Well it’s true much of our region has been well below normal this season, that pattern has thankfully finally changed. We now begin this half of the week with more normal temperatures, however there once again is a caveat to this. We have another chance at getting a low pressure system that will begin effecting our weather outlook, the good news however is that this will likely come in the form of rain. Find out where, when and how much rain is expected as well what we can expect for our temperature pattern. Which I am glad to say in that we are done with winter weather terms, I look forwards to posting about convection and thunderstorms in the coming months. I really enjoy this part of my job, maybe the next few months you’ll hear some weather jokes from me . 😊😊.
We’re gonna keep this post short and simple. Wednesday looks to be one of those days you want to bring your rain jackets and umbrellas, There will be an increasing cloud cover over the region as a frontal system approaches our region. A general 5 to 10mm is likely as the front moves through from west to east.
Another thing to note is the intensity of the rainfall, theres a possibility that there will be thunderstorms (Above photo) embedded with the rainfall however it’ll be occasional lightning and thunder as a chance. Temperatures will vary from being in the upper single digits in the southeast to the low teens in the southwest and parklands thanks to sunny skies in the west after the clipper passes. Wednesday night will feature a chance for isolated showers and weak thunder showers in the interlakes during the first half of the evening before clearing overnight. Temperatures will stay a degree or 2 above zero except for areas in the interlakes, red River valley and southeast where a chance for lows below zero (-1C to -2C) possible.
Thursday: Sunnier skies are likely for most, except areas of extreme south there will be a chance for showers in extreme southwestern Manitoba and areas along the border as a low pressure system travels southeast into North Dakota. Temperatures will likely rise into the mid to high single digits in the south along the border and areas in the parklands by Dauphin up to Swan River. Areas across the southern half of Manitoba will do well again with values pushing past the 10C mark, if we get values 10-12C it would be in cloud free locations mostly all of the south including the interlakes. Thursday night: Mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are likely with overnight lows dipping into the low plus single digits (1 to 4C) with areas varying in values. Unfortunately this time of year a rural area can be a lot cooler than an area in the city limits, temperatures at night are still running well below the average.
Friday and Friday Night: Another area of low pressure will likely sit along the border and a small chance of showers will likely present itself as a northwest flow sits over our area towards the evening. Temperatures are likely to rise into the high single digits, with some areas in the east rising to near 10C. Mostly cloudy skies are likely, again heading into Friday night a likelihood of scattered showers moving southeast and a small chance of flurries in the northern parklands by Swan River. Temperatures will drop on the night into the low single digits.
The weekend and next week: Temperatures will remain cooler than average as we remain on the backside of a strong low pressure system, temperatures will struggle to reach the 10C mark for day time highs and overnight lows may plunge to the low single digits or a few degrees below 0C for overnight lows. However there is good news that by next week our daytime highs will finally rise to where they are supposed to be , and May in fact rise towards and possibly above 20C for the first time this year. This warmth may be the first real summer heat of the season.
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