The Summer Heat Returns!

We will be welcoming back the heat of summer In Southern Manitoba for the coming 2 weeks, after a period cool and wet weather that has been in place.

The NAM indicates we could have some 30C+ Temperatures in some places during the day Tuesday. Tip: add 13C to the temperature you see on the map using the temperature legend.

As predicted, a ridge of high pressure will build over the province this week allowing for the warmest weather conditions to develop that we have seen this August in the province. So how are our temperatures shaping up province wide? Well for the Rest of the day today we can expect to temperatures rise into the mid twenties, although cooler as you head north. Lots of sunshine will be in place allowing for UV Levels to approach the 7 to 8 mark (which is the high values). The real heat comes on Tuesday when most places could record their first 30 degree reading of the month, as we see warm air ride in from the Pacific. In addition to the hot weather there could be some places that surpass 30, especially along the American border.

Unfortunately, the ridge will begin breaking down on both Wednesday and Thursday as a series of Shortwaves move in from the Pacific Coast. These shortwaves will have one or more low pressure systems associated with them, they will create some unsettled weather over the Southern Part of the province during the second half of the week. Current information from Spotwx indicates that an Easterly to Southeasterly flow will likely develop over most regions of Southern Manitoba out ahead of our first approaching low pressure system of the month. We may or may not reach 30C on Wednesday depending on air flow and position of fronts. It is still a possibility that we could see temperatures in the high 20's, though I am not certain if it will get warmer.

Thursday looks interesting for stormchasers as there appears to be a risk for thunderstorms in Southern Manitoba as a strong southerly flow brings more humid air up from the Gulf Of Mexico, out ahead of a low pressure system. This will be the first risk for thunderstorms we have seen in a while. Might also mean a threat for more severe weather if we have the right ingredients come together. Hopefully Capping isn't an issue, cause capping always prevents storm development.

As the weekend approaches NOAA Weather Models indicate an arrival of a series of low pressure systems through our portion of the province.  If the systems continue developing it will mean a warm and wet last weekend of August.

Get out there and enjoy the nice Weather! Head to the beach or go for a nice walk....

Cool Weather For The Next Few Days, Returning to Seasonal Temperatures By the Start of Next Week

We’ll see fairly seasonal weather over the weekend with overnight lows that will start off cool but climb back towards normal as well.

With The Jet Stream Struggling to push eastwards on Saturday the cool air will remain over NW Ontario and Southern Manitoba. Leaving behind the major warmth in British Columbia and Alberta. The Jet Stream will push eastwards slowly throughout the start of the week bringing warmer weather hopefully. 

After a beautiful day today we will see some cloudcover tomorrow as a trough travels south through the Red River Valley with a chance for some showers and maybe a thunderstorm before things clear out by evening. This will result in the temperatures staying fairly cool with them likely being in the low 20's in the Red River Valley, as cool air filters in behind the system. Although warmer weather will be in store for SW Manitoba where the sun will stay out pretty much all day.

The weekend will end sunny with temperatures climbing back into the upper twenties with the trend continuing into next week. Our next chance of precipitation could be on Tuesday Morning at 7am as another cold front slides south, the chances for precipitation at the moment are only looking to be 20%. I will keep everyone up to date on Twitter. Other than that the seasonal weather looks to take over once again!

Anyone Order Cooler Weather?

Colder than normal weather conditions will be expected this week over Southern Manitoba as another upper level disturbance crosses over Southern Manitoba midweek, bringing behind it cooler air. This will mark the start of another pattern change that could stay in place for a few weeks.

A powerful low pressure system will cross Southern Manitoba through the Night Tuesday and Through Wednesday, bringing behind it cooler weather for the second half of the week. The Welcome relief banner is published in this picture as the cool air will bring releif to those that experienced unrelenting heat in the upper states. Especially in Chicago. This photo is from The Weather Channel.

 

To start off the night tonight we will experience clear or clearing skies in Southern Manitoba, along with light winds either out of the north or the northwest allowing for our temperatures to drop past the 10 degree mark. So we will likely see temperatures in and around the 7 to 10C mark overnight, however that will allow for some patchy fog to develop considering how warm the ground is and how cool the air will be. Usually in this situation moisture usually develops especially near the ground. Any leftover fog should clear out by sunrise leaving behind sunny skies and temperatures rising into the low to mid 20's (from about 22C to 26C),  before more cloudcover rolls in ahead of the next system in the evening as the high pressure we are under departs. Temperatures in general for this period should be in the high 20's, and in Winnipeg the normal high temperature should be 25C/ low temperature 12C.

Another cold front will move through MB Wed Morning

The pattern change looks like will be in store for us by midweek. It looks like a major cold front will swing through Southern Manitoba through Tuesday Night and into the day Wednesday. The timing on this front may change, so I will update as needed. With the approach of this front expect showers and thunderstorms to generate over the Parkland’s Tuesday Evening and spread south-eastwards as the night progresses. The showers and storms will eventually travel into the Red River Valley, during the morning hours likely in a line and they would possibly exit the province by afternoon. The thunderstorms would likely become non severe with general threats below the severe threshold. Meaning lightning, rainfall in excess of 20 mm or less, small hail, and weak wind gusts. The remnants of this cold front will bring pop up showers and thunderstorms being fairly weak and disorganized in general to most parts of southern Manitoba. Temperatures would likely be in the low twenties throughout the day Wednesday, with cooler weather expected by the end of the day as a cool Northwest wind takes shape behind the front. 

Throughout the second half of the week we will likely see some cooler days with temperatures in the high teens to low twenties, as the low moves eastward. Looking ahead to the next couple of weeks, it appears difficult to predict. (I have found the following using the jet stream forecast model). With a ridge out west and a blocking pattern out East will be stuck in-between the two, meaning the likely trend will be seasonal weather until that blocking pattern moves on. After that, the ridge could either keep moving East or flatten out bringing us the same seasonal weather or another warm period. I will keep an eye on the situation and let you know how it plays out. 

