Warmer Weather Set To Return To Southern Manitoba

After a prolonged period unexpected cool temperatures and near to below normal temperatures, warmer weather is now on the way for many parts of Southern Manitoba.

 

Picture taken from A Weather Moment, note the blue squiggle the advancing upper level ridge.

 

The trough that has remained parked over our province the past week will finally be pushing off to Northwest Ontario, allowing the building upper level ridge currently over British Columbia to spread east into Southern Manitoba bringing with it some milder Pacific Air.

 

With the incoming upper level ridge the chances for precipitation will be slim to nothing over the next few days in the province, leaving conditions in the same way they have been "dry". We will see our temperatures climb into the high teens and possibly above the 20 degree mark in Western Manitoba, though conditions will get a touch cooler as you head east into the Red River Valley and Eastern Manitoba where most temperatures will be in the mid to high teens.

 

Things will be even warmer for Thursday as a warm front moves through, so temperatures will climb towards the low twenties in many regions. The real heat comes on Friday and the weekend when we will see temperatures in the high 20's in Western Manitoba, and the mid twenties in the RRV and East Manitoba. The warm weather will continue right into next week, giving us a chance to finish off the month in a warm pattern.

 

 

Nice Start to The Weekend; Yet An Unsettled Finish

Beautiful Weather can be expected for the rest of the day today in most of Southern Manitoba with the threat for thunderstorms in some regions, before a more significant thunderstorm threat returns to the Red River Valley tomorrow afternoon and evening as a cold front goes through the region.

Another nice on day continues in Southern Manitoba

Throughout the day today expect conditions to range from a mix of sun cloud to thunderstorms along with warm weather across Southern Manitoba. High Temperatures will climb into the high 20's in Southwest Manitoba, the Red River Valley and in Eastern Manitoba along with comfortable humidity levels. Tomorrow a cold front will begin to work it's way into the Red River Valley.

Storms Poss. Tmrw

It's looking like we may see a small batch of morning cloud cover or rain showers, then some sunshine returning in the afternoon allowing for instability levels to rise likely then giving way to showers and storms as the cold front goes through the Red River Valley. The thunderstorms will be non severe in nature with a few of them likely becoming severe if they get going. The thunderstorms will clear out by evening, giving way to clear skies. Daytime highs will likely be in the range from 23 to 28C in most areas. 

Sunny Skies and seasonal temperatures return to start next week before another potent system brings a chance of rain or storms mid week. It will likely become cooler after this system by maybe a few degrees, not below 18C.

Comments will be provided on my Twitter account (@SouthMBWeather)

Hot and Wonderful Start to June....

After a beautiful weekend mixed in with Stormy Conditions, we will end up sticking with the hot weather to start the week. An omega block will start to gradually build in this week, allowing us to keep experiencing the warm weather we have had over the past week.

Omega block building in for midweek

Day 6 and 7 outlook from the SPC

 Tuesday will be the nicest and hottest day of the week with high temperatures cracking the 30C mark, along with sunny conditions, low humidity and a comfortable breeze. Temperatures will be pretty much the same for Wednesday with highs again near 30C, as we grab a little bit of a south-easterly flow. Thursday looks to remain very warm, and continue into the first half of the weekend with an increased chance for storm activity as another low pressure system approaches from the plains. The SPC has even highlighted a day 6 and 7 outlook for our area, mentioning a 30%+ chance of seeing any severe storm within a 25 mile radius. I will keep you up to date as this progresses, and a post will be available on Friday on this storm system.

Warmer with a Chance for Thunderstorms

(Weather Information provided in part by Brad from A Weather Moment and by Mike the Author)

A weak trough moving across SW Manitoba today will push into the Red River Valley this evening, producing some scattered showers or thunderstorms. Thing's look to clear out quickly, and we will be getting temperatures in the mid to high 20's for the weekend.


