of temperatures to warm. If that happens there won’t be much heat to allow for thunderstorms to form on Sunday or Monday. Will keep you updated!!

Friday, September 11, 2020

Warm and Pleasant Weather ahead with a 2nd Round of Summer weather possible!!

 Southern Manitoba will be getting into a few days of above normal temperatures, as a ridge starts building over the prairie provinces. It looks like summer will return for a second round possibly in the long range read on to find out more at the end of the blog post!

Beautiful weather expected for the day Saturday, highs in the mid teens to low 20’s enjoy!!


Tonight : Expect clear to partly cloudy skies with cloudy skies expected in SE MB, near the American border.  Low temperatures will drop into the high single digits to low teens (5 to 14C). The colder overnight lows are expected in the southwest portion of Manitoba. Brandon: Clear low 8C, Winnipeg: Partly cloudy low 12C. 

Saturday: Will be one of the warmest days of the weekend. I’m expecting a cold front to move through the Manitoba escarpment and the red river valley into Ontario shortly before noon. Little to no precipitation is expected with its passage . As a result a mix of sun and cloud with partly cloudy skies expected for the day , there may be a odd pop up isolated shower or thunderstorm in the parklands region by Swan River. Of note the winds will shift to the NW in the late morning and afternoon hours. High temperatures will soar into the high teens to low 20’s for a majority of the south , (17C to 23C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy high 22C, Brandon: Partly cloudy high 18C.  

Saturday Night: Expect increasing clouds with a chance for showers overnight into Sunday morning . I’m not expecting much in the way of rain, generally a trace to 5mm. Otherwise expect mainly cloudy skies in the overnight hours, with the exception of the interlake regions where clear to partly cloudy skies expected. Overnight lows on Saturday night are expected to drop into the high single digits to the low teens (7 to 12C). I know it’s not as warm as what we are used to , however the good news is that no frost is expected. Winnipeg: Increasing cloud 40% chance of showers overnight, low  10C. Brandon: Mostly Cloudy, 30% chance of showers in the evening and after midnight low 7C. 

Sunday: Will be one of the cooler days of the weekend behind the large cold front moving into the northern plains, following behind it an area of arctic high pressure will move southwards bringing a cool northerly wind. Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected for the day on Saturday. As a result temperatures will not surpass the 20C mark compared to Saturday, I’m expecting high temperatures to rise into the mid to high teens (13-18C). Winnipeg: Sunny, high 18C, Brandon: Partly cloudy high 16C. 

Sunday Night: The ridge will start building in from the west allowing for clouds to stream in from the NW, making for clear to partly cloudy skies for the night. Overnight lows will drop into the mid to high single digits across the south (4-9C), even colder in the interlakes in the low single digits (2-5C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, low 7C. Brandon: Partly cloudy, low 4C.  


Monday: A ridge will establish itself over the Canadian prairie provinces on Monday , with central Manitoba being on the northern periphery of the ridge. There will likely be partly to mostly cloudy skies in the interlakes resulting in temperatures from (18-21C). Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected in the southern half of the province. There will also be a chance for thunderstorms, starting in the afternoon in the SW moving into the SE by late evening. Will have to watch further model updates as there may be a risk severe severe thunderstorms during Monday and Monday night . This will be the start to a warm week as high temperatures soar into the low to mid 20’s (20-25C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy chance of a late afternoon thunderstorm high 24C. Brandon partly cloudy, risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 23C. 


The rest of the Week: looks like there may be a chance for showers or thunderstorms on a few days. High temperatures will continue to be in the low to high teens fluctuating wildly day to day, some days during the week may reach 20°C and overnight lows dropping into the single digits. Drum Roll!!!! Summer might return for a 2nd round heading into the last part of the week with a arrival of temperatures above 20C possibly reaching summer time values as warm as 25+C. 

Monday, September 7, 2020

Sudden Transition to fall weather with Frost

Southern Manitoba can expect a rapid transition over to fall weather as a large area of arctic air builds south.   The weather this week will affect a large majority of the province, bringing the potential for frost and possible record low temperatures. Read on to find out more. 



A cooler than average temperature pattern is expected to start this week , be ready for some frost and the possibility of snow by the inter lakes.  

Monday: Expect a mix of sun and cloud , with more cloud cover along areas of the international border. Showers will likely form and come off the lakes with the north winds,  streaming SE to S. Some of those might enter the red river valley if winds shift to the SE enough . It will also be one of the coldest days of the week, with temperatures cooler than seasonal average. Most of the average day time high temperatures will be in the low double digits (10-15C) Winnipeg: A mix of sun and cloud 40% chance of showers 12C. Brandon: A Mix of Sun and Cloud 11C.

