Mild Monday leads to wild weather

 After a somewhat cool and seasonable weekend, southern sections and much of Manitoba will be in for a treat! A large area of low pressure will be moving into the region heating up our temperatures, however it will be short lived. Get ready for some wild weather!!!! Find out more below!!! 

Above: Snow will move southeast gradually through the evening eventually impacting the entire southern half of the province shortly after midnight. Blowing snow will be a concern. Snow will taper off towards the early morning on Tuesday. 

Monday: A large but potent area of low pressure will be covering the southern half of Saskatchewan into Manitoba, this will be the main weather feature for the day on Monday. For Monday the day should start off calm, partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies are expected for a majority of the region. The exception will be areas of southeastern Manitoba where Sunny to partly cloudy skies are likely. As the system moves east towards the late morning, an area of showers will move in from Saskatchewan and slowly move into areas of western and southwestern Manitoba which will gradually then shift northeast into the interlakes region by evening. There is a chance some of these rain showers could move through the red river valley into the latter half of the day. The wind also will be quite strong with extreme southwestern regions of the province seeing gusts over 80-90km/h in the afternoon hours. It’s possible if the region can tap into southwest winds the entire southwestern western half of Manitoba could see gusts up to 80-90km/h. Winds will remain in the 20 to 40km/h range in the day for the southeast part of the province. Extremely mild temperatures are forecast for the day, I’m expecting a large swath of temperatures in the low to high teens (10 to 19C) in areas of eastern portions of southwestern Manitoba, the red river valley, and southeastern sections of the province. Areas of the interlakes into western sections of southwestern Manitoba from Brandon south to north will into the parklands and central eastern Manitoba will see highs in the upper single digits. Heading into the evening. A cold front will cut through the red river valley towards 7 PM. Rain will begin in south central portions of Manitoba around 5 PM I’m only expecting about 1 to 3 mm of rain for the south central and south eastern portion of Manitoba.  Snow will begin in the Russell, Roblin, Swan River portions of Manitoba around 5pm as cold air filters in behind the system, the snow and below freezing temps will spread from Dauphin south towards the rest of southwestern Manitoba through the evening. Once that cold air start filtering into Southeastern portions of Manitoba a complete transition over to snow is expected. There is a likelihood of snow and blowing snow zero visibility at times through the evening and early overnight period. Also winds will gust from 60 to 90 km an hour for southwestern Manitoba in the evening with gusts up to 60km/h or 70km/h possible in the southern red river valley, Winnipeg region. Followed by the red river valley interlakes and south central Manitoba towards midnight. Overall for snowfall totals only expect about 1 to 3cm, for the parklands, south central and southeastern Manitoba. A few patches of a cm or 2 can be expected in southwestern Manitoba. Temperatures overnights will drop in mid to high minus single digits, with windchill‘s in the high minus teens with low minus 20s in the interlakes and parklands regions. Eeek!!! Day: Winnipeg: Partly cloudy, 30% chance of showers in the afternoon. High 18C.  Brandon: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon. High 12C. Wind southwest to west 30km/h in the afternoon. Dauphin: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the afternoon. Wind west 20km/h. High 8C. Night: Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of showers in the evening changing to snow and blowing snow. Near zero visibility at times. Snowfall amount 2cm. Wind 60 gusting to 80 km an hour in the evening and after midnight. Low -8C, windchill -18C. Brandon: Cloudy, snow beginning in the evening, wind 60 gusting to 90km/h in the evening. Near zero visibility at times. Snowfall amount 2cm to 4cm. Low -8C, windchill -19C. Dauphin: Cloudy. Snow and blowing snow beginning early in the evening. Wind 40km/h. Snowfall amount 2 to 4cm. Low -9C, windchill -20C. 

Tuesday: Behind the low pressure system a arctic air mass, will filter south with an accompanying trough. As that trough moves south east there is a likelihood for extensive cloud cover in the afternoon and majority of the day. There is a possibility of some snow squalls developing over the red river valley with the cool flow off the Manitoba lakes. Accumulations with the squalls  will not be much I am only expecting about a max of 2 to 4 cm with them as they possibly move into southeastern Manitoba. Wind will not be much of an issue for the day on Tuesday. Temperatures will struggle to get above zero on Tuesday with our daytime highs only rising into the mid to high minus single digits (-4 to -9C).  Our wind chill values well also sit in the mid to high minus teens in southeastern Manitoba (-15 to -20C) with low to mid teens in southwestern Manitoba (-10 to -15C). Heading into the overnight. There is a likelihood of calmer weather conditions coming in as a result of an area of high-pressure that will likely allow clear for skies at night. Our temperatures will take a nose dive once again into the high minus single-digit to low minus teens, where are windchills will drop into the mid minus to high minus teens but some areas a bit warmer closer to -10°C windchill. Day: Winnipeg: Cloudy, 60% chance of snow in the late afternoon. High -7C, windchill -16C. Brandon: Cloudy, high -4C, windchill-11C. Dauphin:Cloudy, high -6C, windchill -14C. 

Night: Winnipeg: Clear, low -10C. Windchill: -15C Brandon: Clear, low -8C. Windchill -10C.  Dauphin: Clear, low -10C. Windchill -14C. 

Wednesday and the second half of the week: It appears that this cooler than average weather pattern that we will see for the first half of the week, will be replaced by warmer conditions towards the second half the week. An area of high pressure will move east of the province of Manitoba on Wednesday night, allowing for us to get a southerly flow that will eventually establish itself over the prairie provinces. We will probably see our temperatures of the mid to high teens and above 20C return for the latter half of the week.