Forecasted rainfall from the GEM-GLB Model, from 00Z friday to 12Z saturday

We will have a little bit more of an unsettled day today as we see a weak surface trough feature move through our area in the Red River Valley this afternoon. Temperatures will climb to to over the 20C mark this afternoon before showers or thunderstorms develop over sections of Southwest Manitoba and push eastwards into the Red River Valley. According to Brad "Dynamics begin to fall apart as the afternoon progresses, and any showers or thunderstorms will struggle to survive in an increasingly disorganized environment." It looks like the best chance of seeing some rain potential will be through the Western Red River Valley, with chances diminishing east of the Red River. By the time the trough sets up shop in the whiteshell, the threat of Precipitation will likely be over.
Saturday will be a gorgeous day as we see sunshine dominate across Southern Manitoba and daytime highs will climb to around 25C. Things will turn a little bit more unsettled overnight on Saturday as an area of rain and storms blossom's over Southern Saskatchewan and heads our way. The exact location of the rain and storms is still uncertain, however best indications are that we will see a cloudy day in the Red River Valley with the bulk of the rain passing north of the City. areas likely in the interlake area will receive rainfall, with only a small chance for showers or storms for Winnipeg and South. I will keep an eye on this system as the weekend progresses.

More Showers and Thunderstorms on the way for Parts of southern Manitoba

While temperatures will soar to near 30 degrees today, the Red River Valley should be prepared for showers and possible thunderstorms to develop by mid towards late afternoon. This will result from a low pressure system that will move into the area and tap into heat and moisture.

Temperature outlook from the weathernetwork

According to A Weather Moment " A strong capping inversion will be in place over the Red River Valley, heat and moisture being pumped northwards will be trapped at the surface, allowing our temperature to soar to the 30°C mark and pooling moisture that will push our dewpoints up to around 15°C". Today will will be a glorious day throughout the morning and early afternoon. Although conditions will start to breakdown by late afternoon as a surface low lifts north into Southern Manitoba.

According to A Weather Moment "The surface low will travel along a pre-existing surface trough and be supported by a shortwave ejecting northeastwards from the main upper trough, still anchored through Montana and Wyoming. As well With the heat trapped near the surface, the Lifted Index is expected to drop to the -2 to -8 values, with the lowest values running along a line from Gretna, MB to Bisset, MB and increasing to the southeast of that line. The heat combined with ample moisture is also expected to produce high CAPE values generally from 2000 to 3000J/kg. Increasing mid-level lapse rates with the approach of the shortwave will provide enough destabilization to erode the capping inversion through the afternoon and allow showers and thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of the warm front, initially concentrated near the triple point of the system. The showers and thunderstorms will expand in coverage as the evening progresses and the low-level jet intensifies." 

The severe weather threat is well defined says brad from A Weather Moment,"as EHI values rise to between 1.5-2.0 by late afternoon, which when combined with the presence of 30-35kt of bulk shear certainly presents the chance for supercell storms to develop. A few things hamper my excitement, though:

• Bulk shear isn’t really all that impressive; the really good shear moves through Western Manitoba through the day today, lifting northwards into the Interlake. The shear diminishes to the SE and isn’t particularly strong where the greatest CAPE is. When it comes down to it, it’s likely that we’ll end up with marginally strong shear on top of marginally high CAPE this afternoon, with the most favorable conditions missing each other.
• CAPE values may be too high. The NAM & GFS have been forecasting dewpoints slightly higher than have materialized. The amount of energy for storms to work with is going to be heavily dependant on the dewpoints that develop this afternoon, and if they don’t make it as high as forecast then we’ll be seeing weaker storms.
• Too many storms. With so many marginally severe features, we may see quite a few showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon as the cap erodes. If too many fire off, then it will be difficult for any one storm to oragnize itself into anything that poses a severe weather threat."

All that being said, a potential for severe weather does exist today across south-central and southeast Manitoba. The main threats should severe weather develop will be hail and/or the possibility of a tornado."

Severe Weather threat as highlighted by Brad

Overall everyone should be on the lookout for severe weather and or Storms, as well updates will be available on Twitter.

Significant Warmup on The Way with Humid Conditions and Thunderstorms

Today marks the start of rising temperatures across Southern Manitoba. Although daytime temperatures will be somewhat cool again throughout today.According to a weather moment blog "plenty of warming will be going on just off the surface, bringing us substantially warmer overnight low's and temperatures soaring into the upper twenties and low thirties by the end of the week".

