Showers and Thunderstorms likely, unsettled weather ahead for the week ahead.

 Southern Manitoba, will be under the influence of another area of low pressure over the coming days. There is also an increased risk of thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms as well. We will be entering an unsettled pattern over the coming days with temperatures in the seasonal to slightly above seasonal range. Find out more in todays blog..

Monday: Looking ahead today much of southern Manitoba will be under sunny skies, there may be some local haze. However it looks like most of the smoke will move into eastern Canada, which we experienced yesterday. There will be a trough of low pressure sitting over the parklands today, with low shear values and CAPE of 1,000 to 2,500J/Kg there will be a risk for severe thunderstorms later today along a line from Yorkton to the south shore of Lake Manitoba including all of western Manitoba. There’s also a good chance that storms fire in eastern Saskatchewan or over the parklands and then move into the western red River valley of Manitoba by sunset. These storms will likely be isolated to scattered in nature, some low topped supercells are possible. There is a risk for hail 3-4cm in diameter, 90km/h wind gusts and as normal heavy amounts of rain and frequent lightning. There may be a brief period for landspouts. Temperatures today will more than likely rise into the mid to high 20’s today with a lot of areas of southern Manitoba seeing humidex values in the mid 30’s. Tonight: Thunderstorms will likely clear the region with weakening expected after the 9pm hour. Also looks as if temperatures are gonna only drop into the high teens tonight for overnight lows. 

Tuesday: Looks like another round of severe weather is possible, heading into the afternoon hours again there will be again another chance for severe thunderstorms to develop. The same frontal system will likely be moving through southern Manitoba and the interlakes. Best chances for severe thunderstorms include Winnipeg and the parklands. There’s a risk for CAPE values again to exceed over 1,000 to 2,000J/Kg. Scattered thunderstorms are once again likely with the threat of 2-3cm hail, strong winds, and the risk of tornadoes a possible threat. Temperatures will likely rise into the mid to high 20’s, except for areas of the interlakes where thunderstorms may initiate earlier with temperatures in the low 20’s are possible. 

Tuesday Night: Thunderstorms may persist well into the early overnight hours with the risk of severe thunderstorms. However the threat will ease by the overnight time frame. Temperatures will drop into the mid to high teens overnight. 

Wednesday: More instability is present so a risk of severe weather is once again possible, however the best risk for that is likely south of the border as most of the instability is highest there.  Temperatures on the day Wednesday will rise into the mid 20’s.