Monday, March 29, 2021

Mild Monday leads to wild weather

 After a somewhat cool and seasonable weekend, southern sections and much of Manitoba will be in for a treat! A large area of low pressure will be moving into the region heating up our temperatures, however it will be short lived. Get ready for some wild weather!!!! Find out more below!!! 


Above: Snow will move southeast gradually through the evening eventually impacting the entire southern half of the province shortly after midnight. Blowing snow will be a concern. Snow will taper off towards the early morning on Tuesday. 

Monday: A large but potent area of low pressure will be covering the southern half of Saskatchewan into Manitoba, this will be the main weather feature for the day on Monday. For Monday the day should start off calm, partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies are expected for a majority of the region. The exception will be areas of southeastern Manitoba where Sunny to partly cloudy skies are likely. As the system moves east towards the late morning, an area of showers will move in from Saskatchewan and slowly move into areas of western and southwestern Manitoba which will gradually then shift northeast into the interlakes region by evening. There is a chance some of these rain showers could move through the red river valley into the latter half of the day. The wind also will be quite strong with extreme southwestern regions of the province seeing gusts over 80-90km/h in the afternoon hours. It’s possible if the region can tap into southwest winds the entire southwestern western half of Manitoba could see gusts up to 80-90km/h. Winds will remain in the 20 to 40km/h range in the day for the southeast part of the province. Extremely mild temperatures are forecast for the day, I’m expecting a large swath of temperatures in the low to high teens (10 to 19C) in areas of eastern portions of southwestern Manitoba, the red river valley, and southeastern sections of the province. Areas of the interlakes into western sections of southwestern Manitoba from Brandon south to north will into the parklands and central eastern Manitoba will see highs in the upper single digits. Heading into the evening. A cold front will cut through the red river valley towards 7 PM. Rain will begin in south central portions of Manitoba around 5 PM I’m only expecting about 1 to 3 mm of rain for the south central and south eastern portion of Manitoba.  Snow will begin in the Russell, Roblin, Swan River portions of Manitoba around 5pm as cold air filters in behind the system, the snow and below freezing temps will spread from Dauphin south towards the rest of southwestern Manitoba through the evening. Once that cold air start filtering into Southeastern portions of Manitoba a complete transition over to snow is expected. There is a likelihood of snow and blowing snow zero visibility at times through the evening and early overnight period. Also winds will gust from 60 to 90 km an hour for southwestern Manitoba in the evening with gusts up to 60km/h or 70km/h possible in the southern red river valley, Winnipeg region. Followed by the red river valley interlakes and south central Manitoba towards midnight. Overall for snowfall totals only expect about 1 to 3cm, for the parklands, south central and southeastern Manitoba. A few patches of a cm or 2 can be expected in southwestern Manitoba. Temperatures overnights will drop in mid to high minus single digits, with windchill‘s in the high minus teens with low minus 20s in the interlakes and parklands regions. Eeek!!! Day: Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, 30% chance of showers in the afternoon. High 18C.  Brandon: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon. High 12C. Wind southwest to west 30km/h in the afternoon. Dauphin: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon. Wind west 20km/h. High 8C. Night: Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the evening changing to snow and blowing snow. Near zero visibility at times. Snowfall amount 2cm. Wind 60 gusting to 80 km an hour in the evening and after midnight. Low -8C, windchill -18C. Brandon: Cloudy, snow beginning in the evening, wind 60 gusting to 90km/h in the evening. Near zero visibility at times. Snowfall amount 2cm to 4cm. Low -8C, windchill -19C. Dauphin: Cloudy. Snow and blowing snow beginning early in the evening. Wind 40km/h. Snowfall amount 2 to 4cm. Low -9C, windchill -20C. 

