Warmer Weather Set To Return To Southern Manitoba

After a prolonged period unexpected cool temperatures and near to below normal temperatures, warmer weather is now on the way for many parts of Southern Manitoba.

 

Picture taken from A Weather Moment, note the blue squiggle the advancing upper level ridge.

 

The trough that has remained parked over our province the past week will finally be pushing off to Northwest Ontario, allowing the building upper level ridge currently over British Columbia to spread east into Southern Manitoba bringing with it some milder Pacific Air.

 

With the incoming upper level ridge the chances for precipitation will be slim to nothing over the next few days in the province, leaving conditions in the same way they have been "dry". We will see our temperatures climb into the high teens and possibly above the 20 degree mark in Western Manitoba, though conditions will get a touch cooler as you head east into the Red River Valley and Eastern Manitoba where most temperatures will be in the mid to high teens.

 

Things will be even warmer for Thursday as a warm front moves through, so temperatures will climb towards the low twenties in many regions. The real heat comes on Friday and the weekend when we will see temperatures in the high 20's in Western Manitoba, and the mid twenties in the RRV and East Manitoba. The warm weather will continue right into next week, giving us a chance to finish off the month in a warm pattern.

 

 

Stormy Weather On The Way Tonight, Leaving Behind Cooler Weather For the Weekend

With temperatures in the high twenties to low thirties today, a stormy night will take over as a cold front slides through Southern Manitoba and the Northern Plains. The cold front will knock down temperatures for the start of the weekend, as a NW breeze kicks in blowing air down from the Arctic.

A cold front will move through tonight sparking off showers and numerous thunderstorms

Until the day is done we will see temperatures rise into the high 20's low thirties across southern Manitoba with any leftover cloudcover clearing out. It should be a perfect sunset before things take a turn for the worst this evening as a cold front moves through the southern portion of the province until morning. Showers and numerous thunderstorms should develop along the front itself in the early to mid evening, likely growing in coverage as the night wears on. The showers and thunderstorms will move  the regions in the Red River Valley overnight, bringing a good 15mm to the area. The potential exists for some regions to receive over an inch of rain and a fantastic lightning show, likely the last of the year in Manitoba. Severe Weather will be possible tonight in North Dakota, and a slim chance in Manitoba meaning large hail and damaging winds the main threats.

Things should clear out for tomorrow making way for sunny skies and cooler temperatures near the mid twenties, with a light West to Southwest wind. Warmer Weather will be possible at the start of next week with high's near 30C. Take care during the storms everyone!

Cool Weather For The Next Few Days, Returning to Seasonal Temperatures By the Start of Next Week

We’ll see fairly seasonal weather over the weekend with overnight lows that will start off cool but climb back towards normal as well.

With The Jet Stream Struggling to push eastwards on Saturday the cool air will remain over NW Ontario and Southern Manitoba. Leaving behind the major warmth in British Columbia and Alberta. The Jet Stream will push eastwards slowly throughout the start of the week bringing warmer weather hopefully. 

After a beautiful day today we will see some cloudcover tomorrow as a trough travels south through the Red River Valley with a chance for some showers and maybe a thunderstorm before things clear out by evening. This will result in the temperatures staying fairly cool with them likely being in the low 20's in the Red River Valley, as cool air filters in behind the system. Although warmer weather will be in store for SW Manitoba where the sun will stay out pretty much all day.

The weekend will end sunny with temperatures climbing back into the upper twenties with the trend continuing into next week. Our next chance of precipitation could be on Tuesday Morning at 7am as another cold front slides south, the chances for precipitation at the moment are only looking to be 20%. I will keep everyone up to date on Twitter. Other than that the seasonal weather looks to take over once again!

A Few More Rounds Of Showers and Storms, Before The Heat Starts Building In!

A few more areas of low pressure and chances of precpitation are expected to move through Southern Manitoba over the next couple of days, as the ridge takes a while longer to build in than first thought.                                                                                                    

A look at the probability of seeing precipitation over 2mm for the time period of July 6th to July the 10th. Chances of precipitation range from 50 to 60% for most of the interlake and the parklands region, while most of Southern Manitoba and the Red River Valley will have a 70 to 80% chance of seeing some kind of precipitation.

The Ridge that was previously forecast to form and move into Southern Manitoba this weekend instead it has decided to wait a while and not form for a couple of days, this means we will be stuck in a more zonal flow through the weekend until the ridge starts building. Although that means we will have a chance at more rain than first thought, though it is great news for areas that haven't received much rainfall in the province.

T-storms will clear out by late eve.

