Southern Manitoba and the region as a whole will finally be able to recieve more moisture as a strong to moderate jet stream will be sitting over the canadian prairie provinces, what this will do is increase the moisture prospects for areas that desperately need rain. There will be some periods of thunderstorms as well. Temperatures for the period however will run near normal to slightly below normal. This blog will cover the forecast into Thursday.
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Tonight (Left): A cold front will linger over the prairie provinces into central Manitoba, there currently is a severe thunderstorm watch for areas of central Manitoba as I write this. Tonight there will be scattered showers and thunderstorms ocassionally occurring mainly in areas of the parklands into the interlakes and the red river valley as the cold front begins to move south.Into the overnight and additional batch of precipitation could sneak into western portions of Manitoba, with a chance of broad moderate rainfall and embedded thunderstorms. Towards the early morning hours there will be the chance for a risk of thunderstorms especially areas along the trans canada highway south to the american border. Overnight lows tonight will drop into the mid to high teens.
Tuesday (Left: Image of thunderstorms on Tuesday morning in southern Manitoba): Showers and thunderstorms are possible in the early morning hours and mid to late morning as the cold front swings south, then another round of possible showers may move through behind the convection in the morning. These storms are not forecasted to be severe though some marginally severe hail is possible. A general 2 to 5mm can be expected in areas that see rain. Cloudy skies should clear come the afternoon hours with temperatures by the afternoon reaching the mid 20's, some areas in the region seeing highs in the upper teens especially in the lakes regions.
Tuesday Night: A generally calmer night is likely behind the cold front, a northerly wind will likely end up being present with clear skies and some occasional cloudcover. Temperatures will likely drop into the mid teens, some ares in the parklands and in the interlakes areas may see lows below 10C. There is a chance though that the models are overdoing the cool overnight lows. We will keep you updated, hopefully there isnt a risk for any frost.
Wednesday: Another chance at unsettled weather comes on the day Wednesday, when a warm front and frontal system moves into southeastern saskatchewan there a small line of showers and rumbles of thunder may sneak into extreme western and southwestern Manitoba however it may completely miss the region and may move into north Dakota and western Montana instead. Regardless mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are likely with high temperatures in the high teens and low 20's.
Wednesday Night: A low pressure system will approach the region and this one more than likely will approach the region bringing a really good chance for some weel needed rain. A swath of showers will more than likely move through the overnight in areas of southwestern Manitoba, the parklands and areas of the red river valley. They will persist into the morning hours. No thunderstorms are forecast however. Overnight lows look likely to drop into the low to mid teens in the east and west with areas inbetween seeing lows in the high single digits for the red river valley.
Second Half of The Week: Confidence seems lower on terms of the overall upper level pattern. There will be another chance for showers and thunderstorms on the day thursday and friday. There will be another chance for 10-20mm of rain possible as advertised by the GDPS, some of this could be thunderstorms as well. Highs for the second half of the week remain cooler than average, with only values again which is more typical of september at about near 20C or slightly above that. Overnight lows will more than likely remain in that same
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