Winds will pick up out of the southeast today as we move onto the back of the high pressure system that moved behind over our area behind a cold front that brought some damaging winds to Southern Manitoba on Monday evening. According to a weather moment "This marks the beginning of a large-scale shift in the upper atmosphere that will rapidly push heat and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico northwards. Temperatures will only climb to around 20°C today, but our overnight low will show evidence of all the warm air moving in aloft by dropping down to only around 13°C, about 10°C warmer than our overnight low last night.

"The heat and moisture will begin to move in on Thursday as a warm front lifts north of the Red River Valley, our daytime high will push towards the high twenties with temps that will likely settle near 30C. It will feel a lot different than our high of 29C on Monday, because a completly different feature "Moisture". While dewpoints are forecast to stay low today, they will begin to increase overnight and throughout Tomorrow, likely in the low teens Thursday evening. The likely heat and moisture will continue to build in for Friday, with overall temperatures continuing to climb near 30C, with dewpoints in the mid to high teens. if you like tropical weather it will be perfect for you, with humidex's forecast in the mid 30C range.

As for precipitation none can be expected today or tomorrow, but as the heat and moisture builds in there will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday. the chance for precipitation will be elevated on saturday as there will be additional lift and triggers present in the RRV, as a cold front goes through our area. a post will be available on Friday, on our Thunderstorm potential.

It will be nice so get out there and enjoy it! A post will be available on Friday, about the thunderstorm potential.

Mild Summer Temperatures Expected to Return with The Arrival of Thunderstorms

After a week of experiencing rain, and cool temperatures, the sun shines and summer returns. Beautiful weather is on the way for all regions of Southern Manitoba, with lots and lots of sunshine and the years first hot summer like- temperatures. The Weather will return right back to normal on Friday, after we see a cold front sweep across southern Manitoba through Thursday and Thursday Night.
 

Ridging indicated at 12hr- 28hr in Southern Manitoba on this Upper Level Forecast Map, before the cold front goes through. Yellow is the Polar Jet, Orange is the Subtropical Jet.

A southerly flow has moved into Southern Manitoba below a upper ridge that is sliding east over the Canadian Prairies, pushing the warm flow of temperatures from the Plains of the USA into our area. Temperatures will climb into the 20's all across the south Today with winds increasing to in between 30 and 40km/h out of the south by this afternoon. Temperatures will drop to the low teens across Southern Manitoba Tonight, as the southerly winds will help keep our temperatures up in the warmer areas. Tomorrow the real heat moves into the South with temperatures in between 22-29C. The air might feel a little more humid ( like 30C) with dewpoints in the low teens.

Thunderstorm Threat for Thursday Night from the A Weather Moment Blog

The hot weather is expected to end by Friday afternoon as winds shift around to the North, but not before we see thunderstorms. A cold Front is expected to cross parts of SW Manitoba and South Central Manitoba Throughout the day on Thursday, reaching the Red River Valley by Thursday evening. As it encounters a hot humid air mass and high dewpoints it could allow for some strong to severe storms to form either west of the Red River valley or in the Red River Valley. Any storms that form will be able to work with Cape indices at an elevated level of 500 to 750 J/KG. Regardless the storms will follow the southerly flow out ahead of the front so they will likely come from the south, and move east with the cold front. They will gradually move into NW Ontario as the night goes on. A brief period of cooler weather can be expected on the weekend before thing's warm up into the high 20's during next week with the approach of the northerly shift in the Subtropical Jet stream.

Milder Week ahead with Possible Thunderstorms

After a period of cool, uneventful weather things are about to get a little more interesting this week, for people who are living in South Central Manitoba. We will see temperatures close to 20C or warmer in many regions. It won't be all sunshine and games, as we will have to get used to a more active a more active storm track. This will bring multiple storm systems through our area.