Tuesday: Behind the low pressure system a arctic air mass, will filter south with an accompanying trough. As that trough moves south east there is a likelihood for extensive cloud cover in the afternoon and majority of the day. There is a possibility of some snow squalls developing over the red river valley with the cool flow off the Manitoba lakes. Accumulations with the squalls  will not be much I am only expecting about a max of 2 to 4 cm with them as they possibly move into southeastern Manitoba. Wind will not be much of an issue for the day on Tuesday. Temperatures will struggle to get above zero on Tuesday with our daytime highs only rising into the mid to high minus single digits (-4 to -9C).  Our wind chill values well also sit in the mid to high minus teens in southeastern Manitoba (-15 to -20C) with low to mid teens in southwestern Manitoba (-10 to -15C). Heading into the overnight. There is a likelihood of calmer weather conditions coming in as a result of an area of high-pressure that will likely allow clear for skies at night. Our temperatures will take a nose dive once again into the high minus single-digit to low minus teens, where are windchills will drop into the mid minus to high minus teens but some areas a bit warmer closer to -10°C windchill. Day: Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of snow in the late afternoon. High -7C, windchill -16C. Brandon: Cloudy, high -4C, windchill-11C. Dauphin:Cloudy, high -6C, windchill -14C. 

Night: Winnipeg: Clear, low -10C. Windchill: -15C Brandon: Clear, low -8C. Windchill -10C.  Dauphin: Clear, low -10C. Windchill -14C. 

Wednesday and the second half of the week: It appears that this cooler than average weather pattern that we will see for the first half of the week, will be replaced by warmer conditions towards the second half the week. An area of high pressure will move east of the province of Manitoba on Wednesday night, allowing for us to get a southerly flow that will eventually establish itself over the prairie provinces. We will probably see our temperatures of the mid to high teens and above 20C return for the latter half of the week. 

Friday, March 26, 2021

Seasonal, calm weekend. Warmer weather arriving,

Manitoba will be experiencing a seasonal weekend, a a area of low pressure will give way to a cool northwesterly flow, which will be dominating the pattern. It’ll be one of those weekends that look to give us a variety of weather. Find out more about it below..



Warmth building in slowly come Sunday afternoon. Thanks to a low pressure system slowly moving across the prairie provinces . 

Friday: A weak low pressure system will be moving through southeastern sections of Manitoba during the early afternoon. The good news is that there isn’t much precipitation that will come along with this frontal system, a chance of some short but heavy bursts of snow is possible in southeastern sections of Manitoba. The good news is that calmer weather is forecast for the rest of the day,, cloudy skies are expected for areas of southeastern Manitoba and for the interlakes/red river valley. Much of southwestern Manitoba will be seeing sunny skies, the only caveat to this is that there will be increasing cloudcover for areas of the south into the evening hours. Temperatures for the daytime will rise into the low to mid single digits (3 to 7C) in southwestern Manitoba with cooler temperatures forecast for southeastern Manitoba (1 to 4C). Heading into Friday Night a high pressure system will be entering into southwestern sections of Manitoba. Heavier clouds are likely to move into the region, mainly along and south of the Manitoba lakes and the yellowhead, north of that clear skies are expected. A cool northwesterly flow will move into the area, as a result Temperatures will take a plunge once again below the freezing mark. Lows will end up in the low minus single digits (-1 to -8C) the colder lows will be over the Manitoba lakes (-7 to -12C) however a majority of the cold weather will be locked up in northern Manitoba with lows in the minus teens and minus twenties. .  .Day: Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of flurries in the morning. High +4C. Brandon: Sunny, high +6C. Dauphin: Sunny, high +3C. Night: Winnipeg: Cloudy, low -2C. Brandon: Cloudy, then clearing by morning. Low -2C. Dauphin: Clear, low -4C. 

Saturday: An upper level ridge will begin building into the province of Manitoba, by evening it should be over the western half of Manitoba. This will allow a northwesterly wind to take over mainly from 15 to 30km/h. A chance of some flurries are expected as you go into the afternoon hours  however snowfall totals will not amount to much. Sunny skies are expected for the afternoon with cloudy skies rolling in come the evening hours. Temperatures for the day will soar into the mid to high single digits (3 to 8C) for much of the south, the only exception being the parklands, interlakes, central eastern Manitoba where the highs will only reach the low to mid single digits (1 to 4C). Heading into the overnight period the ridge of high pressure I mentioned will be moving into eastern Manitoba overnight then Ontario by morning. Clear skies are forecast for a large part of the night, some heavier cloud could filter into the western half of Manitoba by morning. Overnight lows will drop into the low to mid minus single digits (-2 to -5C) for a majority of the region. The only exception will be the Manitoba lakes areas where lows will likely drop below -10°C .Day: Winnipeg: Sunny, high 8C, Brandon: Partly cloudy, 30% chance of flurries in the afternoon. high 7C. Dauphin: Sunny then 30% chance of flurries in the afternoon. High +3C. Night: Winnipeg, clear low -4C. Brandon: Clear, then partly cloudy low -4C. Dauphin: Clear, then mostly cloudy low -3C. 

