Seasonal Temperatures Finally Return (Information Compiled by Rob's Blog, A Weather Moment, and Environment Canada.

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It has been a very cold past couple of days here in Southern Manitoba thanks to a arctic airmass that was in place, that has now cleared out allowing for seasonal temperatures to return. It is a welcome return. However as we approach the weekend our weather could become more active as warmer and more above seasonal air starts moving into our area.

Chance of flurries and sun.
High -5 to -10C

The rest of the day today will offer light winds for most and some cloudy skies and flurries off into the southwestern areas of the Red River Valley into Westman and the riding mountain areas, clearer skies will be in place elsewhere. The flurries are in part due to a system sliding through in North Dakota. High temperatures will be in the mid minus single digits for most with a high of minus five in Brandon, Dauphin will have a high of minus nine. Winnipeg will be closer to minus ten, with a high of minus eight. Bissett and Gimli will be inbetween minus five and minus eight.


Chance of Flurries
Lows -23C to -17C.

Tonight a chance of flurries will linger in areas of Westman, Southwest Red River Valley, and into the Riding Mountain areas. That should clear out by shortly after midnight, low temperatures will dip to minus eighteen in Winnipeg, minus twenty three in Bissett, minus seventeen in Brandon and Dauphin.



Increasing Clouds
High's -4 to -6

Thursday will be a bit of a sunnier of a day as an area of high pressure moves in from the northwest before cloudcover moves in later in the day as an area of low pressure approaches from the west. Winds will be light as well. High temperatures will be a bit warmer with high's instead of being around minus ten they will be closer to minus five. A few places to name Bissett will be sitting at minus six, Brandon at minus four, Winnipeg at minus six, and Dauphin at minus five.

Mainly Cloudy
Lows -12 to -20C

Thursday night should be a bit warmer with cloudcover and lows will only be getting into the mid minus teens and slightly above minus ten, a low of minus nine can be expected in Dauphin, minus eighteen in Gimli, minus twelve in Brandon, minus twenty in Bissett. Minus thirteen in Winnipeg.




Snow on the way for the day Friday, not much expected though. 2 to 4cm at least.

Snow Amount 2 to 4cm,
except for Northern regions.
Highs -1 to -6C.

Friday will be a different story an area of low pressure will move through areas of southern Manitoba through the morning to late afternoon and early evening, it will bring a swath of snow with it that will clear out by shortly after supper time. The bulk of it should fall before the noon hour. Amounts should be fairly light with about to 2 to 4cm expected. Areas in the northern interlake and towards Bissett will miss the snowfall, and will experience cloudy skies. Environment Canada is forecasting flurries for now, but I think that the light to moderate snowfall would be a better bet.
High temperatures will be in the mid minus single digits, Winnipeg about minus five celcius, Brandon about minus one, Dauphin minus six, Gimli minus one, and Bissett minus six.

Long Range: Mild Weather Returns As Predicted

Long Range models are continuing to show mild weather on the way for all of southern Manitoba into eastern Canada. There is barely any signs of a cooldown in the near future either.



850mb temperature anomaly Sunday March 6th




850MB Temperature Anomaly Tuesday March 8th




850MB Temperature Anomaly Wed March 9th

850MB Temperature Anomaly Thur March 10th

 

NAEFS 8 to 14 day outlook, showing above seasonal temperatures sticking around

 
 As I have been talking about all this time above seasonal weather is expected as their appears to be a major pattern shift on the way. The arctic airmass that was in place for weeks will finally move out of the area and won't come back anytime soon.  A ridge collapsing out on the west coast will allow for a more zonal flow to take place allowing for pacific air to rush in, as a result much of the country will benefit from warmer air. The pattern shift was also mentioned on TheWeatherChannel in the states.
As a result we will see temperatures above normal for this time of year, with high temperatures around zero to even above freezing through the weekend into next week. We may see a few days of temperatures below zero, but for the most part above zero. High temperatures at times may even approach ten degrees, yes you heard that right plus ten. Along with the warm March sun and highs above freezing our snowpack should quickly diminish. Normal high temperatures are now inbetween -5 and -10C, normal lows between -10C and -20C. Winnipeg's normal is now high -5C and Low -15C.

  Increased Precipitation Chances

Potential for rain on Monday Night,
with lows above freezing.

If you are interested the Jetstream will favour a trough on the west coast which will divert the stormtrack further south into California where the rain is desperately needed. The zonal flow in our country will also allow for an increased chances of rain and snow as the stormtrack is lined up straight west to east through us. In fact we may see some rainfall on Monday night changing over to snow on Tuesday but it should melt, it will be a stronger system that we haven't seen in a long time, but it will be something to watch for. Stay tuned for updates!