We will see a beauty of a day today with daytime temperatures right near 20c, and some sunshine with cloud cover developing in the afternoon from some instabilty lingering from yesterday's system. An area of low pressure tracking it's way into Saskatchewan through the day will be lifting warm air northwards to Southern Manitoba. By this evening, a strong warm front will exist running west to East through Southern Manitoba, with a cold front draped to the south from SW MB to Wyoming. A 30 to 40 knt low level jet will help trigger thunderstorms near the triple point in ND, where additional lift will aid the jet as it rides with the warm front. The first of the storms will likely fire in ND and will begin to lift into Southern Manitoba travelling NE with the upper flow, with more forming as they do so. Once more mature, the storms will begin to tap into the convergence present aloft in a trough extending eastwards from the low heading into Saskatchwan and continue their way across Southern Manitoba. By morning, a line of storms present over most of southern Manitoba will form into a line of rain and showers extending from SE SK to the Mountains.

Thunderstorm outlook for Monday night from A weather Moment Blog

The storms are not expected to be severe, however any regions that may see multiple thunderstorms training over the area could see in excess of 20mm of rain and cool temperatures aloft raise the possiblity of marginally severe hail (which, in Canada, is about the size of a nickel). Current indications are that the greatest risk for hail would be over the south-central RRV and back into the western RRV, from the US Border to near Carmen. Other than that slight risk, no severe weather is expected from the night’s storms. Thing's will continue to lift North on Tuesday, we may see some afternoon showers through the RRV as a second system tracks through the dakota's. Temperatures will be warm though with daytime highs near 20C despite cloudy skies. Wednesday and Thursdy look nice, with more sunny skies. Although another powerful system is forecast to track into our region on Friday bringing with it another possible round of showers and thunderstorms. Updates will be handy for this next system on Twitter.

Above Normal Summerlike Temperatures Expected to Return Sunday



7 day forecast

Sunday Temps



Area of low pressure for Sunday
Night

After a couple days with below normal temperatures, a southerly flow will be setting up to allow for early summerlike mild temperatures to return for southern Manitoba. We have been Under the influence of a strong arctic surface ridge according to a Weather Moment Blog, which has reduced our daytime highs to inbetween 5 and 10C below the normal across southern Manitoba. Overall here is how thing's should pan out, we will see mostly sunny skies with high's in the low teens across the south. Sunday will mark the start of our warmup as the southern low pressure shortwave heads our way after stalling out in Eastern Montana for day or two. We should see temperatures probably climb into the high teens on Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds before the system that stalled moves in overnight Sunday. For next week, Monday looks rainy with a potential for thunderstorms if we reach 20C. Then skies are expected to clear and become sunny with highs forecast to surpass 20C. 

Warmest March on Record ends on a mild and sunny note

Weather Data from the Month of March

Sunshine and Warm Temperatures marked a fitting end to March of 2012 as temperatures in Southern Manitoba again soared into the high teens on the weekend. According to Rob's Blog "In Winnipeg the high of 18.8C Saturday was just 0.1C off the record high of 18.9C for the 31st, set back in 1963." The warm finish made the monthly mean temperature pretty close to 2C or 2.2C, probably the warmest March on record since record keeping books started in the city in 1872. Overall the month was a astounding 8C above the normal, considering the 30 year normal is -6C. We were also 0.6C above the previous warmest month of March of +1.6C, set back in 1878. Now if only we can continue this trend into april so we can break more significantly old records.



A historical 12 day March scorcher through the mid part of the month was responsible for the record breaking month,which helped smash some of the all time March records throughout southern Manitoba and a Broad Scope of Central North America into Ontario. The March heat wave aided rapidly in melting our 25cm snow pack in portions of southern Manitoba, within just a few days. All between the 10th and the 14th, temperatures were more typical of early May in the time period from the 11th and the 23rd. The month also set 8 new daily record highs in Winnipeg,including all time warmest March temperature of 23.7C on the 19th.