Sunday: A broad ridge of high pressure will be moving east into Ontario, behind it a large upper Warm front will be moving to Southeastern Saskatchewan come the afternoon and evening hours on Sunday. As the warm front approaches the region I’m expecting heavier clouds to filter in by the early afternoon hours. The good news however is no precipitation is forecast for the day on Sunday. Temperatures on the day Sunday will soar into the mid to high single digits and low teens (1 to 12C) with some areas getting as warm as 10°C especially in the southwest. Heading into Sunday overnight I’m expecting partly cloudy skies for the evening with increasing cloud overnight with clearing skies come the morning hours. Temperatures overnight will once again drop into the low minus single digits in some patchy locations (-1 to -3C). Areas of the rest of the south can expect it to drop to a few degrees above freezing (0 to 5C). Day: Winnipeg: Cloudy, high 6C. Brandon: Mainly cloudy, clearing in the afternoon high 9C. Dauphin: Cloudy, clearing in the afternoon high 5C. Night... Winnipeg: Cloudy, clearing in the morning low 2C. Brandon: Cloudy, clearing in the morning. Low -1C. Dauphin: Cloudy, clearing by morning. Low 3C.


Start of the week: An unusually warm start to the week will occur, a large low pressure system will slide through the southern half of Manitoba on Monday. Track is still being worked out, however data is consistent on bringing a large area of temperatures in the high teens and low 20’s. There will be a risk of showers and non severe thunderstorms on Monday afternoon and evening. The warmth will not last long as a cold front moves through the region on Monday night. Its possible that we could end up dropping below zero for daytime highs for the first half of the week come Tuesday.  Well update you on that come Monday!

 Posted by Mike 

Monday, March 22, 2021

Unsettled weather returns with seasonal temperatures

 Say goodbye to all the early season warmth this week ahead will resemble weather more typical of March, thanks to a westerly upper level flow returning and a few passing low pressure systems over southern Manitoba bringing more unsettled weather. Read on to Find out how cold it will get and what kind of weather we will get below. 






A look at temperatures for the day on Monday, a bit cooler than what we’ve been used to. This pattern will stick after Tuesday’s brief warmup. 

Monday: A area of high pressure will be sitting south of the border, while we sit on the western edge a southeasterly flow will be able to take place. Unfortunately it won’t be as nice that we have experienced of late. Cloudy skies are expected for regions of southwestern Manitoba into the inter lakes region, where sunny skies are expected through the day into southeastern Manitoba. Increasing cloud is expected as you head into the early evening and late evening and overnight throughout the rest of the south. The only exception will be extreme southwest and southeast area where clear skies are forecast. Daytime high temperatures will likely only sit in the low to high single digits (2 to 8C), with the warmest air along and north of the American border in extreme southern sections a few locations around the Manitoba lakes a bit colder. Overnight lows will drop into the minus single digits in the red river valley, and sections of southeastern Manitoba and the parklands regions . Elsewhere overnight lows will sit in the low single digits including the rest of southern Manitoba including the interlakes southwestern, southeastern, and the western parklands. Forecasts: Winnipeg: Sunny, high 6C. Brandon: Cloudy, high 7C. Dauphin: Cloudy high 5C. Overnight: Winnipeg: Cloudy, low 0C. Brandon: Cloudy, low 1C. Dauphin: Cloudy, low 1C. 

