Friday, July 13, 2012

Hot Weather Expected To Continue For The Weekend

The hot weather will continue for Southern Manitoba through this weekend, but chances for unsettled weather will return for the second half of the weekend, as a trough swings through the region.
 A look at 850 MB Temperatures For Saturday, Tip: Add 13C to the temperature you see on the map to get the actual forecast temperature for your region.




























The warm weather will continue tonight, with temperatures hovering near 20C across the southern half of the province. Tomorrow will also be a nice day across the Southern Part of the province with temperatures around the thirty degree mark along with a nice breeze from the west. Due to the heat that will be present tomorrow afternoon there will be a chance for pop up thunderstorms in Regions West of the Red River Valley such as Pilot Mound, Manitou, Brandon,Virden and Melita regions. The storms will mainly be non severe in nature, although they may strengthen to severe limits if they get going. Areas around the Western Red River Valley may also have a chance of seeing storms tomorrow afternoon.
GEM GLB Model for Monday at 12am, notice how precipitation is hovering over the southern portion of the province in a linear manner. That indicates it will either be heavy rainshowers or thunderstorm activity.
Sunday Thunderstorms are Possible


The day on Sunday will be sunny and warm with temperatures reaching the high twenties along with a southeast wind from 15 to 30 km/h before things start turning unsettled in the evening ahead of another trough. It currently appears that there will be a potential for thunderstorms some severe in the evening hours due to the amount of daytime heating that will go on through the afternoon hours on the day Sunday ahead of the trough. Thunderstorm activity will be more likely during the overnight hours on Sunday into Monday as the main trough goes through, with the storms clearing out before morning. Rainfall Accumulations will widely depend on the thunderstorm activity, I would expect that general amounts would be near or around 5mm in most areas. Locally higher in thunderstorms. 

As for the week next week looking like it will be a nice one with temperatures remaining in the high twenties, with a couple chances for thunderstorms.

I will update on Twitter as needed for changes in this forecast.

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