Although all of this warm weather in March may not completely signal a start to a warm spring, as Rob mentioned "of the past 9 previous warmest Marches in Winnipeg, only 4 were followed by above normal temperatures in April, and ALL had below normal temperatures in May! Those springs had an average of 20 freeze days in April, and 9 in May with frosts well into mid to late May (even the first week of June some years!)". Also you may not want to put your snow shovels away yet,we can still see measurable snow in between the months of April to May. Rob said "Of those past 9 warm Marches, all were followed by some measurable snow in April (including a 25 cm snowstorm April 15-17, 1910), and 4 had snow in May". So don't let this warm start to Spring fool you! This is Winter Peg after all, and a warm start to the spring anywhere in the province is no guarantee that the cold weather is over!

                  
Below is a review of all the records that were broken last month Via (A Weather Moment blog)

• 8 daily record high temperatures (11, 12, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 22)
• Earliest 20°C reading on record (March 18)
• Warmest overnight low in March (14°C on the night of March 18/19)
• Earliest thunderstorm on record since 1953 (Evening of March 19th)
• Warmest March day on record (March 19th, 23.7°C)
• Most significant departure from normal temperature for any day of the year (+23.4°C above normal on March 19th)
• 4 consecutive days over 19°C (Only 4 days since records began have reached that mark. From Rob’s Blog: In other words, it took only 4 days during this warm spell to match what took 140 years to accomplish.)
• Warmest March on Record (Mean temperature of 2.2°C, beating the previous record of 1.6°C set in 1878).
• Highest dew point in March (17°C on March 19th, need to finish parsing data set to verify)

            Top 5 warmest Marches in Winnipeg (since 1872) Via Rob's Blog
                1. 2012 .......... +2.2C
                2. 1878 .......... +1.6C 
                3. 1910 .......... +1.0C
                4. 1973 .......... +0.5C
                5. 2000 .......... -0.1C

More Showers and Possible Thunderstorms on the way for the next couple of days

Storm Picture from Monday Night
From TWN

Southern Manitoba has experienced a variety of Weather over the past couple of days including the gusty winds, thunderstorms, hail, rain, drizzle, snow and blowing snow. A potent storm system that brought heavy snowfall to western Manitoba and the inter lake regions, as well including thunderstorms and rain that hit Winnipeg, the Red River Valley and parts of Southern Manitoba has moved well east into Quebec. We are not out of the way yet, as another system is expected to march through Southern Manitoba tomorrow afternoon. (See My blog Article: Thunderstorms rumble through Southern Manitoba) 

For Today we will see a mix of sun and clouds with highs right in and around 5C across parts of southern Manitoba, just warm enough to melt away the snow we accumulated yesterday. However an area of low pressure made landfall off the coast of Oregon last night. This area of low pressure will travel to the east and lift northwards into the Central part Of Manitoba,bringing with it a cold front that will bisect the Prairies and slowly push eastward. This cold front is expected to push through the Winnipeg and the Red River Valley through the day on Thursday. We will see rain push through our area by mid morning and leave the area by early evening. Rainfall amounts currently look like they will be in the 10 to 15 mm range across Southern Manitoba, although it does look like their is a fairly good chance for some embedded thunderstorms that will be spread out within the rain showers. Don't be surprised if you get a little heavier rain in local thunderstorms.  Expect them to be mainly non severe in nature. We can expect a reprieve on Friday with sunny weather and a return to temperatures of around 10C, with the help of warmer air from the south. This weather will be short lived as another system is set to roll in for Saturday.

 

 This weather system is forecast to bring an area of showers/rain to the northern inter lake regions, anywhere from in between Swan Lake, and Berens river. Current Indicators tell me there will be a small chance for showers in southern Manitoba with the chance for the odd storm. Temperatures during Saturday will be mainly above normal near in and around 10C.

As for the weather over the next couple of weeks the cold arctic air will continue to be locked up in areas North of (60*) by not only the strong AO, but also by the strong polar Jet Stream. This means we have a chance once again for our temperatures to soar above normal as predicted by Environment Canada. This will be mainly a moderate chance as we have not experienced any significant warm ups since the beginning of March. The long wave pattern has also changed, (according to AWM Blog) it has shifted over to favour more disturbances tracking across the prairies. This should result in slightly warmer than normal weather, but certainly more rainfall that we have seen in march.