Tuesday: Oooo Sweet, Tuesday may be one of those toasty sun tanning days. No I’m not talking about those Florida beach days (seriously don’t put on your bathing suit or beach wear), I’m talking about a toasty not needing your heavy jacket days. Of course if you want you can wear your shorts if your one of those super cool risk takers. Thanks to a warm front which will be situated in Southwestern Manitoba during the afternoon hours will allow a southerly flow to establish itself, partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected in the afternoon hours. Little in the way of precipitation however is forecast for the day. Temperatures during the day will soar into the low teens (10 to 12C) with the possibility of seeing temperatures closer to (12 to 14C) in a few locations. The only exception being the inter lakes and the Parklands region of Manitoba with lows in the low to mid single digits (1 to 7C). A Low pressure system which is going to be a long the American border will gradually move south east into the evening. A band of rain or showers will likely form in south western Manitoba during the evening hours, as the temperatures drop into the overnight that may transition into flurries or light snow by the time it reaches the red river valley overnight it will likely weaken out into scattered or isolated flurries. Overnight lows will drop into The low to high minus single digits,(-2 to -9C). As usual the Interlake regions particularly along the Manitoba lakes will see temperatures closer to (-8C to -10C.) Forecasts: Winnipeg, Day: Partly Cloudy, high 13C. Night: Cloudy, 30% chance flurries. Low -3C Brandon, Day: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers high 7C.Night:  Dauphin, Day: Cloudy 60% chance of flurries or light snow. high 2C. Night: Cloudy, (low -8C)Ouch!.

Wednesday: During the day Wednesday a area of high pressure off in Northern Manitoba will bring a strong northerly flow southwards as it moves east, clear skies are expected for the day on Wednesday. The bad news about this is that it will limit our temperatures from rising the way they have been over the last week. Temperatures on the day Wednesday will be all over the place, places along and south of the Manitoba lakes will see temperatures in the low to mid single digits (0 to 5C). Areas north of Yellowhead Highway, and the #1 from Neepawa and Russell east through the Interlakes into the eastern part of Manitoba will see highs in the low minus single digits (0 to -3C). There will be increasing cloud towards the late evening into the overnight. Another system off in Saskatchewan will be creating another potential snowstorm for that province and region. However that looks to me as much of the province of Manitoba on Wednesday night will miss the snow. Temperatures for all of the southern Manitoba region will drop into the Low to high minus single digits (-3 to -9C). The warmest of the overnight lows will be in south eastern Manitoba. Winnipeg: Day, Sunny High 2C. Night: Cloudy, low -5C.  Brandon, Day: Sunny, high 2C. Night: Cloudy, low -7C. Dauphin, day Sunny high -2C. Night: Cloudy, low -9C. 

Second half of the week: A Fairly unsettled second half of the week is expected, a few areas of low pressure will move through the region bring a chance for showers or flurries. There will also be continuing temperatures in the mid to high positive single digits (1 to 8C. Overnight lows will of course remain in the low to mid minus single digits (0 to -7C)

Friday, March 19, 2021

Unseasonable warmth arriving!

 Southern Manitoba has been experiencing some of the warmest weather of the season so far, snow pack has greatly diminished and temperatures have been soaring into the mid to high single digits in some cases, this past week. There has been some areas where temperatures have even reached the 10-15C mark. Why so warm??? A area of high pressure off in eastern Canada has been allowing a warm southerly flow to envelop much of the eastern prairies, this trend looks to continue. Read on to find out how warm things will get this weekend! 





Above a snapshot of the warmth expected for Saturday in southern sections of Manitoba. Warmest air appears to be in the southeastern sections. Enjoy!

Friday: Will be another gorgeous day, sunny skies with very little in the way of cloud cover is expected. Winds will be gusting out of the south from 50 to 70km/h.  Temperatures for a majority of the region are expected to soar into the low to mid teens (10 to 14C) for areas along and south of the yellowhead highway north into the southern interlakes region and the eastern sections of Manitoba up to Bissett. Areas north of that will only see high temperatures in the high single digits (7 to 9C). Winnipeg: Sunny, high 12C. Brandon: Sunny, high 14C. Dauphin: Sunny, high 9C. 

Friday Night: Much of the region again will be under high pressure, clear skies are forecast into the mid to late evening with increasing cloud overnight with lows only dropping into the low single digits +1 to +4C. A few locations will drop below zero, mainly in the parklands the dauphin region as well as the Brandon area to the Manitoba lakes area. Winnipeg: Clear, increasing cloud overnight. Low +1C. Brandon: Clear early in the evening then cloudy, low 0C.  Dauphin: Cloudy, low +1C. 

