Monday, May 1, 2023

Above Average Temperatures Arriving

 Update on our weather pattern for this week: Southern sections of Manitoba will likely enter an above normal temperature pattern over the coming days a large ridge will be developing out in western Canada that will move eastwards as time moves on this week. This same ridge will be responsible for significant warmth moving into the Canadian prairies. Whether this ridge stays and builds further north as it moves east or flattens is still to be determined, however the latest NAM shows the ridge flattening as it moves over the Canadian prairies and northern plains mid to late week.

The good news is that regardless our temperatures will rise, on the day Tuesday looks like high temperatures will be rising into the mid to high teens. Overnight low temperatures will likely drop into the low to mid single digits, on Tuesday night. Looks like showers will move through on early Tuesday night into the morning on Wednesday from north to south. Cloudy skies are likely as well. Wednesday will end up being a very warm day with high temperatures rising into the mid to high teens with areas closer to the Canadian border seeing values into the 20C degree range. Overnight lows on Wednesday night look similar and will finally sit around the normal values between 5 and 10C. These temperatures will continue into the mid to high teens, during the second half of the week. I’m seeing Thursday a potential day where high temperatures could still rise as high as 20C in some areas. Thursday night lows will drop into the mid single digits again. The second half of the week these values will continue in the mid to high teens and low 20’s with overnight lows in the single digits 4-10C. . The weekend there’s a chance for a low pressure system to form as a southwest flow aloft moves in, there’s a good chance for rain on Saturday, Sunday and I’m already seeing signs of instability building in. A chance at our first thunderstorms are possible but we will know more by Friday. 

Have a good week. -Mike McGregor

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