Record Breaking Weekend Ahead!

Southern Manitoba will see a potentially record breaking weekend ahead with potentially the first big heat wave of the year!  Since the week began we have broken 3 record temperatures and at least 4 other records are expected to be broken over the next few days. In fact there is also a chance that we will see the warmest weather ever experienced in March at the beginning of next week!

March has been surprisingly warm this year, with temperatures anywhere from 10 to 20C above the normal, after a unpleasant snow storm started the month with more than 15 cm of snow in some parts of the province. With most of the snow around still forecasters had a lot of uncertainty as to how warm the weather could get. The extremely warm air aloft, the warm sun, and a few days of having a southerly breeze has done a great deal in melting most of the snow! In fact just look at how much melted in North Dakota and in our Part of the Province (Left; Top: March 02,2012 snowcover vs. Bottom: March 15,2012 snowcover)There is still some snow left in SW MB. As well as Ice left to melt on the Manitoba Lakes, Rivers, and creeks before we can call it officially all melted. Although there hasn't been enough of it to keep our temperatures back. As a result we have managed to break several temperature records so far this week and that trend looks to continue at least for  thenextcouple of days.On Sunday we broke a record that was set back in 1981 at 12.5C making the new record temperature 12.8C, On Monday we broke a record that was set back in 1922 at 7.2C putting in it's place a temperature of 9.7C. Last but not least on Thursday we broke a record that was set back in 1927 at 11.1C making the new record 14.4C

850mb Temp from the
GEM REG Model

So what exactly is causing this unexpected warmth? As depicted on the map to the right a area of low pressure and a strengthening southerly flow will begin to allow plenty of heat and maybe some moisture into the northern plains including Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota, as well here in Manitoba. The Warmth will extend all the way up north into Norway House.

Forecast High's for the next few days!

- Today March 16th: 21C 

- Tomorrow March 17th: 17C

- Sunday March 18th: 26C

- Monday March 19th: 26C

The top 3 hottest days ever recorded in Winnipeg in March are:

1. March 27, 1946: 23.3°C
2. March 23, 1910: 22.8°C
3. March 28, 1938: 20.6°C

Overnight CAPE of 2000 J/KG CAPE from
NAM is forecast on Sunday

 With the warm weather forecasted and highs in the 20's It looks like we will likely break the all time warmest March temperature Today, Sunday and Monday. There is one more thing that will also be a possible weather maker on the weekend "Thunderstorms"! There is a possibilty into sunday night into monday where we could see some overnight thunderstorms or what we call nocturnal thunderstorms. What we look for when forecasting thunderstorms include Moisture,Instability, Shear, and a Trigger. Here is a breakdown of what we are looking at for Sunday Night. For Moisture: Dewpoints are forecast to be near 15C, Instability: Models vary but we could see 2000J/KG of CAPE,Shear: 50-60kt of 0-500mb bulk shear and for a Trigger we have an advancing area of low pressure from the states that could provide enough energy to get things going. I will keep tweeting Via Twitter and provide you with the latest on the temperatures and thunderstorms! 

Data and some info is in part from AWM Blog

Manitoba Spring Outlook 2012

It has definitely been a long dreary winter for us in Manitoba with the continuous days of seeing temperatures in the minuses, snowfall and of course the cold blasts of wind from the windchill. Although spring is around the corner and not far off, only 10 days away. So with the return to budding of the trees, greening of the grass and warmer weather. What can we expect for the spring of 2012 here in Manitoba? Well taking into account the lack of snow cover over Manitoba this winter, the steady weakening of La Nina, Long Range Forecast Models, and the current/forecasted conditions of the Arctic Oscillation. We can expect to see a very welcoming Spring For Manitoba!