Saturday: During the day Saturday a warm front will gradually lift itself north into the northern North Dakota region, with a attendant trough off in western Manitoba. In western Manitoba cloudy skies are expected for the majority of the day with a band of rain in the northern parklands region by Dauphin and Swan River which may build far enough south into the Dauphin regions. There may be Periods of sun mixed in, sunny skies are likely in much of southeastern Manitoba. Temperatures will differ widely from the low single digits (1 to 4C) in the interlake regions, to the mid single digits in southwestern Manitoba and the parklands regions (4C to 7C). Areas in the extreme southwest northeast into the southern interlakes and into the nopiming areas will see high temperatures in the low to mid teens (10 to 15C). Winnipeg: Sunny, high 14C. Brandon: Cloudy: High 8C. Dauphin: Cloudy, high 9C. 

Saturday Night:An area of low pressure will be skirting along the Saskatchewan border, with another system lifting into northern regions of Manitoba centred in the interlake regions, along with a cold front cutting through the southern half of Manitoba. Unsettled weather is possible in the interlakes, with rain possible there, then areas in the red river valley into southeastern Manitoba as a band of rain moves through the region then into Ontario by morning. Temperatures for the night will only drop below zero in the extreme western portions of Manitoba, (0 to -1C) elsewhere such as the interlakes, red river valley and southeastern, southwestern Manitoba regions temperatures will sit in the mid to high single digits. Winnipeg: Cloudy, rain beginning before morning. Low +4C. Brandon: Cloudy, low +1C. Dauphin: Cloudy low -1C. 

Sunday: I’m expecting a chance for showers to continue in areas of eastern Manitoba as the cold front takes a while to leave the province, skies should clear come the afternoon hours. Cooler drier air will filter in as a result , with areas of southwestern Manitoba and the interlakes seeing the coldest of that air sitting only in the mid single digits (3 to 7C). Areas of southeastern Manitoba will see highs in the low teens to mid teens, (10 to 14C). Winnipeg: Sunny, high 10C. Brandon: Sunny, High 5C. Dauphin: Sunny, high 3C. 

Sunday Night: A area of high pressure will be sitting south of the region and as a result clear skies are expected. I’m expecting a colder night than what we’re used to. Temperatures in the low minus single digits (-2 to -8C) will settle in overnight on Sunday, with the coldest temperatures right over the Manitoba lakes. Winnipeg: Clear, low -3C. Brandon: Clear, low -4C. Dauphin: clear low -3C. 

Early next week: Indications are that the trend of temperatures in the low teens , will end and a possibility of temperatures in the mid to high single digits will come back as cool air filters in behind a large low pressure system in eastern Canada .  

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Weather Update for the weekend! For Manitoba Weather Center

 This blog , will be short as I’m getting ready for a move on Tuesday. Regular blog details will resume on Wednesday. Southern Manitoba this weekend looks to be under the influence of a high-pressure system just south of us in the northern plains. Along with another area of high pressure sinking south into northwestern Ontario from northern Manitoba.   What this means is a easterly to southerly flow will be in place , allowing for calm weather conditions to continue. A low pressure system will be travelling through the high plains with a large Colorado low impacting the plain states, the high pressure system will prevent us from having any significant weather, though moisture is desperately needed. As a result , expect sunny to partly cloudy skies and temperatures to rise into the mid to high single digits throughout this weekend into next week. (3 to 14C), with the warmest temperatures expected on Saturday.  Overnight lows will drop into the low to high minus single digits (-2 to -12C), with the coldest of places expected to be in the Manitoba lakes regions. Temperatures in the low to high plus single digits (3 to 10C) are expected into the beginning of the week. 

Monday, March 8, 2021

Warm Streak ends on a Unsettled Note

 The beautiful warm weather that we have been experiencing over the past few weeks , looks to continue this week thanks to a southerly flow from a area of high pressure off in the northeastern United States by Lake Superior. That looks to end as we near the middle of the week, find out what we can expect weather wise below !!




Monday: Will be one of the most gorgeous days of the week, sunny skies will filter in with a southerly to southwesterly flow as a remnant high pressure system sits off in Michigan and the Great Lakes. There will be some cloud that will filter in come the late afternoon in southwestern Manitoba, temperatures will be hindered from rising much as a result. Temperatures for the afternoon will soar into the low to mid teens in the red river valley and including Winnipeg (+10 to 14C), elsewhere in regions of the interlakes and southeast Manitoba temperatures in the mid to high single digits are expected ( +5 to 10C). Southwestern Manitoba west of Brandon will only see temperatures in the low single digits ( +0 to +4 or +5C). Winnipeg: Sunny, High 15C. Brandon: Partly Cloudy, high 5C. Dauphin, Sunny high 10C. 

