Monday, July 30, 2012

July to End Hot and Stormy

After a round of active weather the past couple of days in Southern Manitoba, we can expect a short reprieve with a return to hot and humid weather for the end of July.
A look at Temperatures for the last day in July at 850MB, just add 13C onto the temperature legend you see in your region on the map.
The month of July will decidedly end just as it started, in the same fashion with the never-ending very warm weather. Sunny Skies and temperatures anywhere from the high twenties to low thirties can be expected for the rest of the day although there may be some cloudcover from general daytime heating. Nothing like what went on Yesterday through the Red River Valley. Winds will make for a comfortable breeze as they blow out of the Northwest, likely blowing some smoke from any ongoing Forest Fires in northern Manitoba southwards into the region. The night ahead will also be fairly nice as winds continue to blow out of the northwest in various locations, any leftover cloudcover will clear as we lose daytime heating. When we lose daytime heating our temperatures cool off so as a result we expect our temperatures to cool down to around 17 degrees tonight in Winnipeg with the outlying regions in the mid teens. 

Tomorrow will be a similar day, although we will have to contend with some thunderstorm activity mainly in Southwest Manitoba and the Western Red River Valley as another system decides to slide through the region. Currently it is looking like some of the storms could end up being pop up scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening hours as daytime heating and the system plays a role in triggering the storms. Given that we will have high amounts of instability in place I cannot rule out the possibility of some severe thunderstorms once they get going. By Mid Evening things could turn into a MCS once the storms bundle and organize themselves, this means that the Red River Valley and eastern Manitoba would be at threat as they would move Eastwards from the point of there origination and create threats of Strong Winds in Excess of 100 km/h, Heavy Rain, Intense Lightning and Large Hail. It is unclear as to what exactly what will happen with the Thunderstorm Complex or MCS at this moment, so I will keep everyone informed about the situation as we get closer to the evening hours Tomorrow. As for tomorrow's Temperatures they will once again feel hot and muggy as we approach or surpass the 30C Degree mark in Manitoba Tomorrow.

The First Couple of days into August are expected to continue to remain hot. High Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday should reach or surpass 30C with a risk of some severe weather on Wednesday in the Southern Portion Of the province, too far ahead to tell exactly what will go on. I will keep you informed.  Thursday should be sunny and warm as well with little humidity with the Heat Continuing. For Friday we may again be in for another rough ride, several sources have noted that there could be a potential for a thunderstorm outbreak in Manitoba on this day. It is something to watch as well. Comments will be available on Twitter throughout the coming days detailing the severe weather potential.

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