Nice Start to The Weekend; Yet An Unsettled Finish

Beautiful Weather can be expected for the rest of the day today in most of Southern Manitoba with the threat for thunderstorms in some regions, before a more significant thunderstorm threat returns to the Red River Valley tomorrow afternoon and evening as a cold front goes through the region.

Another nice on day continues in Southern Manitoba

Throughout the day today expect conditions to range from a mix of sun cloud to thunderstorms along with warm weather across Southern Manitoba. High Temperatures will climb into the high 20's in Southwest Manitoba, the Red River Valley and in Eastern Manitoba along with comfortable humidity levels. Tomorrow a cold front will begin to work it's way into the Red River Valley.

Storms Poss. Tmrw

It's looking like we may see a small batch of morning cloud cover or rain showers, then some sunshine returning in the afternoon allowing for instability levels to rise likely then giving way to showers and storms as the cold front goes through the Red River Valley. The thunderstorms will be non severe in nature with a few of them likely becoming severe if they get going. The thunderstorms will clear out by evening, giving way to clear skies. Daytime highs will likely be in the range from 23 to 28C in most areas. 

Sunny Skies and seasonal temperatures return to start next week before another potent system brings a chance of rain or storms mid week. It will likely become cooler after this system by maybe a few degrees, not below 18C.

Comments will be provided on my Twitter account (@SouthMBWeather)

Nice Weather Expected to Continue, Becoming Unsettled For The Weekend

After a rainy weekend and a glorious start to the week, it is looking like the sunny and warm trend will continue for several days ahead as a ridge of high pressure starts building into the Eastern Prairies Including Manitoba. As a result we can expect to see temperatures in the mid to high 20's during the time period. Although we will see a very slight chance for some showers and thunderstorms today as an area of small low pressure slides through the area. Another area of low pressure is forecast to move in For Friday and Saturday bringing a chance for showers and thunderstorms once again.

An area of High Pressure is expected to gradually build over Manitoba in the coming days, it is not shown on the map though it is find in the big circle in Northern Manitoba.

There is a chance for a shower or thunderstorm over Southern Manitoba this afternoon as a trough moves southwards as it heads into North Western Ontario, the best chances will remain to the East through the Whiteshell regions and in SW Manitoba. Everything should organize and drift south and eastwards out of the province by evening hours.

Next on the headlines, it is looking like a fairly strong ridge of high pressure will continue to build into Northern Manitoba, and it is looking like it will strengthen to almost be at 1030 mb by tomorrow morning. The axis will be from The Red River Valley Northeast into Hudson Bay and James Bay. The system will ensure sunny and clear skies over the period of the next few days, limiting clouds only to fair weather cumulus and as well allow for a southerly flow to take place over the southern portion of the province. This would usually result in hot temperatures and high humidity but in this case it will provide less humidity and more normal temperatures. Instead of this high pressure system being created by a ridge, this is one that will be created by a trough of  cold air descending from the Arctic. The southerly flow that will develop over southern Manitoba will be a return flow of air out of the high pressure system  instead of being a warm moist flow from the Gulf of Mexic. Leaving our temperatures slow to climb as each day progresses and dewpoints only rising into the low to mid teens.

Friday Saturday will be another stormy few days as another low moves into the province,scattered thunderstorms and showers will both be possible on these days with accumulations nearing 5mm in showers and higher amounts of course in thunderstorms. Severe weather will be possible on Friday in Southern Manitoba as highlighted by The Prairie Arctic Storm Prediction Centre based in Winnipeg.

Next Week looks like it will continue to be nice with Temperatures in the high twenties along with lots of sunshine.

I could not have found out some of these detail's if it weren't for Brad from

A Weather Moment

Weather Update on the way Tomorrow

I apologize for the lack of posts lately, as I have been away for the weekend. Thing's should get back to normal tomorrow with the regular posts on Monday, Wednesday and Friday. A post will be provide at 6pm tomorrow, see you all then!

Warm Active Weather To Dominate The Start Of August

Warm Temperatures will continue to make an appearance in Southern Manitoba as we will rise into the high 20 Degree range every day for the rest of the week. We will continue to see active conditions as multiple systems move over the province for the second half of the week.

A chance for thunderstorms exits as another trough moves through Southern Manitoba throughout the evening hours. This will be one of the many areas of low pressure systems that will pass through our area.

 We will see a chance for widespread afternoon thunderstorm activity across Southern Manitoba, as a weak disturbance moves through the area. Chances for Thunderstorms will be higher as you go through Western Manitoba and The Interlakes. In fact some are currently making an appearance right now, there is a slight chance a few may reach Winnipeg. The Threat will continue throughout the evening hours as the feature moves through. Before The Day is done temperatures should reach the 24C to 28C mark, along with nice temperatures from 12 to 17C Overnight. We will see nicer weather conditions for thursday with no precipitation expected and temperatures in the high 20's or low thirties.

Another Powerful Low Pressure System is set to make an entrance into The Province on Thursday Night as it pushes showers and thunderstorms out ahead of it into SouthWestern Manitoba that will last through until the morning when things clear out. The Low will sit over Southern Manitoba on the day Friday likely giving an enhanced severe weather threat given the instabilty that will be in place. Severe Storms with Large hail and damaging winds cannot be ruled out. There will be a chance for heavy rain/thunderstorms on Friday Night as the backside of the system wraps around. Saturday will be fairly cool at around 20C, as cool air filters in behind the system. Although the rest of the weekend will be a lot nicer with temperatures rebounding back up to 30 degrees.

Have A great Second Half of your Week!