Monday Night: A warm front will be moving into the region overnight into Tuesday, cloudy skies are expected with a mixture of rain and snow likely in areas of central Manitoba, parklands into the interlake regions with only 2 to 4cm expected. Southern sections of Manitoba will probably see rain showers off and on come the overnight, most of the snow should avoid southern regions.  Temperatures for overnight lows will drop into the low single digits (+2 to +5C). Areas by Dauphin will be around 0C. Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers overnight. Low +4C. Brandon: Cloudy, 30% chance of showers low +2C. Dauphin: Cloudy, rain mixed with snow beginning overnight. 




Tuesday: The forecast gets a little bit complicated towards the day on Tuesday an area of low pressure will be in North Dakota as a result unsettled weather is expected. It looks like temperatures will be warm enough for rain in the afternoon in Southeastern Manitoba, there is also a risk for THUNDERSTORMS come the late morning and afternoon hours with CAPE in a range from 100-500 J/Kg and LI’s of -1 to -3, where areas further north in the Interlake region will be cold enough to support snow. That area of snow will gradually move east and south throughout the late afternoon hours. Southwestern Manitoba should see snow in the late afternoon hours, with light snow expected in the evening in the Red River Valley and eastern Manitoba. Rainfall wise 2 to 5mm can be expected, in terms of snowfall 15 to 30cm can be expected from southeastern Saskatchewan into the parklands,  5 to 10cm can be expected in the extreme southwestern sections of Manitoba, with 2 to 4cm expected in the southwestern sections of Manitoba. A trace to 2cm in the rest of southern sections of Manitoba. Temperatures for the day on Tuesday will soar into the high single digits and low double digits values in the Red River Valley region (8 to 12C). Elsewhere temperatures will warm into the low single digits values ( 0 to 5C) in areas of southwestern Manitoba, southeastern sections and the Interlake regions. Winnipeg: Cloudy 60% chance of showers, risk of thunderstorms high 11C. Brandon: Cloudy, periods of rain mixed with snow in the afternoon. High +5C. Dauphin: Cloudy, snow. Amount 10 to 20. High -1C. 


Tuesday Night: That area of low pressure I mentioned will be moving out of the region, along with a cold front moving through as indicated with the blue and red lines meeting up (above photo. The band of snow will be moving east into northern Ontario, mostly cloudy skies are expected for areas of eastern Manitoba with clear skies expected in western portions of the province. Once all the snow is done in central regions, only another 5cm is expected on top of the 15 already. Temperatures overnight will drop into the mid to high minus single digits (-4 to -10C), with the exception of areas from north of Brandon into the parklands regions where temperatures will drop into the low minus teens (-10 to -15C). Winnipeg: cloudy, flurries ending in the evening. Low -5C. Brandon: Light snow in the evening, then clearing. Low -9C. Dauphin: Snow ending overnight then clearing, amount 5 to 10 cm. Low -10C. 

Wednesday : Cooler air will filter into the region with a area of high pressure sitting off in Alberta and another low pressure system in the northern plains. This setup will prevent our temperatures from rising too much. Increasing cloud is expected towards the latter half of the day. Most of the heavy precipitation should miss us off to the south in Minnesota and South Dakota. Temperatures for the day on Wednesday will soar into the low single digits (+1 to +4C for areas of the red river valley, areas west of Brandon, the southern interlakes and extreme southwestern Manitoba.  Temperatures will vary from 0 to -4C for areas west of Brandon, into the Manitoba escarpment, Lake Manitoba and southeastern Manitoba. Winnipeg: Sunny, high +2C. Brandon: Sunny, high 0C. Dauphin: Sunny, high +1C. 

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy skies are expected along the American border and in the parklands into central Manitoba, with lighter cloud in southern Manitoba. A high pressure system will be sitting off in southwestern Manitoba by morning. Overnight low temperatures will be unfortunately dropping into the high minus single digits to low minus teens  (-10 to -14C) . Where only lows in the mid to high minus single digits are expected from the parklands into central Manitoba (-2 to -8C). Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, low -10C. Brandon: Clear, cloudy by morning low -11C. Dauphin: Cloudy, low -4C. 

