Cool Night Ahead Before Some Potential Record Smashing Warmth Arrives

Our day today was a bit cloudy and cool thanks to remnants of yesterday's system, but now we are in the clear it looks like southern Manitoba is now headed for an extended period of above normal temperatures. That's right no more cold weather to complain about.

Let The Heat Begin!

The night ahead tonight will be marked with cloudy skies clearing to partly cloudy skies tonight, making our temperatures cooler than what they should be overnight. Winds will be light out of the north, I expect that Winnipeg will reach an overnight low of minus eight and somewhere around minus 6 to minus 10 in the Red River Valley whereas areas out by Melita and southwest Manitoba will be closer to zero likely minus one or two overnight. Further north from Dauphin to Bissett could be influenced more by the arctic air spilling out resulting in temperatures more near minus 12 or minus 13. Temperatures will quickly recover to start the day Thursday.


Thursday expect any lingering cloudcover to dissipate by morning, sunshine should take over during the late morning hours. Temperatures will finally get above zero degrees and a few places may see high temperatures in the mid teens especially in the southwest part of the province. I'm calling for a high temperature of plus 7C in Brandon, and a high of 15C in Melita. As for areas in the riding mountain areas it will be cooler as the snow there will be reflecting much of the sunlight, high's will only get as warm as 5 or 6C. Areas in Eastman especially in the whiteshell areas will be cool with highs near 7C. Winnipeg on the other hand could reach high's close to ten degrees my high is about 9C, that would potentially break Winnipeg's record high temperature of 6.7C set in 1902. On Thursday night Winnipeg will only drop to a temperature of 6C.


Looking ahead to Friday that is when the real warmth will arrive! High temperatures will be in the low to mid teens across the south the problem is that with the weather models is that they are showing the warmth staying south of the Winnipeg area but I think it will be much further north. As a result expect highs inbetween 5 and 10C from the interlakes into the Dauphin Areas and Eastman. Much warmer weather further south towards Winnipeg and southwestern Manitoba, where I expect temperatures to go over ten degrees, likely in the city itself 10 to 15C. The airport may be a tad cooler given the fact there is still snow on the ground though we could make it to the record high of 12.8C set in 2012 if we get warm enough. Daytime high on Friday could be 13C in Winnipeg and 15C for Brandon, but best bet is 12C for Winnipeg. Overnight lows on Friday will drop once again only slightly above zero for most of the province, setting up for a warm Saturday.


Why are temperatures staying above zero at night? It's because most models at the moment are picking up on the idea that the dewpoints will be above zero as well through the day and night, with that being said it will or could possibly keep temperatures warm enough overnight to break previous minimum temperature records. The minimum temperature record in Winnipeg is 0.6C on Thursday night and 2.8C on Friday night both in 1878. We could also break the record dewpoint temperature of 6.0C set in 2012 on Thursday. With dewpoints above zero, snow melt is definitely possible in huge amounts combined with highs in the mid teens. WE COULD BE SNOW FREE BY THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK!!!


Long Range: Warmth Continues

Heading into the long range the NAEFS model is still picking up on above normal temperatures staying with us through until the 23rd,, or even longer. As our weather pattern continues to offer warm weather flooding in. That means as mentioned our warmth might be able to melt all the snow away by the 17th, high temperatures will be in the 0 to 15C range over the coming weeks as well. #GoAwaySnow