Seasonal temperatures, calmer and stable weather arriving. Hints at the long range.

 Much of southern Manitoba is expecting a shift over from very unsettled weather conditions and a streak of multiple days of severe weather. That pattern looks to finally end by this weekend, cooler more seasonal temperatures are likely. Let’s find out what is happening with the pattern and how long this might last for. As we get into the next few days, a welcome reprieve from stormy weather is likely.There will be a risk for haze and smoke to filter in as wildfire smoke moves along with the jetstream that will move over us, through the weekend. 

Friday Night: Clear skies are likely across southern Manitoba on Friday night overnight low temperatures will likely drop into the mid teens in the southeast, low teens in the southwest and around 10C in the parklands and interlakes in Manitoba. Strong north winds will also be likely during the night after the passage of the cold front. 

(Left): Photo Showing forecasted smoke plumes into the weekend, from wildfires in Alberta and BC on Saturday afternoon with clearing in the early evening. Link to the smoke forecast map is available here: Smoke Forecast - FireSmoke.ca

Saturday: Sunny skies are likely as high pressure once again sits over our area. High temperatures for our day will rise into the high teens and low 20's in western Manitoba and areas further east will more than likely see high values in the low 20's. Drier air will also be present as dewpoints sit below the 15C range. 

Saturday Night: Clear conditions are once again likely as high pressure contimues to sit over our region, overnight low temperatures will once again cool again and drop below the 10C mark in areas of the southwest, areas in the east and southeast will drop into the low teens. Some smoke will likely clear the region heading into the overnight period as the plume travels into the central United States. 

Sunday: Very pleaseant and beautiful weather conditions are likely for Sunday, values will warm into the mid 20's in areas of Swan River south towards Dauphin and Neepawa. Low to mid 20's are likely across the southeast and the interlakes regions. I wouldnt be surprised if the areas by the Manitoba lakes stay a bit cooler, I only see a high of 17C for St Ambroise north of portage La Prairie on Sunday.

Sunday Night: Looking like much of southern sections of Manitoba and the interlakes will see lows in the low to mid teens, with clear conditions. As well areas north of Dauphin by the parklands will see lows in the high teens. 

The Week Ahead: A warmer weather pattern returns during the first half of the week, a ridge may develop during the first half of the week bringing our high temperatures again into the high 20's and low 30's with overnight lows in the upper mid teens and high teens, some nights may not drop below 20C. There will also be increasing humidity as a southerly flow from the gulf of Mexico returns and this would bring a risk for thunderstorms developing towards the middle of the week. We will also see a shift in the pattern to a potential southwesterly flow which would aid in the possibility of more gulf moisture being available for severe weather events and the first of the season possibly starting late week next week. 

Anyways have a good weekend, I will have a summer outlook made on youtube sometime at the end of this weekend or the end of next week. -Mike McGregor..