It’s been a while since I did a blog post, I took the end of the week off along with Canada day as it gave me a chance to calm down and get my mind set on the coming summer. I hope you all had a great Canada day holiday weekend. Regardless the first half of the week looks to be a fairly calm pattern, high pressure will sit over the Canadian prairie provinces keeping the weather stable. However a change in the weather pattern is possible mid week with more unsettled weather possible by Wednesday. Read on to find out about the outlook for the next few days with details into Thursday. The next blog will be made available on Thursday evening for the weekend.
Warmer weather on the way for Wednesday with some of the warmest weather we have seen since last week.
Tonight: A chance of showers are likely as remnants of a low pressure system move out of Manitoba into Ontario, mainly cloudy skies are likely into the overnight hours. Temperatures will drop into the mid to high teens.
Tuesday: Cloudy to partly cloudy skies are expected during the day on Tuesday, temperatures in the low to mid 20’s are possible later in the day after clearing fills in. Partly cloudy skies are likely by late afternoon as most of the cloudy conditions move into North Dakota later in the day. It’s expected that mainly areas over lake Manitoba and Lake Winnipeg may only see highs in the mid to high teens.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy to Clear skies are expected during the mid evening before increasing clouds move in overnight ahead of another low pressure system approaches the region as it enters southeast Saskatchewan by early morning. Temperatures on Tuesday night will only reach the high teens, with some areas dropping closer to 15C. Overall average overnight low temperatures.
Wednesday: The forecast gets a little more interesting on Wednesday, a low pressure system will be moving into southern Manitoba. Temperatures ahead of this system will rise into the mid to high 20’s with a possibility of some areas reaching close to 30C. Moisture will not be lacking much as dew points (the temperature at which relative humidity is 100% if reached by the actual temperature, where dew forms) will be in the mid to high teens. An approaching cold front or trough will be the focus for thunderstorm development later in the afternoon, MUCAPES (Thunderstorm Energy) in Joules will reach 1,000 to 1,500 or 2,000J/Kg. It’s possible that thunderstorms may initiate in the latter half of the day due to possible capping if they do they could possibly become severe. The latest NAM has a potential for thunderstorms to develop along a west to east line from the parklands into the inter lakes and eastern Manitoba before they drift southwards during the evening. We will know more by the day on Tuesday and the morning on Wednesday about potential threat areas. If thunderstorms don’t form expect mainly sunny and humid conditions.
Wednesday Night: Most of the showers and thunderstorms should clear out of the region, if they occur. Clear conditions are expected before increasing clouds by the early morning hours. Temperatures will drop into the high teens on Wednesday night.
Thursday should see much of the same with mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, temperatures will likely rise into the high teens in the southwest with low 20’s in the southeast. Cloudy to partly cloudy skies are possible on Thursday Night with temperatures in the low teens in the southwest and lows in the mid to high teens in the southeast.
The weekend: Hotter and more unsettled weather is possible come the weekend with a chance at more thunderstorms. There’s a probability we could get more than 25mm of rain come the weekend. We’ll keep an eye on that for you.
thanks,looking forward to your next blog.
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