Overall we can expect above normal temperatures across most of the Province including here in Southern Manitoba, and Winnipeg. Areas in the northernmost regions will experience more normal temperatures for their region. On Average Temperatures will be in and around the 20C range in the south, and in the North around the mid teens.The Warm air will be a result of the Positive Arctic Oscillation, and a very strong northerly tracked jet stream that will keep all of the Arctic air locked up in Alaska and in British Columbia (as shown on the temperature map above). If you are wondering about any cold weather, that won't be a big issue. If we experience any below normal temperatures they will be very short lived and very minimal. If all goes well this trend will continue into the summer months with a possible emergence of El Nino as projected by various models, meaning a continuation of this warm weather and a return to possible wetter than normal weather conditions.

Those wondering about our precipitation we can expect to see normal precipitation amounts across most of the province including big towns like Winnipeg,Dauphin,Brandon and Winkler. The frequency and amounts will increase as you go northward especially in northernmost communities in Manitoba. This expected pattern is a result of an active storm track that will position itself over the northern prairies, resulting in lower amounts over central and southern Manitoba. On average expect 300mm in total for the southern part of the province, and 500 mm for the northern part of the province. That might mean we could have a lesser chance for flooding, but an increased risk for a drought down the road her in southern Manitoba!

Let's hope our spring turns out as forecasted!
Check out the spring weather forecasted by theweathernetwork, and Accuweather.

Records smashed as Warm March weather continues!

An unseasonably warm push of pacific air over the weekend in southern Manitoba, made for several record high temperatures yesterday. That included Winnipeg where a high of 12.8C was recorded,dominating the previous record set back on March 11th of 1981 at 12.5C. Other records that were broken included a very warm 14.8C in Pinawa (previous record 13.2C in 1995) and 14.6C in Melita. Where was the hottest in Manitoba yesterday? It was Wasagaming in Riding Mountain National Park at 15.8C. Other records Across Manitoba were broken as well.

Temperature Outlook for March 21st to 28th,
notice how the warm weather covers most of
North America

The record warm weather is expected to continue over the rest of the week and into next week with temperatures remaining well above normal and in the range of 7C to 25C for daytime highs and overnight lows above zero in between -1C and 14C. All of the warm temperatures will aid in melting the rest of the snow pack, hopefully it will be gone by the end of this week. More record highs possible for the rest of the week as listed below!

(Information above and below Courtesy of Rob's Blog)

Date... REC HIGH (year) - Winnipeg Airport (data since 1872)

Sun 11 ..... 12.8C (2012) (prev 12.5C 1981)
Mon 12 ..... 9.7C (2012) (prev 7.2C 1922)
Tue 13 ..... 12.2C (1902) (11.7C 2012)Wed 14 .... 11.4C (1981) (10.2C 2012)
Thu 15 ..... 14.4C (2012) (prev 11.1C 1927)
Fri 16 ...... 12.4C (1981)
Sat 17 ...... 12.8C (1938)
Sun 18 ..... 14.4C (1910)
Mon 19 .... 18.9C (1938)

Warmer Weather Headed our way!

Expect today to be the coldest day of the week after an area of low pressure made it's way through our area, bringing with it snow over some parts and behind it cool arctic air that will sink south throughout the day. Warm Weather will return by Saturday, as the cold air will stay locked up in the arctic with a strong positive AO, and a strong west to east zonal flow. If we get any cool blasts they will be very short lived.

Upper Level Pattern over
the next few days

All models are suggesting that this trend will likely continue, with temperatures remaining above zero across southern Manitoba for the next few weeks. Hopefully the warm weather will melt some of the snow we have received over the past several weeks. Although how warm we will get really depends on how much snowcover we have, areas around winnipeg will likely see the warmer air earlier as their is a less dense snowcover, and the black sod from farmers feilds should really help keep the heat, and melt the snow. Those who like warm weather it's just around the Corner!

For more details and info on the forecasted warm weather try these links: Environment Canada Weather for Manitoba, Accuweather Manitoba Forecasts, Weathernetwork Manitoba Forecasts, Wunderground Manitoba Weather, CBC Manitoba John Sauder and Unisys Weather 850 MB Temperature Loop

I'll have my spring outlook for Manitoba this weekend, Stay Tuned!

                                         (Top Right: Brett Anderson's ECMWF Model; Middle: AO Index; Bottom: Accuweather Pattern Forecast)