Second half of the week: A cold front will be moving through the region on Thursday as a result our temperatures will drop to slightly below normal for this time of year thanks to a trough of low pressure.  For the second half of the week, our daytime highs will sit in the low to mid minus single digits (0 to -6C), and overnight lows in the low to mid minus teens between (-10 and -16C). Brrrr. A slight warmup is possible for the weekend . We’ll see!! Until then , enjoy this slow but sure transition to spring!

Thursday, March 4, 2021

Exceptional Warmth Arrives



 Exceptional warmth will be arriving this weekend, thanks to a large area of high pressure off in eastern Canada creating a southerly flow on the eastern side. We have already experienced temperatures above zero  this trend looks to continue. Read on to find out more on the weekend ahead below... 




Friday: Should start off with mostly cloudy skies in southwestern sections of Manitoba, there will be some areas with partly to mostly cloudy skies come the afternoon hours in southwestern sections of Manitoba. Gorgeous sunny skies are forecast in southeastern sections of Manitoba. Mostly cloudy skies are expected for the latter half of the day for much of the south. Temperatures for the day on Friday will soar into the low to mid single digits (0 to 7C). The only exception will be areas on the Manitoba lakes where temperatures may struggle to rise above zero degrees (-1 to -4C). Winnipeg: Mostly sunny , cloudy in the late afternoon. High 5C. Brandon: Partly cloudy. High 5C. Dauphin: Mostly cloudy: High 5C, 

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy skies are expected within the sections of southwestern Manitoba , there is also a chance for some fog to develop over night into Saturday. Otherwise the rest of the region including Portage la prairie into northwestern Ontario can expect clear skies overnight. Temperatures will be mild overnight into Saturday!! Overnight lows will sit in the low to mid minus single digits (-3 to -8C), a tad colder in southeastern sections. A few areas in the parklands could see lows from 0 to 2C. Winnipeg: Clear, low -5C Brandon: Cloudy, low -5C. Dauphin: Cloudy. Low 0C. 

Saturday: Gorgeous weather is expected for Saturday, mostly sunny skies are expected with very little cloud cover with the exception of a few portions of south western Manitoba. The warmest temperatures appear to occur in the western red river valley area into the parklands in the mid single digits to the low teens, (5 to 12C) with cooler low to mid single digit temperatures (0 to 7C) expected in south western Manitoba as well as south eastern sections of the province. Winnipeg: Sunny, high 7C. Brandon: Sunny, high 8C. Dauphin: Sunny high 12C.

Saturday Night: A warm front will move through the overnight period into the morning. Along with another area of low pressure sitting along the border. There is a risk for freezing rain overnight into Sunday in small patches from southwestern Manitoba into the Red River valley. Stay tuned to Manitoba Weather Center for this matter.  Cloudy skies are expected for a majority of the night which will prevent temperatures from dropping below zero for a majority of the southern half. There might be some melting overnight into Sunday, temperatures will drop into the low single digits (1 to 4C), with a few areas below zero in the parklands and over the lakes. Winnipeg: Cloudy. Risk of freezing rain ,low 1C. Brandon: Cloudy, risk of freezing rain. low -1C. Dauphin: Cloudy, low 0C. 

Sunday: The forecast gets a little bit more complicated for Sunday as model data starts to diverge on a solution with a low pressure system moving through the area, the NAM is depicting a large area of rain mixed with snow, where as the RDPS does not depict any precipitation moving through the region. As well the GFS shows smaller amounts precipitation occurring on Sunday. As a result I’ll be making a forecast conclusion that there will be a chance for rain showers in the afternoon on Sunday under partly cloudy skies in areas in the southern half of the province. Temperatures for will soar once again, now I’m gonna make you all jealous temperatures south of the border will soar into the high teens, with Grand Forks possibly getting as high as 18°C . That warmth will filter north into the western red river valley (Portage La Prairie north to Dauphin then southeast, to Winnipeg south to the American border by pilot mound and into Gretna/Emerson) including Winnipeg with temperatures in the low to mid teens (10 to 15C). South eastern portions of Manitoba into the inter lakes will likely sit in the high single digits (6 to 10C), with areas of south western Manitoba in the low to mid single digits this also includes the parklands. See photo above on the headline. Winnipeg: Sunny. High 12C. Brandon: Sunny, high 5C. Dauphin: Sunny, high 10C. 

