Expect today to be the coldest day of the week after an area of low pressure made it's way through our area, bringing with it snow over some parts and behind it cool arctic air that will sink south throughout the day. Warm Weather will return by Saturday, as the cold air will stay locked up in the arctic with a strong positive AO, and a strong west to east zonal flow. If we get any cool blasts they will be very short lived.
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Upper Level Pattern over
the next few days |
All models are suggesting that this trend will likely continue, with temperatures remaining above zero across southern Manitoba for the next few weeks. Hopefully the warm weather will melt some of the snow we have received over the past several weeks. Although how warm we will get really depends on how much snowcover we have, areas around winnipeg will likely see the warmer air earlier as their is a less dense snowcover, and the black sod from farmers feilds should really help keep the heat, and melt the snow. Those who like warm weather it's just around the Corner!
I'll have my spring outlook for Manitoba this weekend, Stay Tuned!
(Top Right: Brett Anderson's ECMWF Model; Middle: AO Index; Bottom: Accuweather Pattern Forecast)
Expect Over the next few days to see temps inbetween 5 and 10C, and some overnight lows won't likely even dip below zero. This Possibly will aid in melting the snowpack during the night.
ReplyDeleteMy Thought is that areas around Winnipeg and the RRV will likely see the snow melt much sooner as most of the snow is in piles and drifts plus the black feilds should enhance the melting. Pretty much how they keep the heat during the summer Time and usually aid in convection.
It definitly would not be a surprise to me if we see temps rise warmer than winnipegs actual city temperature maybe 5C warmer during the end of next week.
One thing is for certain we likely see warmer temps maybe past 12C once all the snow melts around Winnipeg, as winds push that warm air over the snow rather than the snow cooling the air. That we see in Early January. My Guess is that all of the snow will melt within 3 weeks from now...
(some info was from the courtesy of A Weather moment blog in this comment, plus some of my ideas!
Records were broken in various areas across Manitoba including Winnipeg yesterday, have a look!
ReplyDeleteDate... REC HIGH (year) - Winnipeg Airport (data since 1872)
Sun 11 ..... 12.8C (2012) (prev 12.5C 1981)
Mon 12 ..... 7.2C (1922)
Tue 13 ..... 12.2C (1902)
Wed 14 .... 11.4C (1981)
Thu 15 ..... 11.1C (1927)
Fri 16 ...... 12.4C (1981)
Sat 17 ...... 12.8C (1938)
Courtesy of Robs Blog