Warm Spring Weather Finally Arrives

 

(Above): After a period of well below average temperatures and significant rainfall which led to flooding, that continues to impact the province a period of above normal temperatures is expected this week. You can thank this warmer weather to a ridge building over the prairies, the good news is that this dry weather period should stick with us for a decent period of time. Temperatures for this week on Wednesday will soar into the low to mid teens in the southeast, interlakes, and the eastern half of Manitoba with areas in the southwest and parklands rising into the mid to high teens . Wednesday night temperatures will drop into the low to mid single digits with areas in the interlakes getting closer to 1 or 2C. 

Thursday (Above): will be a beautiful day as well with temperatures soaring well into the low 20’s in the southwest and western half of Manitoba. Areas further west towards the south central, interlakes and southeast will see temperatures in the high teens with a chance at temperatures above 20C. Over the Manitoba lakes values in the mid to high single digits are likely with areas by the lakeshore closer to 10C. 

Thursday Night will offer temperatures in the mid to upper single digits with the warmest of overnight lows in the eastern forested regions, areas by the lakes will see significantly colder temperatures with lows between 1 and 5C.

Friday will be the warmest of the days of the week with a large and significant area of Manitoba seeing high temperatures in the mid to upper teens with some areas likely getting over 20C in the southern half of the province, it’s likely the NAM is underestimating the warmth expected here with the ridging, the only exception being the Manitoba lakes and areas on the lakeshores again only seeing highs in the low to mid teens or colder. 

Friday Night: Much of southern Manitoba might see some clouds sneak in on Friday night ahead of a system coming in for the weekend, there’s a chance for showers in the southwest during the period but this chance is low. Temperatures will drop into the low to mid teens in the southeast, south central and southeast lows around 12 to 13C are likely. Areas in the southwest and west can see lows in the mid to high single digits. 

The Weekend: Is starting to appear more and more likely that a low pressure system will impact southern Manitoba, this system will form by Colorado and Montana but it will move into central Manitoba by Sunday with our temperatures soaring well into the low 20’s and high teens with overnight lows more normal for this time of year.  There is a good chance at showers and thunderstorms developing over southern Manitoba and the Dakotas. This system will be convectively driven meaning rainfall totals could be enhanced over different regions ⛈⛈⚡️⚡️⚡️. All of the models I’m seeing so far are in agreement that a risk or small possibility of severe thunderstorms. I’m still unsure about the likelihood of that occurring, yet.   We’ll know more in fridays update.