 

 

T-storms will start at Noon

The next likely shot at seeing rainshowers or thunderstorms will come Saturday in the Afternoon and in the Evening as another area of low pressure moves Southeast through the regions of Southern Manitoba. Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms will fire up along this system as it moves through the RRV during the late afternoon early evening hours. There won't be a threat for significant severe weather tomorrow afternoon, as the parameters look to be fairly low. However there may be a few storms in the afternoon that could become severe, if it happens the severe weather will be very short lived.

As for our Temperatures they will remain being in the high twenties for daytime high's along with temperatures in the 15 to 20C mark for overnight lows. The real heat will start by the beginning of the week as the ridge starts building, temperatures will rise into the mid to high 30's by the end of next week and into next weekend giving us a great shot of summerlike weather.

Another Stormy Day On The Way Tomorrow; Warmer Weather on the Way

Possible showers and storms tomorrow will be welcomed with upper level ridging that will allow for our temperatures to start rising into the 20's and even low 30's later this week into the weekend and next week.

Showers And Storms Likely Tomorrow from Noon Through the Evening hours, in the Interlakes, Winnipeg and most of the Red River Valley.

The rest of the showers and storms will taper off this evening as they move into Ontario along with the main area of low pressure, leaving behind it conditions ranging from partly cloudy to clear across the Southern half of the province. Although temperatures won't be too bad, likely near the  low double digit ranges in all regions of the province it will provide for a very comfortable evening if you are heading out. Tomorrow will be a similar story but not as cloudy. The sun will be out throughout the morning and early afternoon hours allowing our temperatures in Southern Manitoba to rise into the high teens and low twenties, before another small front brushes past the province in the afternoon and evening. As this front slides by expect the formation of showers and storms in the Red River Valley and Eastern Manitoba as the daytime heating is combined with an area of lift along the front. Storms will generally be non severe in nature, although a few could reach severe limits for hail up to toonies and heavy rainfall.

Ridging will build into this weekend

Tomorrow will also mark a shift in our weather pattern, as a ridge starts to build into the province getting our temperatures into a warming trend. That ridge will continue to build into the weekend letting Sunshine take hold over the province and aid in getting a boost of our temperatures and humidity levels. It is definitely going to give us some time to dry out, especially for those in SW Manitoba who have received well over 240mm of rain in the past few weeks.

Today's Tip: A look at the legend of the NWS Weather Map (top picture) 

A Look Back At The Month of May, And A Chance For Us To Dry Out A Little Bit......

(Info Provided in part by Brad from A Weather Moment,
and other details by Mike the Author of this blog)


After Seeing deluges of rain over the past 10 days Southern Manitoba is finally forecast to see some sunny dry weather conditions. A high pressure system will move through our area allowing for sunny skies over the next couple of days, with daytime highs pushing back to the seasonal normal. That is about 21C for Brandon, 22C for Portage La Prairie and Winnipeg.

 Overall Precipitation Average through the month of May

Focusing on Winnipeg, we are absolutely soaked, according to Brad from AWM "So far this month, many areas of the city have seen over 100mm (3.94”) of rain, with some areas of the west end seeing closer to 125mm (4.92”)." This is definitely a huge amount of rainfall for a single in Winnipeg; the Manitoba Agricultural department released a report showing that Winnipeg has had 46% more rainfall than normal over the last 30 days. Brandon has also had close to 50% more rainfall than normal in a 30 day period, although a little less up in Dauphin and areas along the International Border where drier conditions persist. This wetter than normal month has broken a 9-month stretch of drier than normal conditions for parts of Winnipeg and the city has already shattered last years total summer precipitation. If summer is considered the months of June, July and August, our 100-125mm of precipitation in Winnipeg this month smashes the 93mm we received throughout the Summer of 2011. As well through the summer last year only 7 days the airport reported thunderstorms in the area. So far in May alone we have reported 5 thunderstorms, put that on top of the other 5 we experienced in March and April altogether we have seen 10+ thunderstorms. Looks like we are leaving 2011 in the dust in terms of our storm activity. Overall we are off to a wet start to the summer that has definitely been more promising on our storm front than last year.

Time for our Weather outlook.....

Positioning of the high pressure system at Noon Today

Over the next couple days, we will see the sun and the return of warmer temperatures. An area of high pressure will continue moving our region tonight before it enters NW Ontario Tomorrow allowing for a southwest flow to take place, bringing some warmer weather for the day. We will see a small chance for some showers and possible thunderstorms on Friday Afternoon as a trough pushes through the Red River Valley, bringing our temperatures up into the mid to high twenties for the weekend.