Sunday Night: A cold front will be coming through the region , allowing clearer skies with patches of light cloud cover. Temperatures will drop slightly overnight with a northwesterly flow aloft. Low to mid single digit  lows are expected overnight into Monday for the majority of the region (-3C to -8C). Winnipeg: Clear, low -5C. Brandon: Clear, low -9C. Dauphin: Clear, low -1C. 

Early next week: The exceptional warm weather continues for the beginning of our week with temperatures continuing to be above zero with another shot at temperatures in the low to mid single digits and the low teens possibly. Into the mid week there appears to be another low pressure system on the way for the day on Tuesday. Models are all over the place. Some are saying rain with a switch over to snow potentially, others are hinting at only rain with a small risk for thunderstorms. Earlier one said we had a snowstorm risk. As usual forecasts aren’t accurate about 3+ days out, even in this day and age. Well know more as we get near the start of the week. 

Enjoy the warmth, hopefully spring weather stays!!

-Mike


Monday, March 1, 2021

Gradual transition into spring like weather begins

Finally some good news for those who are wanting warmer weather, a gradual transition into warmer temperatures will start this week. We may finally be moving out of the below normal temperature pattern that we have experienced over the past few weeks. Read on to find out more!!



Tonight: Southern Manitoba, will be in a warmer period this week, a westerly flow in the pacific jet stream will allow a mild airmass into the region. Also a warm front will be moving through Manitoba through the overnight . Mostly cloudy skies are expected, tonight with the exception of southeastern Manitoba earlier in the night. Temperatures will be in the low minus teens in the southeast this evening, then will rise into the mid to high minus single digits in the morning. Southwest parts of Manitoba, will see temperatures in the high minus single digits then warm into the low minus single digits by morning. Winnipeg: Cloudy,, Temperature -12C rising to -8C in the morning.  Brandon: Cloudy temperature -11C rising to -4C by morning. Dauphin: Cloudy, Temperature -8C rising to -1C by morning. 

Tuesday: A cold front will be sitting over central regions of Manitoba by the afternoon hours , as a result expect mostly cloudy skies. With a chance for some sun in extreme southern sections of Manitoba. Temperatures will soar into the plus side of the low single digits (1 to 5C), low minus single digit values are expected along the trans Canada highway and points north (-1 to -3C). Winnipeg: Sunny in the morning then  Cloudy. High 0C. Brandon: Sunny in the morning then Cloudy high 2C. Dauphin: Cloudy: High -1C. 

Tuesday Night: A cold front will drop south throughout the overnight period, despite this cloudy skies overnight will prevent temperatures from dropping much. Overnight lows will drop into the mid to high single digits in much of southern regions of the province, with lows in the low minus teens in the interlake regions. Winnipeg: Cloudy, low -9C. Rising to  -7C by morning. Brandon: Cloudy, low -3C. Rising to -2C by morning. Dauphin: Cloudy, temperature -5C rising to -4C by morning. 

Wednesday: mostly cloudy skies are expected for the day on Wednesday with the exception being south eastern Manitoba were scattered to partly cloudy skies are expected. Temperatures during the day on Wednesday will be in the low minus single digits and the low single digits with a few locations getting above zero. Winnipeg: Cloudy high 0C. Brandon: Cloudy, high +1C. Dauphin: Cloudy, high 0C. 

Wednesday Night: Overcast conditions are forecast as a persistent southerly flow will be in place as a area of high pressure sits off to the North. Overnight low temperatures will stay mild with temperatures in the low minus single digits and areas of southern Manitoba with the exception of Eastern Manitoba with lows in the low minus teens over night. Winnipeg: Mostly cloudy, low -8C. Temperature rising to -6C by morning. Brandon: Cloudy, low -2C. Dauphin: Cloudy, low -2C. 

Second half of the week: A westerly flow aloft will continue into the second half of the week with a building ridge of high pressure coming in by the weekend, allowing a southerly flow to take over. Because this will allow our temperatures to finally sore into the mid to high plus side from +3 to as high as 12 or 13°C. I will update you on that by the end of the week!

 

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