Monday Night: Clear weather is expected with a chance for showers and local flurries over the lakes where most of the cloud will be. The reason for flurries is because a cold north wind is expected and colder temperatures above ground level might mix down. Given the clear weather there will be a risk for frost in the SE and frost in the SW as overnight lows will drop into the minus single digits in the SW to the low single digits for the rest of the south  (0 to 5C).  Winnipeg : Partly Cloudy, Risk of Frost Low 3C. Brandon: Clear with Frost Low -1C.


Tuesday: Will be another below seasonal day , sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected with a chance of showers by lake Winnipeg and Lake Manitoba.  Winds will continue to be out of the north to northwest , and high temperatures will be well below there average day time highs. I’m only expecting high temperatures to reach the low to mid teens (9 to 14C), this will be the last day of temperatures below 10C. Winnipeg: Sunny , High 13C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, High 10C.

Tuesday Night: Clear Skies and cooler than average temperatures are expected. The good news is that there won’t be any showers by the lakes as winds shift to the west overnight. There also will be cool enough temperatures for the risk of widespread frost from SW Manitoba, towards south of Lake Manitoba into the interlakes. Temperatures are forecast to drop into the low minus single digits to the mid single digits (-3 to 5C). There also will be a risk of frost . Winnipeg: Clear, risk of frost low 3C, Brandon: Clear, frost low 0C. 

Wednesday: Looks like a push of warm Pacific air will move into the province, as a warmer airmass looks to envelop the Canadian prairie provinces allowing for more seasonable temperatures into the region. I’m expecting mostly sunny skies with more cloud cover in the interlakes. High temperatures will soar into the mid to high teens for the day (14C to 19C). Winnipeg: Sunny High 17C, Brandon: Sunny High 18C. 

Second half of the week:

The warm pacific air looks to continue moving east with warming temperatures towards the weekend in the low to mid 20s, with partly sunny to mostly sunny skies. Enjoy!



Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Rainy , Windy , Cool weather on the way

 Headline : Southern Manitoba will be expecting another round of rainy and thundery weather as an area of low pressure moves into southern Manitoba. This will also bring in the start of seasonable to slightly below normal temperatures.



Wednesday : Will be one of those days that starts out cloudy , rain will enter the province in the early afternoon. There will be a likelihood of embedded thunderstorms in some heavier areas of rainfall that occur. The risk of heavy rainfall, strong winds up to 80km/h, and hail up to pennie or toonie size , with any thunderstorms that occur. There will only be CAPE up to 700 or 800 J/Kg. So storms will remain below severe limits. As for temperatures they will not budge much, rain will begin in the Southwest before noon which will mean that there won’t be much of a chance for the sun to get through the layer of clouds, and warm the temperatures. As a result I expect only high temperatures to reach the mid teens, before dropping to just a few degrees above ten celcius in the Southwest. A different story is expected in the Red River Valley and southeastern Manitoba where rain will not start until the afternoon hours, resulting in warmer temperatures. I’m expecting temperatures to budge into the low 20’s around noon before dropping to the mid teens . A high of 15C is expected for Brandon at 11am , dropping to 11C in the afternoon. A high of 21C is expected for Winnipeg dropping to 17C in the late afternoon. 

Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms are expected to clear by the mid to late evening , cloudy skies are expected overnight into Thursday . Winds will also be out of the NW, lows will drop into the high single digits (5 to 10C) in the SW and between 10 and 15C in the SE. A low of 9C is expected for Brandon with a low of 12C for Winnipeg. 

Thursday : Cloudy skies are expected for the morning with a chance of showers in the southeastern half of Manitoba until shortly after noon . Expect a mix of sun and cloud for the remainder of the day with temperatures rising into the 15 to 20C range. A high of 20C is expected for Winnipeg and a high of  18C for Brandon. 

Thursday Night: Will definitely be one of the colder nights, an area of cooler arctic air is expected to move south. The clearer skies will help temperatures drop into the single digits (5 to 10C) , areas by the lakes will experience warmer overnight lows in the low teens (8 to 12C) . I’m expecting a low of 7C for Winnipeg and 8C for Winnipeg . 

Friday : Will be one of the warmer days a zonal flow will take over the Canadian prairie provinces, winds will be calm out of the west . High temperatures in the 15 to 20C range are expected for a majority of the southern half of Manitoba. Im forecasting A high of 22C for Brandon and a high of 21C for Winnipeg. 

Friday Night: A building ridge of high pressure will start building in Saskatchewan this will allow for northerly winds into the region, there will also be cloudy skies in some sections however more so in the interlake regions. Overnight lows will drop below 10C they will remain in the mid to high single digits . A low of 8C is expected for Winnipeg and a low of 5C for Brandon. 


The Weekend: Temperatures will continue to be in the mid to high teens to low 20s there also be a couple areas of low pressure Moving through the region on the weekend which may bring chance of showers to the region. If it gets warm enough there may be enough warmth for thunderstorms. Otherwise generally pleasant’s and seasonal conditions are expected.


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